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000
FXUS64 KMEG 220418
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1118 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 856 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

High pressure will settle over the region overnight with clear
skies, light winds and cold temperatures. Excellent radiational
cooling will allows temps to fall into the mid 30s across much of
West TN and parts of northeast MS where a Frost Advisory is in
effect. Current forecast on track with no changes needed.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 340 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Cool conditions will start the upcoming work week. Morning lows
will be in the middle 30s to low 40s. Frost is possible across
much of west Tennessee and north Mississippi. Temperatures will
trend warmer through Wednesday when highs should be in the middle
70s. A weak cold front will result in slightly cooler temperatures
Thursday but the front north by Friday resulting in highs near 80
degrees Friday and Saturday. Showers and thunderstorms are
expected Friday and Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Saturday)
Issued at 340 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Surface high pressure will become centered over the Midsouth
tonight resulting in clear skies and light winds. Dew points could
be as low as 32 degrees allowing for efficient radiational
conditions. A Frost Advisory has been issued for portions of west
Tennessee and north Mississippi.

A ridge will build over the Rockies and Great Basin Monday
afternoon into Tuesday resulting in northwest flow across the
central and lower Mississippi River Valley. A weak a cold front
should bring temperatures down a degree or two Wednesday. This
feature may also bring a few showers to the Missouri Bootheel and
northwest Tennessee late Tuesday into early Wednesday. However,
moisture return ahead of the front should be limited. The cold
front will return northward as a warm front Thursday night
resulting in high temperatures in the low to middle 70s Thursday
and increasing moisture across the region. High temperatures are
expected to approach 80 degrees on Friday. The warm front will
also result in elevated rain chances for the later half of the
work week and continue into the weekend. Strong or severe storms
do not appear likely. However, guidance is not in great agreement
with the timing of the return of the warm front, so confidence is
low in the exact PoPs we will see during this time frame. It
should become drier by Sunday with highs in the low to middle 80s.

30/Sirmon

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1115 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Primary forecast remains this TAF issuance as high pressure
continues to dominate. VFR through the period, across the
airspace.

AEH

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CDT Monday for MSZ002>006-009-013-014-
     016.

TN...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CDT Monday for TNZ002>004-020>022-
     050>055-089>092.

&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...SJM
AVIATION...AEH