Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Boise, ID

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000
FNUS75 KBOI 041716
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUDDY SQUIRREL RX...PAYETTE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
1116 AM MDT WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1055 MDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE
WEEKEND...

.DISCUSSION...
INCREASING CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON WITH MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT.
CUMULUS BUILDUPS OVER RIDGETOPS WILL DEVELOP INTO SHOWERS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL INITIATE FURTHER
WEST NEAR THE IDAHO/OREGON BORDER...BUT COULD MOVE INTO THE BURN
AREA THIS EVENING. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS CONTINUES OVERNIGHT WITH
A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
REMAIN SOUTHERLY...MIXING TO THE SURFACE EACH AFTERNOON AS THE
INVERSION BREAKS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN REMAINS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

* THIS SPOT MAY DIFFER FROM THE PREVIOUS MUDDY SQUIRREL REQUEST
DUE TO A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE LOCATION OF THE REQUESTED SPOT

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS. ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE
                    THIS AFTERNOON. ANY THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL
                    REMAIN WEST OF THE BURN SITE THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70 TO 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 TO 29 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 4 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTS TO 12 MPH ALONG RIDGETOPS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1575 EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
                    30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........64 TO 70 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....SOUTH AROUND 4 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    LESS THAN 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...35 POOR.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 TO 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 TO 35 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....LESS THAN 3 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH-
                    SOUTHWEST 4 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
                    15 MPH ALONG RIDGETOPS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1350 EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...GROENERT
REQUESTED BY...GMM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160504.MUDDY.02/BOI


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