Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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000
FNUS71 KAKQ 221119
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR COLD HARBOR2...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
719 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY THE RETURN
OF HIGH PRESSURE FOR LATER TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. A COASTAL
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS BACK TO THE
REGION FOR MID TO LATE WEEK.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4500-4900 FT AGL IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............13  13  7   7   7   8   8   8   9   9   9
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................66  67  69  71  73  74  75  76  76  77  74
RH..................47  45  44  42  40  38  38  37  36  35  38
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.7 0.8 2.0 3.2 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   6   7   7   8   8   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....        10  10  10  10  10  10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....17  17  16  15  15  14  14  13  12  10  9
VRATE KT-FT/1000....10  11  28  43  56  55  55  54  49  44  40
LVORI...............2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................8   8   11  51  57  55  54  52  47  42  39
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   4   4   4   5   5   5   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............10  10  10  9   9   9   8   8   8   11  11  11
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................72  68  64  61  59  58  57  56  55  54  54  52
RH..................39  45  52  58  62  64  67  69  72  71  71  77
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.5 2.2 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....    5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   8   8   9   10  12  13  14  15  15  14  13
VRATE KT-FT/1000....27  16  6   6   5   5   5   4   3   3   3   3
LVORI...............1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4
ADI.................31  22  9   10  5   5   6   6   7   7   6   6
HAINES INDEX........4   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-3400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............18  18  18  21  21  21  23  23  23  26  26  26
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................51  52  54  57  61  65  68  69  70  71  73  70
RH..................80  77  71  64  56  48  42  40  39  39  37  42
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  N   N   N   NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   5   6   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5                   5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  10  9   9   9   9   8   7   6   6   6   6
VRATE KT-FT/1000....3   2   2   8   15  21  21  19  17  16  15  16
LVORI...............4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.................5   5   4   4   21  27  26  23  20  18  18  19
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4



FORECASTER...MCGEE
REQUESTED BY...JOHN FRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140923.COLDH.01/AKQ






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