Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FNUS74 KBMX 110031
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST MOTORWAY...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
631 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1710 CST ON FEBRUARY 10.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MOISTURE
RETURNS TOMORROW AS A DRY FRONT DROPS THROUGH THE AREA. A WIND
SHIFT FROM SOUTH TO NORTH IS EXPECTED BUT 20FT WINDS WILL REMAIN
BELOW 10KTS. AFTER A WARM DAY ON FRIDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL COOL
WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S OVER THE WEEKEND.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS A STORM
SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF A WINTRY
MIX...HOWEVER A GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY EXISTS WITH THE FORECAST
DURING THAT TIMEFRAME.

.TODAY...
TIME (CST)      4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE
TEMP............40
RH..............30
20 FT WIND......W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15
MIX HGT (FT)....3500
TRANSPORT WIND..280/15
DISPERSION......52
CHC OF PCPN (%).0

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............35     32     30     29     28     27
RH..............39     49     57     64     67     74
20 FT WIND......W 3    W 1    W 1    W 2    S 2    SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5                    5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   900    100    200    200    100
TRANSPORT WIND..260/12 250/5  220/1  170/2  150/3  140/3
DISPERSION......35     5      0      1      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0

.THURSDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............26     33     44     51     55     54
RH..............85     69     54     49     43     48
20 FT WIND......SE 2   SE 3   S 3    SW 2   W 2    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....200    400    1500   2900   3500   2400
TRANSPORT WIND..150/5  190/5  230/5  300/3  260/1  280/1
DISPERSION......2      2      2      12     5      4

$$
FORECASTER...GGOGGINS
REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160210.LOSTM.02/BMX


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