Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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000
FNUS73 KDLH 031140
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR PITCHA3(V2)...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
640 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CDT ON MAY 03.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST...
PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

...GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP OUT OF CANADA AND TRACK
OVER THE BURN AROUND NOON. AHEAD OF THE FRONT WINDS WILL BE GUSTY
OUT OF THE WEST...ABRUPTLY TURNING OUT OF THE NORTHWEST...THEN
NORTH...AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES TO ALSO RAPIDLY DROP INTO THE 20S THIS AFTERNOON
ONCE WINDS TURN NORTHERLY.

THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO TRIGGER A FEW SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORMS. THE MAIN THREAT FOR THUNDER WILL BE TO THE EAST OF
THE BURN AREA...BUT ERRATIC WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
NEARBY SHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND
                    15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (240000 KNOT-FT)
                    AFTER 1100.

TIME (CDT)       7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER......  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                 RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............ 45  49  53  57  60  63  64  64  65  65  64
RH.............. 64  54  46  41  38  33  28  27  25  25  28
20 FT WIND DIR.. W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD.. 4   5   7   8   9   9   10  10  12  12  10
20 FT WIND GUST. 8  10  10  12  14   14  16  19  22  22  19

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 TO 80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    17 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (199400 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (2700 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............60     52     44     40     37     35
RH..............33     43     55     66     75     78
20 FT WIND......N 9    N 9    N 5    N 5    N 5    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.21     13     7      7      7      7

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 TO 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTS AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2800-15000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    GOOD (59100 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR    CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............33        38        47        54
RH..............82        64        42        30
20 FT WIND......N 5G7     N 5G8     N 9G10    N 9G10

$$
FORECASTER...AMANDA
REQUESTED BY...NICK PETRACK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1600723.0/DLH



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