Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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000
FNUS71 KAKQ 131911
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT LEE  VA...RESOURCE MGMT. ASSOC.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
311 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND ON MONDAY...

HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH MONDAY. A
STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST MONDAY NIGHT AND CROSSES
THE REGION TUESDAY. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST TUESDAY NIGHT AND SETTLES OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND
NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          3PM 4PM 5PM
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.8 4.6 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....18  20  20
VRATE KT-FT/1000....78  77  77
LVORI...............1   1   1
ADI.................70  69  67
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 30 MPH...INCREASING TO 33 TO 38 MPH
                    LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO 16 TO
                    22 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.2 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....22  24  26  30  33  38  22  20  18  17  16  16
VRATE KT-FT/1000....59  39  15  13  11  8   5   4   4   4   4   4
LVORI...............1   1   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4   5   5
ADI.................57  55  18  18  16  15  15  13  12  11  11  11
HAINES INDEX........4   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET.
DOMINANT PERIOD.....0 SECONDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-4200 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............38  38  38  51  51  51  64  64  64  73  73  73
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................61  62  63  65  69  73  75  76  77  77  77  77
RH..................93  90  87  75  65  55  50  48  47  45  45  47
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.6 3.2 3.7 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......8   8   9   10  12  13  13  13  13  12  12  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  20  25  25  25  25  20  20  20
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....17  18  21  22  23  24  25  25  25  25  25  25
VRATE KT-FT/1000....4   4   5   20  37  55  68  81  94  93  92  92
LVORI...............5   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................12  13  19  20  43  54  61  67  72  72  71  71
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
DOMINANT PERIOD (S).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0



FORECASTER...MONTEFUSCO
REQUESTED BY...STEPHEN MALLETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20140413.FORTL.01/AKQ






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