Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FNUS73 KEAX 291239
FWSEAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OUTHOLDINGS MOP UP INTERIOR...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
739 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

THERE WILL BE AN ELEVATED FIRE RISK THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF
EASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE WINDS WILL
INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 20 KT SUSTAINED RANGE WITH STRONGER GUSTS,
TEMPERATURES MAY ACTUALLY RISE BEHIND THE FRONT BY SEVERAL DEGREES
DUE TO DEEPER MIXING. THIS WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR A DROP IN DEWPOINTS
AND AS A RESULT HUMIDITY VALUES LOOK TO FALL INTO THE 30 TO 35
PERCENT RANGE ACROSS NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI. ANYONE WITH OUTSIDE
BURNING INTEREST SHOULD BE AWARE THAT THE LIGHT/SCATTERED SHOWER
ACTIVITY DURING THE MORNING HOURS WILL GIVE WAY TO THE ELEVATED FIRE
DANGER DURING THE AFTERNOON. ANY FIRES COULD BECOME MORE DIFFICULT TO
CONTROL WITH THE CHANGING CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.20 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 18 TO 24
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........65     61     52     31     12
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     58     64     68     64
RH..............68     54     45     34     41
20 FT WIND......SW 13  W 13   W 13   NW 14  NW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     20     15
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1700 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 24 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 2 TO 3
                    MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........6      7      5      3      5      7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     54     49     46     43     40
RH..............43     57     67     75     78     82
20 FT WIND......N 9    N 8    N 6    N 5    NW 3   NW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10                   5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........9      9      9      9      11     13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............39     42     53     62     68     70
RH..............94     86     56     39     32     30
20 FT WIND......W 2    W 5    SW 7   S 8    S 8    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.                     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...BLAIR
REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150329.OUTHO.01/EAX






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