Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 230635
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
235 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2017

...Record-setting warmth continues today through Sunday...

.DISCUSSION...Dry weather and mainly clear skies are expected across
our entire region thru Sunday as high pressure remains in control.
Another hot late September day is expected across Northern Michigan...
and maximum temperature records will likely be matched or broken again
today for some locations.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-232015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
235 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....90-95...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent...except 58-63 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (820).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 74-79 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 8 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (890).
Mixing Height.......6700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-232015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
235 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....92-97...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (640).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....87-92...except 74-79 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 60-65 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (660).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-232015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
235 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....89-94...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (710).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....87-92...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 5 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (960).
Mixing Height.......6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-232015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
235 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....89-94...except 78-83 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (680).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....87-92...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 3 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1060).
Mixing Height.......7300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-232015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
235 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....91-96.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (720).
Mixing Height.......7700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....87-92.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (940).
Mixing Height.......6900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 3 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MR



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