Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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FNUS73 KDLH 301516
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR FOSS LAKE...SUPERIOR NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1016 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0947 CDT ON MAY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT AFTERNOON CUMULUS CLOUDS TO DEVELOP AS THE TEMPERATURE
WARMS TO AROUND 80 THIS AFTERNOON. THE WARM AIR WILL PROMOTE DEEP
MIXING AND ALLOW FOR RAPIDLY FALLING RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT MINIMUM RH IN THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT
RANGE. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST WITH A FEW GUSTS
AROUND 15 MPH THROUGH THE DAY.

DUE TO THE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE TODAY...THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE
FOR A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    LATE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 TO 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 16 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (90000-195300 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....              TSTM   TSTM
TEMP............70     76     80     82
RH..............58     37     32     28
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..5      6      7      8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     12     15     16

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 TO 90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 10 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 15 TO
                    25 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (64700 KNOT-FT) IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    POOR TO FAIR (900-18400 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............78     72     65     59     55     50
RH..............38     53     63     72     77     78
20 FT WIND DIR..SW     S      E      E      SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7      3      2      4      7      10
20 FT WIND GUST.14     7      2      6      11     17

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55 TO 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER
                    GUSTS... DECREASING 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO GOOD (31800-48500 KNOT-FT) DECREASING
                    TO FAIR (26700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
TEMP............48     49     50     53     56     57
RH..............82     89     90     83     74     68
20 FT WIND DIR..E      E      E      E      E      E
20 FT WIND SPD..10     12     12     10     9      7
20 FT WIND GUST.18     22     22     20     15     11

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE
REQUESTED BY...ELIZABETH SCHMIDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160530.FOSSL.01/DLH


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