Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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000
FNUS76 KLOX 130249
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for CREEK...LAC/ANF
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
649 PM PST Tue Dec 12 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0600 PST on December 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...Upper level high pressure nearby will help to keep a
persistent offshore flow pattern over the area through much of this
week. Northeast 20-foot winds will prevail most of the time, with
gusts up to 20 mph today, then increase with gusts up to 25 mph after
midnight tonight, and up to 35 mph on Thursday. Eye-level winds will
peak Thursday with gusts up to 20 mph possible. The strongest winds
will generally be below and through the favored passes and canyons.
Humidities will be in the single digits most of the time, even during
the nighttime hours. Due to the gusty winds and extremely dry air
mass, the Red Flag Warning will continue over the burn area through
Friday morning.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....75-78.
Min humidity........3-5 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast 5-7 mph with gusts to 10 mph into
                    early afternoon, then turning north 2-4 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast 10-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph into
                    early afternoon, then turning north 3-7 mph.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast 15-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph into
                    early afternoon, then turning north 5-10 mph.
Mixing height.......700-1000 ft AGL early increasing to 2500-3500 ft
                    AGL by early in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15-20 mph.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 54-58.
Max humidity........8-12 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast 3-5 mph in the evening increasing to
                    6-10 mph with gusts to 15 mph after midnight.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast 5-10 mph in the evening increasing to
                    12-18 mph with gusts to 25 mph after midnight.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast 6-12 mph in the evening increasing to
                    15-25 mph with gusts to 30 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......Falling to less than 1000 ft AGL in the evening.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10-20 mph.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....73-76.
Min humidity........4-8 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast 8-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast 20-30 mph with gusts to 40 mph.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL early increasing to 2500-3000
                    ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 25-35 mph.

$$

Forecaster...SIRARD
Requested by...Lyle Koegler, SITL Type 3 IMT
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1719849.1/LOX
.EMAIL lyle.koegler@fire.lacounty.gov,mdelay@fs.fed.us


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