Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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FNUS71 KAKQ 211404
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for Wildlife Fields...US Army, DPW-ENRD-Forestry
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
904 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on February 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL TODAY WITH NO PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED. VARIABLE AMOUNTS OF HIGH CLOUDS WILL GENERALLY PRODUCE A
PARTLY SUNNY SKY BUT MOSTLY CLOUDY AT TIMES. LIGHT NORTHEAST TO
EAST WINDS CURRENTLY WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST BEFORE NOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light northeast to east winds...becoming southeast
                    4 to 8 mph around 11am.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 2700-3000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).............56  60  60  60  60  62  65  65  65
Weather cov.........
Weather type........
Tstm cov............
Temp................45  49  53  56  58  59  60  59  58
RH..................67  55  46  42  39  37  37  38  40
20 FT wind dir......E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT wind spd......4   5   5   5   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.....10  10  10  10  15  15  15  10  10
Mix hgt (kft).......1.2 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.4
Transp wind dir.....SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.....9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  12
LVORI...............2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
ADI.................13  21  25  28  31  32  32  33  32
Chc of pcpn (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Haines index........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRate kt-ft/1000....9   14  17  21  24  25  26  26  24

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Mixing height.......300-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).............67  70  73  76  78  79  80  81  83  84  86  85
Weather cov.........
Weather type........
Tstm cov............
Temp................55  52  51  49  49  48  48  48  48  48  48  48
RH..................47  54  59  66  68  74  77  80  80  83  83  83
20 FT wind dir......S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd......4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
20 FT wind gust.....10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft).......1.9 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.....13  14  13  10  9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
LVORI...............2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.................8   9   8   7   4   6   4   4   4   4   6   6
Chc of pcpn (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Haines index........2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRate kt-ft/1000....21  17  11  6   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    in the late morning and early afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Mixing height.......increasing to 2200-2500 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).............84     83     82     73     69     71
Weather cov.........
Weather type........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov............
Temp................48     51     57     61     64     65
RH..................86     80     69     65     63     63
20 ft wind..........S 3    S 3    SW 4   SW 4   SW 4   S 3
20 ft wind gust.....5      5      10     10     10     5
Mix hgt (ft)........300    500    900    1900   2400   2500
Transport wind......S 9    SW 8   SW 7   SW 6   W 5    SW 5
LVORI...............4      4      3      2      2      3
ADI.................10     9      8      11     10     10
Chc of pcpn (%).....10     10     10     10     10     10
Haines index........2      2      3      3      3      3
VRate kt-ft/1000....2      3      5      9      10     10

$$
Forecaster...McGEE
Requested by...Chris McClelland
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702535.0/AKQ
.EMAIL christopher.s.mcclelland.civ@mail.mil



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