Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 061041
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
541 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE VA CAPES TODAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL
DEVELOP OFFSHORE AND EAST OF THE FLORIDA COAST TONIGHT AND
QUICKLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST. THE DEEPENING LOW WILL
PASS THE AREA WATERS DURING SUNDAY...AND PULL AWAY FROM THE REGION
SUN NIGHT. LOOKING AT LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM...
WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW MIXING IN MAINLY WELL INLAND LATE TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY. AN ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE MONDAY NIGHT BEHIND A
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...AND WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE
MID TO LATE WEEK PERIOD.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS UNFAVORABLE
THIS MORNING TYPE 1-F...MAXIMUM WIND NEAR 900 FT AGL...DIRECTION
NE...SPEED 23 MPH.
WIND PROFILE BECOMING FAVORABLE THIS AFTERNOON.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-070245-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
541 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            90           100
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          51           34           45
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  4        N  7         N 16 G32
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  7         N 11 G22     N 17 G34
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.27         0.69
PRECIP DURATION                    4            12
INVERSION             43/1100      1900         37/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        41           91           57
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2400                      2180
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 10                      N 48
VENTILATION RATE      24000                     104640
ADI EARLY             24 FAIR      11 POOR      68 GOOD
ADI LATE              23 FAIR      27 FAIR      98 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...WINDY. MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
25 TO 30 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
66 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ096-099-070245-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
541 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            80           90
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          50           33           45
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  3        N  6         N 13 G22
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  7         N  9         N 14 G22
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.48
PRECIP DURATION                    3            9
INVERSION             42/1100      1900         37/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        43           89           52
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3130                      2290
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 13                     N 46
VENTILATION RATE      40690                     105340
ADI EARLY             24 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  64 GOOD
ADI LATE              41 GEN GOOD  24 FAIR      97 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
67 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-070245-
ROBESON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LUMBERTON
541 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            60           80
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          50           33           47
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  3        NE  6        N 11 G20
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  7        NE  8        N 13 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.30
PRECIP DURATION                    2            4
INVERSION             42/1100      1900         38/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        41           87           50
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3710                      2530
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     N 40
VENTILATION RATE      44520                     101200
ADI EARLY             21 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  57 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              48 GEN GOOD  23 FAIR      89 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            3            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
76 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 40. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
66 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-070245-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
541 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            90           100
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          50           34           46
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  5        N  8         N 16 G29
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  8         N 13 G22     N 16 G30
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.42         0.63
PRECIP DURATION                    7            10
INVERSION             43/1100      1900         37/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        44           91           55
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2480                      2300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 14                     N 46
VENTILATION RATE      34720                     105800
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      13 GEN POOR  58 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              30 FAIR      25 FAIR      97 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
81 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
76 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
66 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-070245-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
541 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            80           90
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          51           34           47
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  3        N  7         N 13 G21
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  8        N 10         N 13 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.29         0.39
PRECIP DURATION                    5            7
INVERSION             42/1100      1900         37/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        43           91           52
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3180                      2370
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 14                     N 41
VENTILATION RATE      44520                     97170
ADI EARLY             29 FAIR      13 GEN POOR  49 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              41 GEN GOOD  26 FAIR      87 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
75 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
69 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM
RH 41 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-070245-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
541 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            60           80
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          51           33           47
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      NE  6        N 11
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  6        NE  8        N 11 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.22
PRECIP DURATION                    2            2
INVERSION             42/1100      1900         39/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        39           87           48
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3910                      2660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 13                     N 37
VENTILATION RATE      50830                     98420
ADI EARLY             21 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  53 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              48 GEN GOOD  22 FAIR      87 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        1            3            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
71 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

DOUGH


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