Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS53 KAPX 181823
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
223 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024

...Brisk winds, especially late Tuesday into Wednesday...

.DISCUSSION...Low pressure will slowly cross the region late
tonight into Tuesday night. After a brief intrusion of milder air
early Tuesday, a cold front will bring colder air late Tuesday
through the rest of the week. Current northwest winds will back
west and even southwest into tonight and early Tuesday, before
winds veer northwest late Tuesday and beyond. Winds will be
especially gusty late Tuesday, Tuesday night, and Wednesday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-191030-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
223 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    snow showers until 2400, then chance of snow
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....21-26.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 1 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (89).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....34-39.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (879).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.11 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....17-22.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 13 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (384).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers until 1200. Patchy blowing snow.
Max Temperature.....26-31.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 20 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 36 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1548).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-191030-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
223 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    snow showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....22-27.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (156).
Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (891).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min Temperature.....20-25.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........76-81 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (329).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers until 1200. Patchy blowing snow.
Max Temperature.....29-34.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 20 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 32 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1872).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 27 to 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .


$$

MIZ020-025>027-191030-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
223 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of snow
                    showers until 2400, then chance of snow
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....24-29.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........80-85 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (88).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of snow showers
                    until 1200, then slight chance of snow showers.
Max Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1038).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers until 2400, then snow showers likely.
Min Temperature.....17-22.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........77-82 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (287).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers until 1200. Patchy blowing snow.
Max Temperature.....26-31.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 1 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 20 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 36 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1570).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .


$$

MIZ031>033-191030-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
223 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    snow showers.
Min Temperature.....21-26.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........76-81 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (94).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    snow showers.
Max Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1108).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....18-23.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (272).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy blowing
                    snow after 1200.
Max Temperature.....27-32.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1576).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-191030-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
223 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    snow showers.
Min Temperature.....21-26.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........78-83 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (167).
Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of snow showers
                    until 1200, then slight chance of snow showers.
Max Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1052).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min Temperature.....19-24.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........78-83 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (345).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers until 1200. Patchy blowing snow.
Max Temperature.....27-32.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1773).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 27 to 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY BLOWING SNOW IN THE EVENING.
LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND
20 MPH.

$$

JZ


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.