Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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858
FNUS53 KDTX 290803
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
359 AM EDT Thu Jun 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...There will be the potential for showers and
thunderstorms throughout the late week period. Greatest potential
will exist from the I-69 corridor southward today, with chances
increasing areawide Thursday night and Friday. These conditions
will result from warm and increasingly humid conditions under
moderate southwest wind. Gusts of 20 to 30 mph will exist
throughout the afternoon period.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-291900-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
359 AM EDT Thu Jun 29 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2 pm then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 4 pm then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms until noon then a
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts to 35 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6040-6540 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph increasing to around 30
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1900).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until midnight then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......420-620 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph decreasing to around 15
                    mph in the late evening and early
                    morning then becoming west around 25 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 8 am then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely until
                    2 pm then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 60
                    percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........70 percent.
   24 hr trend......10-12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3980-4480 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (750).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-291900-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
359 AM EDT Thu Jun 29 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2 pm then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms until noon then a
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........60-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts to 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6390-6890 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph becoming southwest
                    around 30 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (2110).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 am then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........97 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 mph decreasing to 20 to 25
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 8 am then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........68-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3710-4210 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (750).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-291900-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
359 AM EDT Thu Jun 29 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to 20
                    to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
                    Gusts to 35 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6750-7250 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph increasing to around 30
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (2190).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph becoming west around 15
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely. Chance of precipitation
                    70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........65-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......10-15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4730-5230 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1430).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80.

$$

HLO



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