Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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000
FNUS74 KLIX 101224
FWSLIX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAVANNA RESTORATION...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
624 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

.TODAY...
TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............35  37  38  40  43  46  49  51  52  53  52  51
RH..............61  54  52  46  41  37  33  32  32  32  36  42
DEWPOINT........23  22  22  21  21  21  21  22  23  24  26  29
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   NNW NW  NW  WNW W   W   WSW WSW
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   4
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.1 2.8 2.5
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   NNW NNW NNW NNW NW  NW  NW  WNW WNW W   WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   9   10  12  12  10  9   9   9   9   8   7
TRANS SPD (M/S).4   4   4   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3
DISPERSION......4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............50     48     47     46     45     45
RH..............48     56     60     65     73     82
DEWPOINT........31     33     34     35     37     40
20 FT WIND......SW 4   SW 5   SW 6   SW 8   SW 8   SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   1200   700    600    300    100
MIX HGT (M).....610    370    210    180    90     30
TRANSPORT WIND..WSW 6  SW 9   SSW 12 SW 12  SW 8   SSW 6
TRAN WIND (M/S).WSW 3  SW 4   SSW 5  SW 5   SW 4   SSW 3
DISPERSION......5      5      5      5      5      5
LVORI...........2      3      3      3      3      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0

.THURSDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........4      5      2      1      1      2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............46     51     57     65     66     66
RH..............89     83     75     60     58     58
DEWPOINT........43     46     49     51     51     51
20 FT WIND......SW 6   WSW 6  WSW 7  W 7    WSW 7  WSW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....100    200    600    1400   2400   1800
MIX HGT (M).....30     60     180    430    730    550
TRANSPORT WIND..SSW 6  SW 9   WSW 13 WSW 14 WSW 15 WSW 13
TRAN WIND (M/S).SSW 3  SW 4   WSW 6  WSW 6  WSW 7  WSW 6
DISPERSION......8      8      8      8      8      8
LVORI...........5      4      4      3      3      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0

.REMARKS...
1) THE FORECAST DOES NOT SHOW RH LEVELS LOWER THAN 30%. BUT THERE
ONLY NEEDS TO BE A FEW DEGREES WARMING THAT WHAT IS FORECAST FOR
RH LEVELS TO LOWER TO AROUND 28%.

2)YES

3) THAT IS A DIFFICULT ANSWER 6 DAYS OUT. THE FORECAST SHOWS RAIN
POSSIBLY MOVING IN BY AFTERNOON FOR ABOUT 4 HOURS WITH AROUND .30
INCH OF RAINFALL. VARIABILITY IS HIGH WITH A FORECAST THAT FAR OUT.

4) 86% TONIGHT...92% THURSDAY NIGHT...90% FRIDAY NIGHT.

5) RED FLAG WARNING...
KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES OF GREATER THAN 700
RH LESS THAN 25%
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 25 MPH

   FIRE WX WATCH...
KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES OF GREATER THAN 700
RH 25-30%
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED GREATER THAN 20 MPH

$$
FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS LE ROUGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160210.SAVAN.01/LIX


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