Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 241450 AAB
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1043 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
DRY LOW-LEVEL AIR IS IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...AND
DAYTIME MIXING WILL ALLOW DRY AIR TO CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON
/AWAY FROM THE LAKE SHADOWS/. RH VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE 15 TO 25
PERCENT RANGE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON...HIGHER NEAR THE
LAKESHORES. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST AS HIGH AS 20 MPH THIS
EVENING. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL WORK THROUGH SOUTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING PRODUCING A PERIOD OF SHOWERS
INTO FRIDAY MORNING. RH VALUES WILL SETTLE BETWEEN 40 AND 50 PERCENT
FRIDAY AFTERNOON ONCE THE SHOWERS END AND DRY AIR STARTS WORKING
BACK INTO THE AREA WITH GUSTY WESTERLY FLOW.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-242100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
1043 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-26 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6210-6710 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1140).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2 AM UNTIL 5 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......660-860 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 1 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 3 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 5 PM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO AROUND 35 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2040).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-242100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
1043 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5680-6180 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 15 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (920).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER 4 AM UNTIL 5 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......380-580 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    25 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 3 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 5 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 6 PM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5660-6160 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1870).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-242100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
1043 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-22 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5250-5750 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (890).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2 AM UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 7 AM...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......640-840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY. POP...80
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5750-6250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1930).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.

$$

DT






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