Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
000
FXUS64 KEPZ 240922
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
322 AM MDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
West to southwest winds will bring seasonably warm dry weather
across New Mexico and west Texas today through Monday with
temperatures near or above normal. Upper level disturbances will
also result in occasionally breezy to marginally windy conditions
through the weekend. A slow moving low pressure system may cause
increasing winds along with a few rain showers and even high
mountain snows Tuesday through Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Upper level low and associated surface low which brought high
winds on Thursday were moving slowly into the Texas panhandle
early this morning. Rather strong gradients attendant with these
systems will support breezy to windy conditions into the early
afternoon...especially over eastern portions of the CWA. Cool air
advection behind the cold front will also result in high
temperatures near normal after a series of record highs.

The next in a series of upper waves moves eastward across Arizona
Saturday afternoon before progressing across New mexico Saturday
night/early Sunday. Concurrently an associated lee cyclone will
develop over southeast Colorado with surface trough trailing into
eastern New Mexico. This pattern will produce breezy to
marginally windy conditions both Saturday and Sunday as low and
mid level gradients again strengthen. Southwest winds ahead of
system will advect warmer dry air causing Saturday high
temperatures to rise above normal with weak cold air advection
behind the trough lowering Sunday temperatures by only around 5
degrees. Passing short wave ridge will result in more seasonably
warm dry weather Monday.

Models in better agreement that a rather deep upper low and
associated trough will move into Arizona Tuesday and advance
slowly across New Mexico on Wednesday. System will bring
increasing winds Tuesday and Wednesday along with a few lowland
rain showers and even possible high mountain snows. The low should
be east of the CWA Thursday allowing for warmer dry weather.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid 24/12z-25/12z.
VFR conditions with mostly clear skies. Surface winds gusting
around 30 kt through 20z before diminishing...especially east of
the Rio Grande.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
West to southwest winds will bring seasonably warm dry weather
across New Mexico and west Texas today through Monday with
temperatures near or above normal. Upper level disturbances will
also result in occasionally breezy to windy conditions through
the weekend with near Red Flag conditions in the afternoon the
next three days. A slow moving low pressure system may cause
increasing winds along with a few rain showers and even high
mountain snows Tuesday through Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                 74  47  82  54 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca           71  45  78  53 /   0   0   0   0
Las Cruces              71  41  78  47 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo              71  42  76  49 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft              48  31  57  35 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences   73  41  76  49 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City             61  38  70  43 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                  70  38  78  45 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg               67  36  78  42 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro      73  48  81  56 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City               74  38  81  45 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock            76  45  83  52 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda              66  46  76  54 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                  75  44  84  52 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa            72  43  81  50 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ          72  46  78  53 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range           72  37  78  43 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                   73  40  78  47 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                72  42  82  49 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande               73  44  79  51 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                 60  32  69  40 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero               58  32  66  38 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                55  33  65  38 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                 64  29  69  35 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro               70  38  74  44 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport               72  40  76  45 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts            63  26  70  30 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                  63  35  73  41 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                   70  31  77  36 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek              65  36  73  41 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                 65  39  73  45 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                  69  36  80  43 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                 69  37  80  43 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells          71  37  80  45 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale              65  39  76  45 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Wind Advisory until noon MDT today for NMZ413>417.

TX...Wind Advisory until noon MDT today for TXZ419>424.

&&

$$

05 Rogash



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.