Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 222117
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
317 PM CST MON DEC 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS PERSISTING. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WITH
SHOWER CHANCES RETURNING FOR THE WEEKEND. THE SHOWERS WILL COMBINE
WITH HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO KEEP FUEL MOISTURE HIGH THROUGH
AT LEAST WEDNESDAY. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTH ON
TUESDAY...AND FROM THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-231130-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
317 PM CST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     50           40           60           40
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.11         0.07         0.15         0.19
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            2            9            2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      43 (+1)      53 (-1)      37           44
RH % (24H TREND)      98 (-1)      56 (-22)     90           71
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                LGT/VAR                   W 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SW 5-9       N 3-7        N 6-10       W 7-11
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 1073                      1473
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3519                      4831
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1159                      1558
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                3801                      5113
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  7                      W  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      W 18
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  8113                      12464
CATEGORY DAY                       4                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              49                        43
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               N  7                      W  7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               N 16                      W 16
DISPERSION INDEX      32           40           30           49
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  3            2            2            3
STABILITY             D            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-231130-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
317 PM CST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     50           50           80           30
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.17         0.13         0.18         0.11
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            2            12           2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      45 (+1)      55 (-3)      38           46
RH % (24H TREND)      99 (0)       58 (-19)     94           71
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                N 2-6                     W 6-10
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SW 4-8       N 5-9        N 8-12       W 7-11 G17
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 759                       1709
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2489                      5608
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 821                       1771
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                2693                      5811
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N 10                      W  9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      W 20
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  8210                      15939
CATEGORY DAY                       4                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              51                        45
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               N  9                      W  7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               N 21                      W 16
DISPERSION INDEX      20           43           35           50
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2            3
STABILITY             D            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            2            2            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
50. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-231130-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
317 PM CST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     70           70           90           60
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.27         0.13         0.37         0.40
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      9            9            12           9
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      49 (+11)     57 (+2)      41           45
RH % (24H TREND)      90 (-5)      51 (-20)     88           75
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                LGT/VAR                   W 6-10
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 6-10       NE 3-7       N 5-9        W 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 487                       1424
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1599                      4671
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 609                       1545
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                1997                      5068
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                NE  4                     W 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  8                     W 22
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  2436                      15450
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              54                        44
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               N  5                      W  7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               N 11                      W 17
DISPERSION INDEX      20           22           29           46
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2            2
STABILITY             D            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      2            3            2            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-231130-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
317 PM CST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     70           70           90           60
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.28         0.16         0.34         0.26
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      9            9            12           2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      50 (+10)     58 (+1)      42           47
RH % (24H TREND)      95 (0)       50 (-21)     90           74
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                LGT/VAR                   W 6-10
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 5-9        NE 3-7       N 4-8        W 7-11
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 295                       1497
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                968                       4910
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 416                       1618
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                1365                      5307
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                NE  5                     W 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 10                     W 22
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  2080                      16180
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              55                        44
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               NE  6                     W  8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               NE 13                     W 17
DISPERSION INDEX      15           25           34           50
LAL                   1            2            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2            2
STABILITY             D            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
50. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-231130-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
317 PM CST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           70           90           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.28         0.18         0.25         0.10
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      9            9            12           2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      50 (+6)      60 (+2)      42           48
RH % (24H TREND)      97 (-1)      55 (-21)     89           71
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                N 2-6                     W 6-10
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 4-8        N 5-9        N 7-11       W 8-12
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 422                       1657
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1383                      5436
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 493                       1729
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                1619                      5671
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  8                      W  9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      W 20
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  3944                      15561
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              58                        45
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               NE  7                     W  7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               NE 15                     W 16
DISPERSION INDEX      14           30           39           53
LAL                   3            2            1            1
LASI                  3            2            2            2
STABILITY             D            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            2            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-231130-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
317 PM CST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     70           80           100          40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.23         0.27         0.37         0.12
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      9            12           12           2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      52 (+9)      62 (+6)      46           49
RH % (24H TREND)      97 (+3)      61 (-13)     91           71
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                LGT/VAR                   NW 6-10
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 5-9        E 2-6        NE 4-8       W 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 367                       1414
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1203                      4640
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 491                       1538
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                1610                      5046
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                SE  6                     W  9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     W 20
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  2946                      13842
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              63                        45
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               S  7                      W  7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               S 15                      W 16
DISPERSION INDEX      12           37           31           50
LAL                   3            2            2            1
LASI                  2            3            2            2
STABILITY             D            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GW



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