Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5
356
FNUS72 KILM 231134
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for Rocky Point RX...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service WILMINGTON NC
734 AM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on March 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure to our north will progress east through the rest
of the week. This will allow for warmer and less dry air to move in
over the weekend. Minor rain chances are expected Sunday as a weak
upper disturbance passes well to our north.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate...mainly coastal counties.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 9 mph.
Max Mixing Hgt......4900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 17 mph.
Max Vent Rate.......63709 mph-ft.
Max LVORI...........3.
Max ADI.............61.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   4   5   6   8   8   8   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............45  51  55  58  60  57  59  60
RH..............53  44  39  35  34  38  37  37
CHC Pcpn (%)....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   9   9   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.10  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.8 3.6 4.3 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.7
Trans Wnd Dir...E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Trans Wnd Spd...15  17  17  15  13  13  13  13
Haines Index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VR MPH-FT*1000..28  48  62  64  60  62  62  60
Stability.......C   C   C   D   D   C   C   C
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............35  53  61  53  51  52  52  51
Aparnt Tmp (F)..40  47  55  58  60  57  59  60
Sfc pres (in)...049 049 049 049 049 049 049 049

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph until early
                    morning...becoming light and variable.
Min Mixing Hgt......100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 14 mph.
Min Vent Rate.......459 mph-ft.
Max LVORI...........6.
Min ADI.............2.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........8      8      10     13     15     16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............60     58     51     48     46     45
RH..............38     45     61     73     84     88
CHC Pcpn (%)....0      0      0      0      0      0
20 ft wind......E 7    E 6    E 6    E 5    E 4    E 4
20 ft wind gust.10     10     10            5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....4500   3800   1500   100    300    200
Transport wind..E 14   E 14   E 8    E 5    E 5    NE 5
Haines Index....4      4      4      4      3      3
VR MPH-FT*1000..62     53     12     0      1      1
Stability.......C      F      F      F      F      F
LVORI...........1      2      3      3      5      6
ADI.............55     6      4      2      2      2
Aparnt Tmp (F)..60     58     51     46     44     43
Sfc pres (in)...30.49  30.50  30.50  30.50  30.48  30.48

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds...becoming southeast 5
                    to 9 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Max Mixing Hgt......6000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 10 mph...becoming south 12 to 13 mph
                    late in the morning.
Max Vent Rate.......75670 mph-ft.
Max LVORI...........10.
Max ADI.............56.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........16     17     16     23     35     34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............43     46     57     67     69     70
RH..............98     87     68     55     50     49
CHC Pcpn (%)....0      0      0      0      0      0
20 ft wind......NE 4   NE 4   E 5    SE 6   SE 8   SE 9
20 ft wind gust.5      5      10     10     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 300    3600   6000   5400   5900
Transport wind..NE 3   NE 5   SE 10  SE 13  S 12   S 12
Haines Index....5      4      4      4      3      3
VR MPH-FT*1000..0      1      38     76     62     68
Stability.......F      C      C      C      C      D
LVORI...........10     6      3      1      1      1
ADI.............2      4      37     56     49     51
Aparnt Tmp (F)..40     44     57     67     69     70
Sfc pres (in)...30.48  30.48  30.48  30.48  30.42  30.42

$$
Forecaster...Kreitner
Requested by...Katie Sauerbrey
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1704780.2/ILM
.EMAIL Katie.sauerbrey@tnc.org



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.