Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK

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FNAK53 PAFG 061606
FWFAFG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR INTERIOR ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
806 AM AKDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.DISCUSSION...A THERMAL TROUGH HAS NOT MOVED MUCH SINCE YESTERDAY
AFTERNOON...CENTERED AROUND THE TANANA VALLEY. THE BEST FORCING
FOR ANY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS LOOKS TO BE SITUATED
JUST NORTH OF THE TROUGH AXIS...MAINLY OVER ZONES 219...220 AND
INTO 224. INSTABILITY WILL BE EVEN MORE LIMITED COMPARED TO WHAT
WAS SEEN YESTERDAY...SUGGESTING VERY LITTLE LIGHTNING ACTIVITY
BASED WHAT WAS OBSERVED YESTERDAY. STRONG GAP WINDS AND LOW RH
VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH ALASKA RANGE PASSES
TODAY...BUT CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO EXCEED RED FLAG
CRITERIA. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH ON SATURDAY AS WINDS
ALOFT TURN MORE WESTERLY. MIN RH VALUES WILL BE DRY ONCE AGAIN IN
THE TANANA AND MIDDLE YUKON VALLEYS...PERHAPS A FEW PERCENT HIGHER
COMPARED TO YESTERDAY BASED ON GREATER CLOUD COVER EXPECTED.

THERMAL TROUGH WILL TRIGGER ADDITIONAL ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR
THE CENTRAL INTERIOR SATURDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY MORE UNSTABLE
CONDITIONS AVAILABLE. MIN RH VALUES SHOULD OVERALL BE HIGHER
SATURDAY WITH INCREASED CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES.

AKZ218-071015-
SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE-
INCLUDING...ARCTIC VILLAGE...WISEMAN...COLDFOOT...
CHANDALAR D.O.T. CAMP...INIAKUK LAKE
806 AM AKDT FRI MAY 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP         30           30           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-54 (-3)   22-32 (+2)   44-54
RH % (24H TREND)      27-42 (-4)   76-91 (+6)   36-51
20FTWND(MPH)          NE 8-12 G24  NE 9-13 G24  NE 3-7
CWR                   0            0            0
LAL                   1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
20 TO 30. HIGHS 47 TO 57. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 20 TO 30.
HIGHS 49 TO 59. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 23 TO 33.
HIGHS 49 TO 59. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ219-071015-
UPPER KOYUKUK VALLEY-
INCLUDING...ALLAKAKET...HUGHES...BETTLES...CARIBOU MOUNTAIN...
GOBBLERS KNOB
806 AM AKDT FRI MAY 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP         40           40           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-58 (-4)   26-36 (0)    49-59
RH % (24H TREND)      26-41 (-4)   70-85 (+4)   34-49
20FTWND(MPH)          NE 6-10 G20  NE 3-7       W 4-8 G17
CWR                   10           10           10
LAL                   2            2            2

REMARKS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...TONIGHT AND SAT.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS 28 TO 38. HIGHS
51 TO 61. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 30 TO 40.
HIGHS 49 TO 59. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 30 TO 40.
HIGHS 51 TO 61. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ220-071015-
YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS-
INCLUDING...FORT YUKON...VENETIE...CENTRAL...CIRCLE...
STEVENS VILLAGE...BEAVER...CHALKYITSIK...BIRCH CREEK...
CIRCLE HOT SPRINGS...EAGLE SUMMIT...TWELVEMILE SUMMIT
806 AM AKDT FRI MAY 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP         30           30           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-59 (-5)   27-37 (0)    49-59
RH % (24H TREND)      22-37 (+7)   72-87 (+6)   35-50
20FTWND(MPH)          NE 5-9 G20   NE 6-10 G20  W 3-7
CWR                   10           10           10
LAL                   2            2            2

REMARKS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...TONIGHT AND SAT.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS 27 TO 37. HIGHS
52 TO 62. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 28 TO
38. HIGHS 53 TO 63. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
30 TO 40. HIGHS 54 TO 64. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ221-071015-
CENTRAL INTERIOR-
INCLUDING...NENANA...ANDERSON...TANANA...MINTO...
MANLEY HOT SPRINGS...RAMPART...LAKE MINCHUMINA...LIVENGOOD
806 AM AKDT FRI MAY 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP         20           40           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-61 (-4)   27-37 (+1)   50-60
RH % (24H TREND)      25-40 (+9)   68-83 (+3)   37-52
20FTWND(MPH)          LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 4-8 G19
CWR                   5            10           10
LAL                   1            1            2

REMARKS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SAT NORTH OF MANLEY.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS 30 TO 40.
HIGHS 52 TO 62. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 31 TO 41.
HIGHS 52 TO 62. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
31 TO 41. HIGHS 53 TO 63. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ222-071015-
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...FAIRBANKS...FORT WAINWRIGHT...EIELSON AFB...ESTER...
NORTH POLE...MOOSE CREEK...TWO RIVERS...FOX...CHATANIKA...
CHENA HOT SPRINGS...SOURDOUGH CAMP
806 AM AKDT FRI MAY 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP         0            30           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-62 (+2)   31-41 (0)    48-58
RH % (24H TREND)      19-32 (+11)  67-82 (+5)   36-51
20FTWND(MPH)          LGT/VAR      W 3-7        W 6-10 G21
CWR                   0            10           10
LAL                   1            1            2

REMARKS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SAT.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS 32 TO 41.
HIGHS 53 TO 63. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 32 TO 42. HIGHS 53 TO 63. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 32 TO 42. HIGHS 54 TO 64.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ223-071015-
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE
806 AM AKDT FRI MAY 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP         0            20           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-61 (0)    33-41 (0)    48-58
RH % (24H TREND)      23-36 (+7)   70-85 (-2)   34-46
20FTWND(MPH)          S 6-10 G20   W 6-10 G21   W 7-11 G21
CWR                   0            5            10
LAL                   1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS 32 TO 40. HIGHS
52 TO 62. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 32 TO 39. HIGHS 54 TO 62. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 33 TO 40. HIGHS 54 TO 63.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ224-071015-
UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY-
INCLUDING...TOK...TANACROSS...EAGLE...TETLIN...NORTHWAY...ALCAN...
CHICKEN...BOUNDARY
806 AM AKDT FRI MAY 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP         30           50           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-60 (-1)   24-34 (0)    46-56
RH % (24H TREND)      20-35 (+17)  71-86 (+2)   34-49
20FTWND(MPH)          SE 3-7       SW 4-8 G21   W 7-11 G23
CWR                   10           10           10
LAL                   2            2            2

REMARKS...LOCAL GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE UPPER YUKON VALLEY. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...TONIGHT AND SAT.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS 24 TO 34. HIGHS
50 TO 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 24 TO 34. HIGHS 52 TO 62. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
26 TO 36. HIGHS 52 TO 62. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ225-071015-
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
806 AM AKDT FRI MAY 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP         30           40           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-58 (-1)   24-34 (+2)   47-57
RH % (24H TREND)      22-37 (+6)   67-82 (-6)   31-46
20FTWND(MPH)          S 8-12 G22   W 6-10 G21   SW 8-12 G21
CWR                   10           10           10
LAL                   1            1            1

REMARKS...LOCAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN PASSES.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS 25 TO 35. HIGHS
51 TO 61. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 25 TO 35.
HIGHS 50 TO 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 26 TO 36. HIGHS
51 TO 61. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ226-071015-
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
806 AM AKDT FRI MAY 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP         30           30           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-58 (-2)   18-28 (-1)   45-55
RH % (24H TREND)      26-41 (+7)   62-77 (-5)   34-49
20FTWND(MPH)          S 12-19 G30  SW 9-13 G26  W 7-11 G21
CWR                   10           10           10
LAL                   1            1            1

REMARKS...LOCAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN PASSES.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS 21 TO 31. HIGHS
49 TO 59. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 21 TO 31.
HIGHS 50 TO 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
22 TO 32. HIGHS 51 TO 61. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NTS MAY 16



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