Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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FNUS74 KLIX 010310
FWSLIX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CPT G-07...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1010 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL MAINTAIN AN UNSETTLED PATTERN FOR DAILY
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY BEFORE A
DRYING TREND REACHES THE AREA.

1. PLEASE INCLUDE A FOG POTENTIAL STATEMENT FOR TONIGHT, TOMORROW
MORNING, TOMORROW NIGHT, AND TUESDAY MORNING.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF VERY LIGHT PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING MONDAY
MORNING BETWEEN 5 AND 7AM.

2. WHAT ARE THE CHANCES OF A SEABREEZE OCCURRING TOMORROW, AND WHAT
INFLUENCE WILL IT HAVE ON WIND SPEED AND WIND DIRECTION AT OUR
LOCATION

SEABREEZE WILL DEVELOP MONDAY AROUND NOON WITH SPEEDS OF 5 TO 8 KNOTS
FROM THE SOUTH.

3. ACCORDING TO THE POINTANDCLICK FORECAST, WIND DIRECTION SHOULD
BECOME NORTHERLY FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.  IS
THIS DUE TO LANDBREEZE OR A DRAINAGE WIND  IF NOT, WHAT IS CAUSING
THE NORTHERLY FLOW

PREFRONTAL WINDS MAY SHIFT NORTHWEST TUESDAY MORNING.

4. HOW MUCH RAIN IS EXPECTED AT OUR LOCATION, BETWEEN THE CURRENT
TIME AND 8AM TUESDAY

GENERALLY AROUND A HALF INCH...SOME AREAS MAY RECEIVE UP TO AN INCH WHILE
OTHER AREAS MAY ONLY RECEIVE A TENTH.

5. WHAT TIMEFRAME IS LIGHTNING MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR AT OUR LOCATION
TOMORROW

9AM TO 2PM

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........54  63  68  71  73  72  87  79  79
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............75  73  72  71  71  70  70  69  69
RH..............86  89  92  93  94  95  95  96  97
DEWPOINT........70  70  70  69  69  69  68  68  68
20 FT WIND DIR..WSW NW  NW  SE  SE  SE  NNW NNE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..2   3   4   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   10  15  5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.9
MIX HGT (KM)....1.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SSW SSW SSW SW  SW  SW  WSW WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  9   9   9   7   7   7   5   5
TRANS SPD (M/S).5   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2
DISPERSION......63  25  25  4   3   3   3   2   2
LVORI...........4   4   5   7   7   8   8   8   8
CHC OF PCPN (%).40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40


.MONDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........83  67  61  60  64  64  63  66  67  67  64
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............75  79  83  85  85  85  85  84  84  83  82
RH..............93  84  73  65  60  58  58  60  62  65  68
DEWPOINT........69  70  70  70  69  69  68  69  69  69  69
20 FT WIND DIR..ENE E   ESE SE  SSE S   S   S   S   SSW SSW
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   2   3   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 4.6 4.6
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   WSW WSW WSW S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW
TRANSP WIND SPD.3   3   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7
TRANS SPD (M/S).1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
DISPERSION......2   2   2   17  17  25  25  25  27  27  27
LVORI...........7   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
CHC OF PCPN (%).50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50

.MONDAY NIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........58  55  55  54  53  53  52  52  51  50  46  51
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............81  79  78  77  75  74  73  73  72  72  71  70
RH..............68  71  74  76  78  80  82  83  84  85  86  89
DEWPOINT........69  69  69  68  68  68  67  67  67  67  67  67
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SSW SW  SW  WSW WSW W   W   W   W   WNW N
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   5   5   5   4   3   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.6 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1
MIX HGT (KM)....1.4 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SW  SW  SW  WSW WSW WSW W   W   W   WNW WNW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   7   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5   7   7
TRANS SPD (M/S).3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3
DISPERSION......27  31  31  31  25  25  2   2   2   2   3   3
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   6   6
CHC OF PCPN (%).50  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40

.TUESDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........61  66  64  60  58  59  62  63  62  59  58  57
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............70  71  74  78  81  83  84  85  85  85  85  83
RH..............90  87  80  71  64  60  57  56  55  55  56  58
DEWPOINT........67  67  67  68  68  68  67  67  67  67  67  67
20 FT WIND DIR..E   ESE E   NE  NNE ENE SSE S   S   SSW SSW SSW
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 1.7 1.7 1.7 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.3
MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.WNW NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   8   8   8   7   7   7   5   5   5   6   6
TRANS SPD (M/S).3   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3
DISPERSION......3   4   4   4   3   36  36  29  29  29  33  33
LVORI...........6   6   5   3   3   1   1   2   2   2   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40

$$
FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT SAUCIER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150531.CPTG0.01/LIX


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