Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 021324
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR MESA CORTINA...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
620 AM MST FRI DEC 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON DECEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TODAY AND TONIGHT...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WILL PASS ACROSS COLORADO THROUGH TONIGHT. AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL
DEVELOP THIS MORNING AND THEN DIMINISH THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE COOLER TODAY WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS. SNOW ACCUMULATION
WILL BE UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21.
MIN HUMIDITY........60%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-7 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300, THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0400, THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1900, THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 1 ABOVE.
MAX HUMIDITY........100%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-7 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.
MIN HUMIDITY........52%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW .


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MESA CORTINA.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

12/02-08 91 32 11  8 76 SSE  6  6 2 1   S 17  1530  SE  7  9831 P
12/02-09 91 33 12 11 74 SSE  7  7 2 1   S 20  2333  SE  9 18743 P
12/02-10 91 35 13 15 70  SE  7  7 2 1 SSW 22  3136 SSE 12 30239 P
12/02-11 91 36 14 19 65  SE  8 13 2 1 SSW 24  3939 SSE 13 44318  F
12/02-12 90 36 14 21 61  SE  8 14 2 1 SSW 23  3929 SSE 13 41804  F
12/02-13 89 36 14 21 60  SE  8 14 3 1 SSW 23  3919 SSE 12 39302 P
12/02-14 88 36 14 20 62 SSE  8 13 3 1 SSW 22  3910 SSE 10 36812 P
12/02-15 87 36 14 19 64 SSE  8 13 3 1 SSW 21  3169 SSE 10 27469 P
12/02-16 87 36 14 17 69 SSE  7  7 3 1  SW 18  2429 SSE  9 19233 P
12/02-17 87 31 10 15 73 SSE  7  7 3 1  SW 17  1688 SSE  8 12105 P
12/02-18 87 27  7 12 82 SSE  7  7 3 1  SW 16  1652 SSE  9 12424 P
12/02-19 88 22  4 10 87   S  7  7 3 1  SW 16  1616   S  9 12717 P
12/02-20 88 22  4  9 87   S  7  7 3 1  SW 15  1581   S  9 12986 P
12/02-21 88 18  4  8 86   S  7  7 3 1  SW 17  1535   S  9 11660 P
12/02-22 88  9  2  8 80   S  6  6 3 1  SW 18  1489 SSW  8 10390 P
12/02-23 85  5  1  7 80 SSW  6  6 3 1 WSW 21  1444 SSW  7  9177 P
12/03-00 82  5  1  4 89 SSW  6  6 3 1 WSW 24  1505 SSW  7  9504 P
12/03-01 79  5  1  2 97 SSW  6  6 3 1 WSW 28  1566  SW  7  9827 P
12/03-02 76  5  1  1100  SW  6  6 3 1 WSW 32  1627 WSW  7 10144 P
12/03-03 68  5  1  2 93  SW  6  6 3 1 WSW 33  1479 WSW  8  9712 P
12/03-04 52  4  1  4 82 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 36  1332 WSW  8  9183 P
12/03-05 44  4  1  6 60 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 38  1185 WSW  8  8556 P
12/03-06 44  4  1  6 79 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 31  1390 WSW  9 11330 P
12/03-07 44  4  1  6 85   W  8 13 2 1  NW 24  1596   W 10 14484 P
12/03-08 44  4  1  7 87   W  8 13 2 1  NW 17  1802   W 12 18678 P
12/03-09 44  4  1 11 77   W  8 13 3 1  NW 17  2048   W 13 23471 P
12/03-10 44  4  1 16 65   W  8 13 4 1  NW 20  2295   W 14 28264 P
12/03-11 46  2  0 21 54   W  8 13 4 1  NW 23  2542   W 15 33057 P
12/03-12 46  2  0 23 52   W  9 14 4 1  NW 24  2550   W 16 34596 P
12/03-13 46  2  0 24 52   W  9 16 3 1 WNW 26  2558   W 16 36135 P
12/03-14 46  2  0 23 54 WNW 10 16 2 1 WNW 30  2566   W 17 37673 P
12/03-15 46  2  0 22 55 WNW 10 16 2 1 WNW 33  2375 WNW 15 32508 P
12/03-16 46  2  0 20 57   W 10 16 2 1  NW 38  2184 WNW 14 27343 P
12/03-17 44  4  1 17 61   W  9 15 2 1  NW 44  1993 WNW 13 22178 P
12/03-18 44  4  1 15 66   W  8 14 3 1  NW 48  1892 WNW 12 19542 P
12/03-19 44  4  1 14 68   W  7  7 3 1  NW 53  1792 WNW 10 16905 P
12/03-20 44  4  1 13 70   W  7  7 4 1 NNW 56  1691 WNW  9 14269 P
12/03-21 44  4  1 13 68   W  7  7 4 1 NNW 59  1641 WNW  9 13588 P
12/03-22 44  4  1 13 66   W  8  8 4 1 NNW 58  1591   W  9 12908 P
12/03-23 40  2  0 13 64   W  8 13 4 1 NNW 56  1541   W  9 12227 P
12/04-00 40  2  0 11 69   W  8  8 4 1 NNW 52  1541   W  9 11686 P
12/04-01 40  2  0  9 74   W  7  7 4 1 NNW 47  1542   W  8 11145 P
12/04-02 40  2  0  8 76 WSW  7  7 4 1 NNW 44  1542   W  8 10603 P
12/04-03 40  2  0  9 69 WSW  8 13 4 1  NW 45  1545   W  8 11003 P
12/04-04 40  2  0 10 62   W  9 14 4 1  NW 46  1548   W  8 11403 P
12/04-05 16  1  0 11 58   W  9 15 4 1  NW 48  1551   W  9 11802 P
12/04-06 16  1  0 11 58 WSW  8 13 4 1  NW 49  1655   W  9 12746 P
12/04-07 16  1  0 11 59 WSW  7  7 4 1  NW 49  1760   W  9 13689 P
12/04-08 16  1  0 12 61 WSW  6  6 4 1  NW 48  1864   W  9 14632 P
12/04-09 16  1  0 16 57 WSW  6  6 3 1  NW 46  1956   W  9 15823 P
12/04-10 16  1  0 22 50   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 43  2049   W  9 17013 P
12/04-11 18  1  0 27 46   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 40  2141   W 10 18204 P
12/04-12 18  1  0 31 44   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 38  2242   W 10 21131 P
12/04-13 18  1  0 32 45   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 38  2344   W 12 24058 P
12/04-14 18  1  0 31 49   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 39  2445   W 13 26985 P
12/04-15 18  1  0 27 55   W  8 14 2 1 WNW 41  2299   W 13 26222 P
12/04-16 18  1  0 23 59 WSW  9 14 2 1   W 45  2152 WSW 14 25460 P
12/04-17 38  1  0 19 65 WSW  9 15 2 1   W 48  2006 WSW 14 24697 P
12/04-18 41  1  0 19 65 WSW  9 14 2 1   W 49  1902 WSW 15 23869 P
12/04-19 46  1  0 19 67 WSW  8 14 2 1   W 49  1797   W 15 23041 P
12/04-20 48  1  0 19 67 WSW  8 13 2 1   W 49  1693   W 15 22213 P
12/04-21 48  1  0 18 65 WSW  8 13 2 1   W 48  1623   W 15 21548 P
12/04-22 49  1  0 17 62 WSW  8 13 2 1   W 46  1553   W 15 20883 P
12/04-23 49  7  1 16 61 WSW  8 13 2 1   W 45  1483   W 16 20218 P
12/05-00 50  7  1 16 63 WSW  9 15 2 1   W 47  1488   W 16 21299 P
12/05-01 51  7  1 17 64 WSW 10 16 2 1   W 49  1493   W 17 22380 P
12/05-02 52  7  1 17 67 WSW 12 18 2 1   W 52  1498   W 18 23461 P
12/05-03 57  7  1 16 70 WSW 13 20 2 1   W 53  1509   W 18 24103 P
12/05-04 68  7  1 14 76 WSW 13 20 2 1   W 54  1520   W 18 24745 P
12/05-05 73 24  5 13 80 WSW 13 21 2 1   W 54  1531   W 20 25387 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...ENTREKIN
REQUESTED BY...RYAN HUGHES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1603843.0/BOU


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