Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 281710
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR STARR INCIDENT...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1005 AM MST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0935 MST ON JANUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL HAVE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TODAY WELL INTO THIS EVENING.  THE NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY STRONG THIS AFTERNOON BUT WILL DECREASE
OVERNIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....23-29.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70%.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55
                    MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 8-9 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 5. HIGHS
AROUND 19. NORTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR STARR INCIDENT.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

01/28-09 75 54 29 20 86   W 25 41 3 1   W 58  2115   W 51 91989   G
01/28-10 75 54 29 22 80   W 26 41 2 1 WNW 54  2836   W 49122404    V
01/28-11 98 50 26 23 77   W 26 43 2 1 WNW 51  3556 WNW 49152819     E
01/28-12 98 50 26 25 71   W 28 44 2 1 WNW 51  3402 WNW 49146929    V
01/28-13 98 50 26 26 68   W 28 45 3 1 WNW 51  3247 WNW 49141040    V
01/28-14 98 50 26 24 74   W 28 44 3 1 WNW 52  3092 WNW 51135151    V
01/28-15 98 50 26 23 78   W 26 41 3 1 WNW 47  2493 WNW 46104630    V
01/28-16 98 50 26 21 85 WNW 24 39 4 1 WNW 44  1893 WNW 43 74109   G
01/28-17 74 61 39 19 92 WNW 22 35 4 1 WNW 40  1294 WNW 39 43588  F
01/28-18 74 58 35 18 93 WNW 20 32 4 1 WNW 37  1232 WNW 35 37093 P
01/28-19 73 54 29 16 98 WNW 18 29 3 1  NW 33  1171 WNW 30 30597 P
01/28-20 73 51 27 15100 WNW 16 25 3 1  NW 30  1110 WNW 25 24101 P
01/28-21 72 48 24 15100 WNW 14 22 3 1  NW 28  1434 WNW 21 24353 P
01/28-22 72 44 21 15100 WNW 12 17 3 1  NW 25  1759 WNW 17 24606 P
01/28-23 71 41 18 15100 WNW  9 15 3 1  NW 23  2083 WNW 14 24858 P
01/29-00 72 41 18 16 95 WNW  8 14 3 1  NW 21  1778 WNW 12 19320 P
01/29-01 73 41 18 16 93 WNW  8 13 3 1  NW 18  1474 WNW 10 13782 P
01/29-02 75 41 18 15 96 WNW  8 13 3 1 NNW 16  1169 WNW  8  8244 P
01/29-03 75 33 12 15 94 WNW  7  7 3 1  NW 16  1036 WNW  8  7009 P
01/29-04 75 17  3 15 92 WNW  7  7 4 1  NW 16   902  NW  7  5775 P
01/29-05 65  9  2 14 96   W  6  6 4 1  NW 16   769  NW  7  4540 P
01/29-06 65  9  2 14 96  NW  6  6 4 1 NNW 15   882 NNW  7  4861 P
01/29-07 65  9  2 15 94   N  6  6 5 1   N 14   995   N  6  5183 P
01/29-08 65  9  2 17 88  NE  6  6 5 1   N 13  1108 NNE  6  5505 P
01/29-09 65  9  2 20 78 ENE  6  6 5 1 NNE  9  1488  NE  5  6022 P
01/29-10 65  9  2 25 65  SE  7  7 5 1   E  6  1868 ESE  5  6538 P
01/29-11 65  5  1 28 58 SSE  7  7 5 1 ESE  3  2249 SSE  3  7055 P
01/29-12 65  5  1 30 53 SSE  7  7 5 1  SE  3  2278 SSE  5  9657 P
01/29-13 65  5  1 30 53 SSE  8 13 5 1 SSE  5  2306   S  6 12260 P
01/29-14 65  5  1 29 55 SSE  8 13 5 1   S  7  2335   S  7 14862 P
01/29-15 65  5  1 27 60 SSE  8 13 4 1   S  9  1935   S  8 12550 P
01/29-16 65  5  1 24 68   S  8  8 4 1  SW 10  1536   S  8 10239 P
01/29-17 81  7  1 22 74   S  8 13 3 1  SW 12  1136 SSW  8  7927 P
01/29-18 81  7  1 21 77  SW  9 15 3 1  SW 13  1098  SW  9  8523 P
01/29-19 81  7  1 20 81   W 12 18 3 1 WSW 13  1060 WSW 10  9119 P
01/29-20 81  7  1 19 84  NW 14 22 3 1 WSW 13  1023   W 10  9716 P
01/29-21 81  7  1 19 84 WNW 14 22 3 1 WSW 14   957   W 13 10610 P
01/29-22 81  7  1 18 88   W 13 21 2 1   W 16   892   W 15 11504 P
01/29-23 87 10  2 18 88   W 13 21 2 1   W 17   827   W 17 12398 P
01/30-00 87 10  2 18 87   W 15 23 2 1   W 20   794   W 20 13075 P
01/30-01 87 10  2 18 86 WNW 17 28 2 1   W 21   762   W 21 13752 P
01/30-02 87 10  2 18 85 WNW 18 30 2 1   W 22   730   W 23 14429 P
01/30-03 87 10  2 18 84 WNW 17 28 2 1   W 22   746   W 22 13991 P
01/30-04 87 10  2 18 84   W 16 25 2 1   W 22   762   W 21 13554 P
01/30-05 87 21  4 18 84   W 14 22 2 1 WNW 20   778   W 20 13116 P
01/30-06 87 21  4 19 82   W 14 22 2 1 WNW 16   960   W 17 13596 P
01/30-07 87 21  4 20 80   W 14 23 2 1 WNW 12  1142 WNW 15 14077 P
01/30-08 87 21  4 22 75 WNW 14 22 2 1 WNW  8  1324 WNW 13 14557 P
01/30-09 87 21  4 25 68  NW 12 18 2 1 WNW  7  2021 WNW  9 11064 P
01/30-10 87 21  4 28 62 NNE  8 14 2 1   W  7  2718  NW  5  7572 P
01/30-11 87 40 18 30 58 ENE  7  7 2 1   W  7  3415   CALM  4079 P
01/30-12 87 40 18 31 56 ENE  9 14 2 1   W  6  3476   CALM  4057 P
01/30-13 87 40 18 31 57 ENE 12 18 2 1  NW  6  3537   CALM  4036 P
01/30-14 87 40 18 29 63  NE 14 22 2 1  NW  5  3598   CALM  4014 P
01/30-15 87 40 18 27 68 ENE 13 21 2 1 NNW  3  3026   N  2  4896 P
01/30-16 87 40 18 25 74 ENE 10 16 2 1   CALM  2454   E  3  5778 P
01/30-17 92 55 30 23 81   E  8 13 2 1   CALM  1882 ESE  5  6660 P
01/30-18 92 55 30 22 85   E  8  8 2 1 ENE  2  1554 ESE  5  6048 P
01/30-19 92 55 30 20 92   E  7  7 2 1 SSE  5  1226 ESE  6  5436 P
01/30-20 92 55 30 20 92   E  7  7 2 1   S  6   898 ESE  6  4823 P
01/30-21 92 55 30 19 95   E  7  7 2 1   S  7   889 ESE  6  4871 P
01/30-22 92 55 30 19 93   E  8 13 2 1 SSW  7   880  SE  7  4918 P
01/30-23 90 58 35 19 92   E  8 13 2 1 SSW  8   872  SE  7  4965 P
01/31-00 90 58 35 19 90   E  8 13 2 1 SSW  9   911  SE  6  4989 P
01/31-01 90 58 35 18 93   E  7  7 2 1  SW 12   951 SSE  6  5012 P
01/31-02 90 58 35 18 92   E  7  7 2 1  SW 12   990 SSE  6  5036 P
01/31-03 90 58 35 17 95   E  7  7 2 1  SW 12  1146   S  6  5200 P
01/31-04 90 58 35 17 95   E  6  6 2 1  SW 12  1302   S  5  5365 P
01/31-05 87 54 29 17 96   E  6  6 2 1  SW 10  1457   S  5  5529 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RJK
REQUESTED BY...MARK PITA
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150128.STARR.01/BOU



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