Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 010728
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
328 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS WILL PRODUCE
PERIODS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MONDAY.
SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY
WINDS...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020830-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
328 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+3)   55-60 (-1)   72-77
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   95-100 (+8)  53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     SW  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  7
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           70
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.12         0.94
LAL                   4            4            4
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 15
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G18                 SW  7 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020830-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
328 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+2)   55-60 (0)    72-77
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   95-100 (+12) 52-57
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           70
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.10         0.73
LAL                   4            4            4
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W 14
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G19                  W  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  5        W  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-020830-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
328 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   57-62 (+1)   72-77
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   88-93 (+7)   50-55
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     SW  7 G18    SW  5
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           70
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.08         0.78
LAL                   4            3            4
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 14
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G22                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G19     SW  9 G23    SW  6 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-020830-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
328 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   59-64 (0)    74-79
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   93-98 (+9)   54-59
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    SW  6        SW  5
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           70
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.09         1.03
LAL                   4            4            4
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 15
DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SW  9 G17    SW  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-020830-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
328 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-3)   56-61 (0)    74-79
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   95-100 (+10) 52-57
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  6        SW  5
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           70
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.11         0.95
LAL                   4            4            4
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW 14
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  7        SW  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
328 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   57-62 (-1)   73-78
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+1)   95-100 (+12) 55-60
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  5
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           70
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.09         0.87
LAL                   4            4            4
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW 14
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  SW  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    SW  5        SW  6 G15

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
328 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+3)   58-63 (-1)   73-78
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   95-100 (+10) 59-64
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        SW  6
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           70
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.08         1.00
LAL                   4            4            5
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 13
DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SW  6 G15    SW  8 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020830-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
328 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016 /228 AM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   58-63 (-1)   73-78
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-3)   95-100 (+8)  61-66
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  6        SW  5
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           70
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.10         1.09
LAL                   4            3            5
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 16
DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SW  8 G15    SW  6 G15

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$


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