Suppression Forecast
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FNUS74 KEPZ 211807
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR TINY RX...LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1207 PM MDT MON JUL 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 MDT ON JULY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AND EXPAND IN AREAL COVERAGE. THIS WILL KEEP WINDS ALOFT
LIGHT AND VENT RATES BARELY INTO THE FAIR CATEGORY. SURFACE WINDS
WILL ALSO REMAIN LIGHT EXCEPT NEAR THUNDERSTORMS WHICH GIVEN THE
LARGE TEMP/DEW POINT SPREADS ACROSS REGION COULD LEAD TO NUMEROUS
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...SIMILAR TO SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE AVERAGE WITH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS SEEING JUST WIDELY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND EVEN LESS GOING INTO THE END
OF THE WEEK. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE IN THE 20S AND
30S WITH GOOD RECOVERIES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8300-9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (42000 KT-FT)

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-66.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE LESS THAN 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 4 KNOTS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
                    AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200-7900
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........FAIR(45000 KT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140721.TINYR.01/EPZ





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