Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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FNUS72 KGSP 161234
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for EN Compt. 67 Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
734 AM EST Fri Feb 16 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on February 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Warm high pressure will move out over the Atlantic today as a cold
front crosses bringing much cooler air to start the weekend. A wave
of low pressure will develop along the front over the weekend,
keeping rain in the forecast Saturday and Saturday night. The next
cold front will arrive in mid week bringing some thunderstorms.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Isolated showers
                    late.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 12 to 15 mph with gusts to around 20
                    mph.
Mixing height.......1600-3200 ft AGL, increasing to 3000-3600 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 23 to 32 mph, becoming west 30 to 35
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (31700-80300 knot-ft),
                    increasing to excellent (80300 knot-ft) late in
                    the morning.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................39, increasing to 87 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.02 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........3000, increasing to 25000 late in the morning,
                    decreasing to 6000 in the afternoon.
Visibility (SM).....8.
Sfc pressure (in)...29.42.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........71  67  62  60  59  57  63  69  75  80
Weather cov.....                            ISO ISO ISO
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............65  67  69  71  73  75  76  76  76  74
Dewpoint........62  62  63  62  62  61  61  60  60  58
RH..............89  84  79  73  68  63  59  57  57  58
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  11  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  10
20 FT wind gust.14  18  19  19  20  19  19  18  18  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.0
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.23  28  34  34  33  29  29  29  29  27
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............39  62  83  90  91  87  86  86  85  74
VRate kt-ft/100032  55  80  94  101 104 102 100 98  80
Ceiling (hft)...30  70  250 250 80  70  60  60  70  60
Visibility (sm).9   9   9   9   9   9   8   8   8   8
Sfc pres (in)...948 947 946 946 945 944 944 943 942 945

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Isolated showers early
                    in the evening, then a chance of rain late.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......1900-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 21 to 28 mph, becoming northeast 13 to 18
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to excellent (22800-61600 knot-ft).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................33, decreasing to 10 to 20 after midnight.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........4000, decreasing to 3500 late.
Visibility (SM).....8.
Sfc pressure (in)...29.47.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........84  88  90  92  94  95  96  97  97  98  99  99
Weather cov.....ISO ISO ISO                         SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW                          RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............71  67  65  63  61  59  58  57  56  54  54  53
Dewpoint........56  55  53  51  49  48  48  47  46  46  46  45
RH..............61  64  64  65  64  66  68  69  71  73  74  76
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..8   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.12  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
Transp wind spd.24  22  19  16  16  15  14  14  14  14  14  13
LVORI...........1   1   2   3   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............37  32  28  25  22  20  15  9   19  19  19  17
VRate kt-ft/100062  45  38  34  29  26  24  23  24  25  26  24
Ceiling (hft)...50  60  60  50  50  50  50  45  40  40  35  35
Visibility (sm).8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
Sfc pres (in)...947 949 954 958 962 963 964 964 966 967 968 969

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). A chance of rain in
                    the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph until late afternoon,
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......1600-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (14800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................22, increasing to 28 late.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.13 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........2400, decreasing to 1000.
Visibility (SM).....5.
Sfc pressure (in)...29.6.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........98  98  98  98  98  97  97  96  96  97  97  96
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  52  51  51  50  50  51  51  51  52  52  52
Dewpoint........45  45  45  44  44  45  45  46  46  47  47  48
RH..............77  77  79  79  79  81  81  82  83  84  85  85
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  8   8   8   7   6   6   6   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW
Transp wind spd.13  12  12  12  12  10  9   9   13  16  17  14
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
ADI.............26  24  23  22  20  19  17  17  24  30  32  23
VRate kt-ft/100025  24  22  19  17  16  15  15  21  26  27  19
Ceiling (hft)...30  27  30  30  30  24  24  17  17  17  10  10
Visibility (sm).7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   5   5   5   5
Sfc pres (in)...970 971 972 973 974 972 971 969 966 963 960 960

$$
Forecaster...Justin Lane
Requested by...Bob Little
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802061.0/GSP



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