Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 230800
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
400 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A MOIST AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...KEEPING THE POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE FORECAST. THEN A COLD FRONT SHOULD BRING DRIER AND SLIGHTLY
COOLER AIR TO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE
WEEKEND.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
400 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (0)    64-69 (0)    75-80
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   95-100 (+2)  60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      N  5
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.24         0.16
LAL                   4            3            4
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      5800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      W  7
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   24 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G20     LGT/VAR      N  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
400 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   62-67 (+1)   74-79
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-5)   95-100 (-1)  59-64
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  5        NW  5
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.16         0.19
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     W  9
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               27 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     NW  6        NW  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-240900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
400 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   61-66 (0)    74-79
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-7)   95-100 (+5)  57-62
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.29         0.29
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      5900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     W  9
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   22 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-240900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
400 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+2)   64-69 (+1)   79-84
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-4)   93-98 (+5)   56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.29         0.30
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  2                     W 10
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   30 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-240900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
400 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   64-69 (+2)   78-83
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-4)   93-98 (+2)   55-60
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.20         0.28
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  2                     W 10
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               36 FAIR
MAX LVORI             5                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
400 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+2)   64-69 (0)    78-83
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   95-100 (+1)  56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.28         0.22
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      W  8
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   30 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W  5         NW  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
400 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+2)   65-70 (-1)   79-84
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-4)   95-100 (+5)  53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  5
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.45         0.17
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      W  8
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               30 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
400 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+4)   66-71 (0)    82-87
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-6)   95-100 (+5)  53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.38         0.15
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  2                     W 10
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   39 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TD/SON


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