Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS52 KMLB 041822
FWFMLB

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
222 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT SWEEPING DOWN PENINSULA AND SHOULD BE CLEARING
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY PER GUIDANCE.

THE NORTHWEST WIND FLOW BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST
U.S. AND THE EXITING COLD FRONT ADVECTS DRIER AND COOLER AIR INTO
CENTRAL FLORIDA STARTING LATE OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY AND LASTING
UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT WHEN WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTH THEN SOUTHEAST
ALLOWING FOR SOME MOISTURE RECOVERY.

SEVERAL HOURS OF AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW THE
CRITICAL VALUE OF 35 PERCENT THROUGH SUNDAY. WINDS STRONGEST
THURSDAY BUT DURATION OF CRITICAL VALUES AND ERC VALUES WOULD BE
HIGHER DUE TO RECENT RAIN PRECLUDE FORMAL FIRE WEATHER WATCHES.

FUTURE SHIFTS WILL HAVE TO INVESTIGATE ISSUING FIRE WEATHER
WATCHES FOR THE INTERIOR WHERE THERE WILL BE SEVERAL HOURS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES 35 PERCENT AND BELOW AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER
ERC VALUES BECAUSE OF NO RAIN STARTING THURSDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG NOT EXPECTED.

FLZ041-044-144-051100-
INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DEBARY...DELAND...DELTONA...EUSTIS...
MOUNT DORA...LEESBURG...TAVARES...CLERMONT...MASCOTTE...GROVELAND
222 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP                  56           80           51           78
RH %                  100          31           80           34
20FT WND MPH (AM)                  W  8                      W  7
20FT WND MPH (PM)     W  6         W 17 G32     W 10 G27     NW 12
PRECIP DURATION       3
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM
PRECIP END            5 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   300          4000         500          3500
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH)  W  9         W 26         NW 12        NW 17
DISPERSION INDEX      3            90           4            64
MAX LVORI             9                         4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ141-051100-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DAYTONA BEACH...NEW SMYRNA BEACH...
ORMOND BEACH
222 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP                  56           81           52           77
RH %                  100          35           79           35
20FT WND MPH (AM)                  W 11 G23                  W  9
20FT WND MPH (PM)     SW  7        W 16 G26     W 12 G24     NW 13 G20
PRECIP DURATION       3
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM
PRECIP END            5 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   300          4000         600          3500
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH)  SW  9        W 25         NW 13        W 15
DISPERSION INDEX      4            94           5            64
MAX LVORI             9                         4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ045-046-051100-
ORANGE-SEMINOLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...APOPKA...MAITLAND...ORLANDO...
WINTER PARK...UNION PARK...ALTAMONTE SPRINGS...CASSELBERRY...
OVIEDO...SANFORD...WINTER SPRINGS
222 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP                  59           80           54           78
RH %                  98           34           80           34
20FT WND MPH (AM)                  W  9 G22                  W  8
20FT WND MPH (PM)     SW  6        W 18 G31     W 12 G27     NW 12
PRECIP DURATION       3
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM
PRECIP END            5 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   300          4000         500          4000
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH)  SW  7        W 25         NW 10        W 17
DISPERSION INDEX      2            80           4            74
MAX LVORI             8                         4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ147-051100-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COCOA...TITUSVILLE
222 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP                  58           79           52           77
RH %                  99           41           80           37
20FT WND MPH (AM)                  W 10                      W 10
20FT WND MPH (PM)     S  6         W 15 G25     W 14 G26     NW 12 G22
PRECIP DURATION       3
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM
PRECIP END            5 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   300          4000         500          3500
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH)  SW 12        W 22         NW 14        W 15
DISPERSION INDEX      3            76           5            74
MAX LVORI             8                         4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ053-051100-
OSCEOLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CELEBRATION...KISSIMMEE...SAINT CLOUD
222 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP                  56           80           53           78
RH %                  100          37           95           35
20FT WND MPH (AM)                  W  8 G17                  NW  7
20FT WND MPH (PM)     W  6         W 15 G28     W 11 G25     NW 12
PRECIP DURATION       3
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM
PRECIP END            5 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   300          4000         300          4000
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH)  S  9         W 22         NW 12        W 17
DISPERSION INDEX      2            76           5            74
MAX LVORI             10                        6

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ047-054-051100-
SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-INDIAN RIVER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF....MELBOURNE...PALM BAY...ROCKLEDGE...
SEBASTIAN...VERO BEACH
222 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP                  55           82           53           78
RH %                  100          35           97           37
20FT WND MPH (AM)                  W 11                      W  8
20FT WND MPH (PM)     SW  7        W 14 G23     W 11 G23     NW 12
PRECIP DURATION       6
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM
PRECIP END            5 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   4            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   300          4000         300          4000
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH)  SW  7        W 20         NW 15        W 16
DISPERSION INDEX      3            76           5            74
MAX LVORI             9                         6

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ058-051100-
OKEECHOBEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BASINGER...FORT DRUM...OKEECHOBEE
222 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP                  54           79           53           77
RH %                  100          41           100          43
20FT WND MPH (AM)                  W  6                      NW  5
20FT WND MPH (PM)     SW 11 G20    NW 12 G23    NW  9        NW 13 G25
PRECIP DURATION       3
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM
PRECIP END            5 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   4            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   300          4000         200          3500
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH)  W 14         W 17         NW 13        W 17
DISPERSION INDEX      7            80           6            64
MAX LVORI             8                         8

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FLZ059-064-051100-
ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT SAINT LUCIE...FORT PIERCE...
HOBE SOUND...JENSEN BEACH...PORT SALERNO...STUART
222 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP                  56           82           53           79
RH %                  100          34           96           34
20FT WND MPH (AM)                  NW  8                     NW  6
20FT WND MPH (PM)     W 12 G20     NW 13 G23    NW 10 G21    NW 11
PRECIP DURATION       6
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM
PRECIP END            6 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   4            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   300          4000         400          4000
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH)  W 17         W 16         NW 16        W 17
DISPERSION INDEX      5            78           6            88
MAX LVORI             8                         6

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$



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