Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 202012
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE RD...DCNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
412 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1607 EDT ON APRIL 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP IT MOSTLY SUNNY WITH LIGHT WINDS. MONDAY
SHOULD BE ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY DAY WITH LIGHT WINDS. BOTH DAYS
WILL HAVE VERY LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY.

A FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD PRODUCE SOME RAINFALL ON TUESDAY. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS APPEAR TO BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE PERHAPS 0.10 TO 0.20
INCHES.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-900 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............18  18  20  20  20  20  20  20  31  31  31  31
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................61  58  54  51  49  47  45  43  42  41  40  39
RH..................28  32  38  44  52  57  62  68  74  75  77  78
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT WIND SPD......8   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.2 2.3 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  14  14  13  12  10  9   9   9   9   9   9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4600-5600 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............31  31  27  27  27  27  27  27  27  27  27  27
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  41  43  48  53  58  61  63  66  67  67  68
RH..................77  75  74  62  53  45  43  41  39  38  37  36
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   7   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.6 3.6 4.2 4.6 4.9 5.3 5.6 5.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  13  14  12  8   6   7   8   10  12  13  14
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DANGELO
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS NICHOLAS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140420.HORSE.01/CTP



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