Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 281852
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
252 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...

An anomalously strong mid and upper level subtropical ridge
will build westward from the Atlantic Ocean over the weekend.
We will be on the warm and moist western periphery of the ridge
most of the weekend with a few bouts of showers and
thunderstorms anticipated. The exact timing of any rain will
be difficult to pinpoint both Saturday and Sunday, thanks to a
slowly meandering frontal boundary over the region. A few of
the thunderstorms could be on the strong side with gusty winds.

The best chance for rain will be Monday afternoon into Monday
evening. A strong trough should bring cooler drier weather to
the region for the second part of next week.

PAZ004>006-010-011-290915-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
252 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                              Tonight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  50           50           50           60
Temp (24h trend)              53 (+8)      72 (+1)           47           76
RH % (24h trend)              96 (-4)     54 (+26)          100           48
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                          W  6                     SE  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  5         W  7         N  5         S  8
Precip Amount                    0.22         0.17         0.11         0.12
Precip Duration                     3            4            2            2
Precip Begin                     8 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            210         2370          520         2680
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE  6         W  8        SE 12         S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        36290         2380        71860
Dispersion                          1            5            2            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            0
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            2            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 60. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Lows
around 50. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler. Highs
in the upper 50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 40. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-290915-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
252 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                              Tonight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  50           50           50           50
Temp (24h trend)              56 (+5)      76 (+4)           53           76
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)     54 (+24)          100           53
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                          W  7                      E  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR         W  8         N  5        SE  7
Precip Amount                    0.23         0.17         0.06         0.10
Precip Duration                     3            2            2            2
Precip Begin                     8 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            260         3160          260         3090
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE  5         W 18        NE  3         S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        83890            0       131230
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            0
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 60. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-290915-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
252 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                              Tonight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  40           30           40           60
Temp (24h trend)              57 (+8)      79 (+7)           58           79
RH % (24h trend)              93 (-7)     47 (+16)          100           49
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                     SW 10 G20                     SE  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  5     W 10 G18         S  5         S  7
Precip Amount                    0.14         0.15         0.06         0.08
Precip Duration                     3            2            2            8
Precip Begin                     8 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            330         4340           70         7210
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE 13        SW 20        SE  3        SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        85480            0       156350
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            0
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows around 50. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs around 60. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs around 60. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-035-290915-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
252 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                              Tonight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  30           30           30           40
Temp (24h trend)              60 (+6)      83 (+8)           57           77
RH % (24h trend)              97 (-3)     45 (+16)          100           55
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                          W  7                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  5         W  8         N  5        SE  5
Precip Amount                    0.09         0.09         0.05         0.10
Precip Duration                     3            2            2            2
Precip Begin                    11 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            330         4330          220         2410
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE 10         W 18         E  3        SE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        87120            0        48970
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            0
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            2            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-290915-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
252 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                              Tonight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  40           50           40           50
Temp (24h trend)              54 (+1)      74 (+2)           48           70
RH % (24h trend)              96 (-4)     54 (+22)           90           55
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SW  6                      E  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  6         W  8         N  6        SE  8
Precip Amount                    0.20         0.14         0.07         0.11
Precip Duration                     3            2            2            2
Precip Begin                    11 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             70         2920          470         1510
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE  6         W  9         E  7         S  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        42210          270        19910
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            0
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        4            3            3            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler. Highs
around 60. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-058-290915-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick,
and Pottsville
252 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                              Tonight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  30           30           30           20
Temp (24h trend)              59 (+1)      80 (+4)           54           72
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)     51 (+20)           90           53
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                          W  5                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  5         W  8         N  5        SE  6
Precip Amount                    0.12         0.10         0.04         0.07
Precip Duration                     3            2            2            1
Precip Begin                    11 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)              0         3740          370         1700
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  5         W 22         N  5        SE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        85050            0        25720
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            0
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        4            3            3            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds
10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-290915-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
252 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                              Tonight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  10           20           30           20
Temp (24h trend)              61 (+2)      86 (+7)           59           74
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)     45 (+15)           96           56
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SW  7                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  5         W  8         N  5        SE  5
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.04         0.04         0.06
Precip Duration                     1            1            2            1
Precip Begin                    11 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing         6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)              0         5340           60         1900
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE  6         W 18        NE  3         E 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        86090            0        25020
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            0
LAL                      9-15 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES
Haines Index                        4            4            3            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
70s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


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