Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 271947
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
343 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ELEVATED TODAY AS WARM AND MOIST
SOUTHWEST FLOW PERSISTS. WITH THIS AIRMASS IN PLACE...EXPECT ANOTHER
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS
EVENING IN SOME LOCATIONS. DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN ON THURSDAY WITH
MINIMUM RH VALUES DROPPING BELOW 40 PERCENT BY AFTERNOON.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-281400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
343 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 PM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8540-9040 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1010).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 PM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7920-8420 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2200).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-281400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
343 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500-9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1030).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 PM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7590-8090 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2050).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-281400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
343 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY. PATCHY FOG
                    AFTER 3 AM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT...BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...DECREASING TO 0 TO 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6910-7410 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (620).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 PM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8140-8640 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1710).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

DG



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