Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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000
FNUS73 KABR 011921 AAA
FWSABR

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST 83...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
221 PM CDT MON JUN 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON JUNE 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST UPDATED BASED ON MUCH APPRECIATED FEEDBACK. RAISED
HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER 80S OR LOW 90S THIS AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK IN THE 1600-1700 CDT TIME FRAME. ALL OTHER
FIELDS SEEM TO BE ON TRACK. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE GUSTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT CLOUD).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (73200-73400).
CWR.................ZERO.
LAL.................1.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........33  33  34  34  37  42
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............85  86  86  87  88  87
RH..............47  47  44  42  39  42
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..11  15  16  16  17  17
20 FT WIND GUST.20  25  25  25  25  25

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT CLOUD) UNTIL
                    2100...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT
                    CLOUD). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 29 TO 36 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6200-7400).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........45  49  56  60  68  74  77  75  71  67  63  60
WEATHER COV.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............85  82  77  74  71  70  69  67  66  65  63  63
RH..............45  49  58  64  68  71  73  78  82  85  88  90
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..17  15  14  14  14  12  12  12  11  11  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT CLOUD). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300. SOME
                    THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 26 TO 32 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (47400-48300) UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD
                    (100600-100800).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........58  57  56  55  53  52  52  52  52  52  52  53
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............63  65  68  71  74  78  81  83  84  85  85  84
RH..............88  86  79  73  68  63  57  53  51  50  50  52
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..14  14  16  17  18  19  19  19  18  17  16  16
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  25  25  30  30  30  30  25  25  25  25

$$
FORECASTER...SERR
REQUESTED BY...RYAN CUMBOW
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150601.WEST8.02/ABR


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