Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 240855
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for JDSP B9/14...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
455 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions are forecast today, with minimum RH values in the
low 50s near the burn site. Easterly winds will prevail around 10
mph, and may become slightly gusty up to 15 mph as the east coast
sea breeze develops roughly around noon and moves inland.
Afternoon smoke dispersion will be generally good. Winds will
slowly diminish overnight to around 5 mph. Fog is not currently
forecast near the burn site late tonight into Thursday morning.
Similar conditions are forecast on Thursday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 57.
LVORI...............4 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........23  21  20  19  18  17  17  16  16  14  11  9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............64  65  68  71  73  76  77  77  77  76  77  76
RH..............75  73  65  61  57  52  52  52  54  56  54  56
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   7   8   9   9   10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.9   9   8   9   9       10  12  13  13  13  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.5 1.9 3.5 4.0 4.3 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.8
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.10  9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10  10  10  10
Dispersion idx..5   5   22  39  44  48  52  56  57  55  52  49
LVORI...........4   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL decreasing to 1300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....46 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........10     11     11     11     10     14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............75     71     70     69     67     66
RH..............58     66     71     73     78     81
20 ft wind......E 10   E 9    E 9    E 8    SE 7   E 6
20 ft wind gust.13     13     12     10     8      7
Mix hgt (ft)....3400   2000   1600   1500   1400   1300
Transport wind..E 12   E 13   E 14   E 12   SE 7   SE 6
Dispersion idx..46     9      10     7      4      3
LVORI...........1      3      3      4      4      5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 4400 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....2 increasing to 52.
LVORI...............5 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........17     19     15     13     10     6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............65     69     76     79     79     79
RH..............84     76     62     54     54     54
20 ft wind......E 5    E 5    E 7    E 9    E 10   E 12
20 ft wind gust.7      7      8      10     13     15
Mix hgt (ft)....1400   1100   3300   4300   4400   3900
Transport wind..SE 6   E 7    E 8    E 9    E 10   E 12
Dispersion idx..2      15     34     50     52     52
LVORI...........5      4      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Tollefsen
Requested by...Rob Rossmanith
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412019.0/MLB
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robin.rossmanith@dep.state.fl.us


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