Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Cheyenne, WY

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000
FNUS75 KCYS 100341 AAA
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR OWEN...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
942 PM MDT WED JUL 9 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1639 MDT ON JULY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THROUGH MIDNIGHT OVER THE BURN
AREA. LIGHT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY IN THE MORNING AS A
WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. A STRONGER WEATHER
DISTURBANCE ALONG WITH INCREASING MOISTURE WILL AFFECT THE BURN SITE
ON THURSDAY...WITH A GOOD CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND WETTING RAINS
EXPECTED AFTER 1200. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE MORNING
WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. AN EVEN
BETTER CHANCE FOR WETTING RAINS IS EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY AS MONSOONAL
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM ACROSS THE REGION. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
UP TO ONE HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE BURN SITE ON FRIDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH 2400...WITH
                    ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS THEN POSSIBLE
                    THROUGH 0900.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH THRU
                    SUNSET...DECREASING OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (7400-76700 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 4-7 MPH...INCREASING TO 12-16 MPH AFTER
                    0800. GUSTS TO 25 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (42500-107100 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...MAZUR/RUBIN
REQUESTED BY...DARON REYNOLDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140709.OWEN_.02/CYS








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