991
FNUS73 KDTX 100943
FWSDTX

Spot Forecast for Rush Lake Oak...MIDNR
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
543 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 EDT on May 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION... Cooler today with onshore wind and min RH values
falling into the 30s. A stray light shower is possible this
evening. Widespread showers arrive early Saturday morning with
showers and storms possible throughout most of the day.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Increasing afternoon clouds.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds around 6 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Poor (MAX...43).

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........15  14  13  11  8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............58  60  61  61  61
RH..............47  42  38  38  38
EYE LVL WND DIR.N   NE  NE  NE  NE
EYE LVL WND SPD.6   6   6   6   6
EYE LVL WND GST.13  13  13  11  11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4
SMOKE DISPER....42  50  50  38  31

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent)becoming mostly
                    cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers overnight. Rain showers likely early in
                    the morning.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds around 5 mph...becoming south around
                    6 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 7 mph...becoming south 6 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Poor (MIN...18).

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........9      28     41     57     60     71
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............60     58     51     49     47     47
RH..............40     47     60     65     74     77
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE     E      SE     S      S      S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5      5      6      6      6      6
EYE LVL WND GST.10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (KFT)...400    400    400    400    400    400
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3      3      3
SMOKE DISPER....27     21     35     57     47     41

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely in the morning, then chance of rain
                    showers late in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 6 to 7 mph...becoming north 6 to 10
                    mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 13 mph...becoming northwest 10 to
                    15 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Poor (MAX...73).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........85        89        87        72
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY    LIKELY    CHANCE    CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
TEMP............46        49        54        57
RH..............85        83        73        62
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 6       S 6       N 6       N 10
EYE LEVEL WIND..10        11        14        17
MIX HGT (FT)....400       500       600       600
HAINES INDEX....3         3         3         3
SMOKE DISPER....42        55        56        80

$$

Forecaster...Tilley
Requested by...Nate Stearns
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413632.0/DTX
.DELDT 05/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL stearnsn@michigan.gov