Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
302
FNUS74 KMOB 061151
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for Rx fire at Blackwater River State Park...Fl Dept of Environmental Protection
National Weather Service Mobile AL
651 AM CDT Mon May 6 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on May 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon
with dry weather returning on Tuesday at the burn site. Generally
good dispersion levels are anticipated both this afternoon and on
Tuesday. Southerly transport winds will continue through the forecast
period. Relative humidity levels should remain above critical
thresholds through Tuesday as well.
Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog will continue this morning
and may be locally dense at times before 9 am. Fog should quickly mix out
before redeveloping again late tonight into Tuesday morning. Not expecting
dense fog Tuesday morning as winds should be a bit stronger keeping the
lower atmosphere mixed enough to preclude dense fog.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog early
in the morning. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the
late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1402 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 53.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........73 70 66 63 57 50 44 43 41 40 41
Weather cov.....PTY PTY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2
Temp............68 71 78 83 85 87 88 88 88 87 86
RH..............97 93 76 65 59 55 52 52 52 53 55
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SSE S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..3 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 10
20 FT wind gust.5 7 8 10 13 15 17 17 18 18 17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.2 2.3 3.6 4.0 4.6 4.5 4.6 4.4 3.7 3.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.5 7 7 9 10 13 13 13 13 14 14
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).2 3 3 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6
Dispersion idx..6 11 19 31 44 53 56 55 52 50 50
LVORI...........8 5 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1900, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph early in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1128 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....50 decreasing to 9.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........41 43 45 46 48 51 53 56 63 69 76 74
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............83 80 77 76 74 72 72 71 71 71 70 70
RH..............63 69 76 82 87 93 93 97 97 97 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S SSE S
20 FT wind spd..9 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.15 14 12 10 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 1.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....1.1 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.14 13 10 10 10 8 9 8 8 9 9 9
Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Dispersion idx..50 11 7 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 6
LVORI...........2 3 4 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 12 mph early in
the morning.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1158 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 51.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........73 71 64 58 51 45 40 34 33 32 31 30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............71 71 75 80 83 86 87 87 87 87 87 86
RH..............100 100 87 77 70 61 59 57 57 57 57 59
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..3 5 6 8 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 13
20 FT wind gust.8 8 12 14 17 20 21 23 23 24 24 22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.9 2.7 3.5 3.4 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S SSW SSW SSW
Transp wind spd.9 8 12 13 15 15 15 15 15 16 16 16
Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S S SSW SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
Dispersion idx..6 9 25 36 44 51 50 52 52 51 51 51
LVORI...........8 7 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...Jonathan Howell (31)
Requested by...Aimee Wolters
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413206.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL aimee.wolters@floridadep.gov