Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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454
FNUS53 KDTX 240722
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
322 AM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

.DISCUSSION...WARM AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEK
WHILE BECOMING MORE HUMID EACH DAY. SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WILL BEGIN TONIGHT WITH A PEAK IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT NEAR A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SETTLING INTO
SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE BACK NORTH THURSDAY AND
LEAVE LIGHT SOUTH WIND TO MAINTAIN WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS INTO THE
WEEKEND WITH A LINGERING CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-242115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
322 AM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-37 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8670-9170 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 15
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1620).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7530-8030 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (770).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-242115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
322 AM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8720-9220 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1320).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 AM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7340-7840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (930).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-242115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
322 AM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300-8800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1270).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 9 PM UNTIL
                    7 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7030-7530 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1000).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
.MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

SF



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