Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 261950
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
250 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS INCREASE TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
TO OUR WEST. SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE REGION.
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE
WEEK AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL BRING THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272100-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
250 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      28-33 (+6)   56-61 (+13)  40-45        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      75-80 (+4)   26-31 (+2)   95-100       57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE  6 G18                 S  7 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G23     S  5 G15     SW  9 G24
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           40           50
Precip duration                    1            1            1
Precip begin                       7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.06         0.12
LAL                   1            1            1            4
LASI                               5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4800                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)                S 14                      SW 16
Dispersion                         32 Fair                   5 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  8 G18                 S  9 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  5        S 13 G23     S  7 G15     SW 12 G24

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s to
lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Much colder.
Lows in the 20s to upper 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Highs in the upper 30s to lower
50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the 30s to
40s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272100-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
250 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      27-32 (+7)   53-58 (+11)  40-45        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      79-84 (+7)   26-31 (+4)   95-100       54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  9 G26                  S  6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5 G16     S 11 G26     S  7 G17     SW  8 G20
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           30           50
Precip duration                    1            1            1
Precip begin                       1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.04         0.13
LAL                   1            1            1            4
LASI                               5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5200                      3000
Transport wnd (mph)                S 16                      S 15
Dispersion                         33 Fair                   2 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 12 G26                  S  8 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  6 G16     S 14 G26     S  8 G17     SW 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
lower to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Much colder.
Lows in the mid 20s to lower 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Much cooler. Highs in the 30s to mid
50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the 30s to
40s. North winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-272100-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
250 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      29-34 (+9)   52-57 (+8)   42-47        60-65
RH % (24h trend)      72-77 (+6)   25-30 (+3)   95-100       58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 12 G32                  S  8 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G21     S 12 G33     S  8 G21     SW 10 G23
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           40           60
Precip duration                    1            1            3
Precip begin                       7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.05         0.19
LAL                   1            1            1            4
LASI                               5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5000                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)                S 20                      SW 18
Dispersion                         32 Fair                   4 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 15 G32                  S 10 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G21     S 16 G33     S 10 G21     SW 12 G23

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Much colder.
Lows in the mid 20s to lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Highs in the 30s to mid 50s.
West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 30s
to lower 50s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 60s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-272100-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
250 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      30-35 (+7)   53-58 (+4)   46-51        63-68
RH % (24h trend)      72-77 (+7)   31-36 (+13)  95-100       64-69
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE 11 G30                 S  7 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5 G17     S 11 G30     SE  7 G17    S  8 G19
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            40           40           70
Precip duration                    1            1            3
Precip begin                       7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.10         0.07         0.21
LAL                   1            1            1            4
LASI                               5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4000                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)                S 21                      S 15
Dispersion                         35 Fair                   6 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 15 G30                 S  8 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G17     S 14 G30     SE  8 G17    S 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Much colder.
Lows in the upper 20s to lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Highs in the upper 30s to mid
50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to lower 50s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-272100-
Nantahala National Forest-
250 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+6)   53-58 (+4)   43-48        61-66
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+11)  30-35 (+12)  95-100       68-73
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 10 G28                 S  5 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G27     SE  5 G16    S  6 G16
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         showers      showers      tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           60
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.08         0.20
LAL                   1            1            1            4
LASI                               5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      S 12
DISPERSION                         36 Fair                   3 Very poor
MAX LVORI                          3                         9
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 13 G28                 S  7 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S 13 G27     SE  7 G16    S  8 G16

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Much colder.
Lows in the 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Highs in the lower 40s to mid
50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper
30s to lower 50s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272100-
East Tennessee District East-
250 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      28-33 (+5)   57-62 (+11)  42-47        65-70
RH % (24h trend)      81-86 (+7)   29-34 (+6)   93-98        55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE  6 G20                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G22     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G19
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           40           50
Precip duration                    1            1            1
Precip begin                       1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.05         0.14
LAL                   1            1            1            4
LASI                               5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3900                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)                S 12                      S 14
Dispersion                         26 Fair                   10 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  8 G20                 S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     E  5         S 11 G22     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 60s
to mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Much colder.
Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Much cooler. Highs in the lower 40s to
mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to lower 50s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272100-
East Tennessee District West-
250 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      29-34 (+5)   54-59 (+6)   45-50        64-69
RH % (24h trend)      74-79 (+6)   34-39 (+13)  95-100       64-69
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE  5 G20                 S  6 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G24     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G19
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           50           60
Precip duration                    1            1            3
Precip begin                       7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.09         0.19
LAL                   1            1            1            4
LASI                               5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3300                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)                S 15                      S 17
Dispersion                         25 Fair                   15 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  6 G20                 S  7 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  5        S 11 G24     S  5         SW 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s to
mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers.
Much colder. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper 30s to
lower 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-272100-
Cumberland District South-
250 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017 /150 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017/

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      32-37 (+8)   53-58 (+3)   47-52        64-69
RH % (24h trend)      68-73 (+2)   38-43 (+18)  95-100       71-76
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE  6 G22                 S  7 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G27     S  5         S  8 G20
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            40           60           70
Precip duration                    1            2            3
Precip begin                       7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.10         0.12         0.20
LAL                   1            1            1            4
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2900                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)                S 18                      S 18
Dispersion                         27 Fair                   18 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  8 G22                 S  8 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  5 G17    S 13 G27     S  6         S 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Much colder. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds up to
10 mph.

$$


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