Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 271705
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CIENEGITA CANYON...STATE OF NEW MEXICO FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1105 AM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1042 MDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE REGION WILL BRING ONE MORE DAY
OF AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES NEAR OR A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL. THERE
IS ENOUGH MOISTURE OVER THE AREA TO ALLOW SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. MINIMUM HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON IN
20 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE WITH HAINES INDEX OF 3 (VERY LOW) OR 4 (LOW).
AREA MOUNTAINS. THAT HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL SHIFT SLOWLY NORTH
TODAY AND MONDAY...ALLOWING MORE MOISTURE TO PUSH IN FROM THE
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST AND INCREASING THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 WITH LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 14 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........VERY GOOD (119000 KNOT-FT).


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 4 TO 8 MPH.


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........GOOD (78000 KNOT-FT).


$$
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140727.CIENE.01/EPZ






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