Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 281937
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
337 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

...RAIN FOR THE WEEKEND...

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE IN LATE TONIGHT BRINGING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. SUNDAY SHOULD BE RELATIVELY
QUIET BEFORE MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ROLL THROUGH ON
MONDAY.

MIZ037>039-043>045-290815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
337 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.15 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.26 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 0200...THEN A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.78 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 61-66
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 15
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.44 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-290815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
337 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.13 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.23 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.25-0.49 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-290815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
337 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.22 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.43 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.41 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-290815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
337 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.26 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.22-0.31 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-290815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
337 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500-8000 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.14 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800-8300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 4700-5200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.45 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
9 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

OSTUNO




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