Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 201937
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
237 PM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Surface high pressure will continue to bring warm air into the
Southern Appalachian Region through Sunday and Monday.  A cold front
will move into the area late Monday into Monday night and provide us
with our next chance of rain showers.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212045-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
237 PM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (+8)   53-58 (+8)   36-41        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      94-99 (+24)  63-68 (+20)  95-100       58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      S 14 G35
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            30
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 1 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3100                      3000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1100                      1000
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  8                     S 20
Dispersion                         7 Poor                    16 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6                     SE 11 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        S  6         SE  5        S 17 G35

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs in the 30s to
upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 20s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 30s to mid 40s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the 30s
to mid 40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212045-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
237 PM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (+7)   54-59 (+7)   35-40        53-58
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (+12)  61-66 (+24)  95-100       61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 14 G36
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  5 G16     LGT/VAR      S  7 G18     S 17 G47
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 1 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4100                      3400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1300                      600
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  7                     S 28
Dispersion                         7 Poor                    14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 17 G36
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  6 G16     SW  5        S  9 G18     S 21 G47

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of rain. Highs in the 30s
to upper 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Colder.
Lows in the 20s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to upper 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-212045-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
237 PM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      36-41 (+9)   55-60 (+7)   38-43        53-58
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (+3)   56-61 (+13)  88-93        63-68
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 18 G51
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G26     S 23 G59
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            50
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 1 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.10
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4000                      3900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1000                      900
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  8                     S 37
Dispersion                         6 Very poor               24 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 23 G51
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        SW  6        S 11 G26     S 28 G59

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Breezy, showers. Lows in the upper 20s to lower
40s. Southwest winds 5 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of rain and snow. Highs in
the lower 30s to mid 40s. West winds 5 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 20s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
40s to mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
40s to mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-212045-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
237 PM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (+6)   58-63 (+5)   41-46        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      83-88 (+11)  52-57 (+12)  90-95        65-70
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 16 G41
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G22    S 17 G45
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            60
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 1 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.25
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3100                      3000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1000                      1000
Transport wnd (mph)                S  7                      S 30
Dispersion                         6 Very poor               23 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 21 G41
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SE 10 G22    S 22 G45

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 20s to lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s. West
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the 20s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper
40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-212045-
Nantahala National Forest-
237 PM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+7)   58-63 (+4)   38-43        54-59
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+9)   52-57 (+9)   95-100       69-74
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 13 G32
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6 G17    S 15 G38
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 10 AM
PRECIP END                                                   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.25
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2900
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                1300                      700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  5                      SE 23
DISPERSION                         5 Very poor               13 Gen poor
MAX LVORI                          5                         6
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 16 G32
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  8 G17    S 19 G38

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s. West
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper
40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212045-
East Tennessee District East-
237 PM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (+9)   56-61 (+8)   37-42        58-63
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+15)  60-65 (+16)  93-98        59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G27
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        S 13 G36
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            30
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 1 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2500                      2600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1000                      1100
Transport wnd (mph)                S  5                      SE 20
Dispersion                         4 Very poor               17 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G27
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        S 17 G36

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of rain. Highs in the 30s
to upper 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 20s to lower
30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 30s
to upper 40s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to
upper 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
40s to upper 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212045-
East Tennessee District West-
237 PM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      36-41 (+6)   56-61 (+4)   40-45        57-62
RH % (24h trend)      86-91 (+20)  58-63 (+23)  90-95        64-69
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G32
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5 G17    S 13 G34
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            70
Precip duration                                              2
Precip begin                                                 7 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.18
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI/Haines                        2                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2000                      2500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                800                       1200
Transport wnd (mph)                S  7                      S 20
Dispersion                         4 Very poor               20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G32
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  6 G17    S 17 G34

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s. West
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s to
lower 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to
upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows around 40. Highs in the 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-212045-
Cumberland District South-
237 PM EST Sat Jan 20 2018 /137 PM CST Sat Jan 20 2018/

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (+2)   58-63 (+3)   42-47        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      82-87 (+20)  53-58 (+21)  91-96        66-71
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 13 G34
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  7 G19     S 13 G36
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            80
Precip duration                                              3
Precip begin                                                 7 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.33
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 1900                      2300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                700                       1200
Transport wnd (mph)                S  8                      S 22
Dispersion                         5 Very poor               22 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 16 G34
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  9 G19     S 16 G36

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 40s. West winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
50s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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