Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 221009
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
609 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...

A stationary front located just south of the Mason-Dixon line
early this morning will lift slowly north across the district
today, bringing a return to warmer and much more humid
conditions this afternoon right through Friday night.

In addition to scattered showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon and evening, mainly across central and western
Pennsylvania, a plume of deep tropical moisture well to
the east of Tropical Storm Cindy, and the remnants of Cindy
herself, will stream north into the region for late tonight
through friday night, bringing more frequent showers and
occasional thunderstorms. Locally heavy rain of over one
inch in just an hour is possible Friday and Friday night.

Warm and muggy conditions will occur tonight and again Friday
night.

A cold front will push east across the region during the morning
or early afternoon hours Saturday, followed by drier and cooler
air with comfortable humidity that will last through much of next
week.

PAZ004-005-222115-
Warren-McKean-
Including the cities of Warren and Bradford
609 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  50           70          100
Temp (24h trend)              82 (+9)     65 (+16)           77
RH % (24h trend)              49 (+6)      100 (0)           64
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                     SW  8
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)        SW  8 G19    SW  7 G17        SW 10
Precip Amount                    0.17         0.36         0.33
Precip Duration                     1            5           10
Precip Begin                    11 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5030         1190         2300
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 17        SW 20        SW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               88610         7570        57780
Dispersion                          5            3            5
DSI                                 1            0            0
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ006-010>012-017-018-222115-
Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Coudersport, St. Marys, Ridgway,
Emporium, Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, and Philipsburg
609 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  40           70          100
Temp (24h trend)              82 (+6)     65 (+13)           80
RH % (24h trend)              46 (+7)      100 (0)           63
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                     SW  7
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)        SW  7 G17    SW  6 G17    SW  9 G18
Precip Amount                    0.10         0.27         0.35
Precip Duration                     1            5           10
Precip Begin                    11 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5100          760         1850
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 14        SW 14        SW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               77400          450        51080
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 70. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 70.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
mid 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-222115-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
609 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy       Cloudy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  40           80          100
Temp (24h trend)              82 (+7)      65 (+8)           78
RH % (24h trend)              51 (+7)      97 (-3)           69
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)            SW  5                 SW  8 G18
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  7 G17    SW  6 G17    SW 11 G21
Precip Amount                    0.06         0.24         0.56
Precip Duration                     2            5           12
Precip Begin                     8 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4890          190         3320
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 13        SW  9         W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               56940          450        89940
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            0
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 60s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-035-222115-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
609 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        MCldy       Cloudy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  40           70           90
Temp (24h trend)              85 (+5)     68 (+11)           84
RH % (24h trend)              43 (+4)      97 (-3)           55
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                     SW  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  6        SW  5    SW  8 G18
Precip Amount                    0.05         0.21         0.45
Precip Duration                     1            4           12
Precip Begin                     9 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5880          180         3600
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 14        SW  7         W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               80640            0        98030
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-222115-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
609 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  30           60           80
Temp (24h trend)              81 (+5)     66 (+13)           82
RH % (24h trend)              42 (+1)      97 (-3)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                 SW  7 G19
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)        SW  7 G17    SW  6 G17    SW 10 G21
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.20         0.33
Precip Duration                     1            5           10
Precip Begin                     2 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5120          220         2090
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 13        SW 12        SW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               70290            0        54250
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                      9-15 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
mid 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-222115-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, and Berwick
609 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  20           60           80
Temp (24h trend)              85 (+5)     68 (+12)           85
RH % (24h trend)              41 (+1)      97 (-3)           55
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                     SW  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  5      LGT/VAR    SW  8 G18
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.19         0.33
Precip Duration                     1            5           10
Precip Begin                     3 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5480           50         2510
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 12         S  5        SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               63400            0        53230
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                      9-15 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-222115-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
609 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  30           60           80
Temp (24h trend)              88 (+4)      69 (+8)           86
RH % (24h trend)              43 (+9)      100 (0)           55
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                     SW  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             W  5      LGT/VAR        SW  8
Precip Amount                    0.01         0.15         0.29
Precip Duration                     0            4           10
Precip Begin                     3 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           6360            0         4180
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 13        SW  7        SW 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               77240            0        99640
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                      9-15 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around
80. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ058-222115-
Schuylkill-
Including the city of Pottsville
609 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0           50           80
Temp (24h trend)              84 (+4)     68 (+11)           85
RH % (24h trend)              41 (-4)      97 (-3)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                     SW  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  6      LGT/VAR    SW  8 G17
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.11         0.21
Precip Duration                                  2            9
Precip Begin                                  6 PM   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5920          100         3700
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 12        SW  5        SW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               68810            0        66110
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       1-8 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


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