Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 242012
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Mt. Ida 17...Womble-Caddo
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
212 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 CST on February 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service Immediately.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE TODAY WITH WIDELY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN AND SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE STATE. HUMIDITY WILL DECREASE RAPIDLY BEHIND THE
FRONT AND WITH GUSTY BREEZY CONDITIONS CONTINUING, AN ELEVATED
FIRE DANGER WILL EXIST.

.TODAY...

Temperature.........66 at ignition...Max 65.
RH..................32 percent at ignition...Min 31 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 24 mph shifting to the northwest 13
                    to 21 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Stability class.....C.
20 Foot Winds.......Winds northwest at 9 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise West winds 7 to 9 mph.
LVORI...............1 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (10-20 percent).
Dispersion..........40 decreasing to 30 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 40 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 51 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 42.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.
Eye level winds.....West winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 6400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 7512 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............66  65  63
RH..............32  31  32
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.15  15  15
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.18  20  21
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Temperature.........Min 30.
RH..................Max 66 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 12 mph.
Stability class.....D.
20 Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Dispersion..........15 early in the evening.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4346 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............59  52  48  45  43  41  39  37  35  34  33  32
RH..............34  44  49  55  55  55  54  59  64  66  66  63
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.10  10  12  12  12  10  9   10  10  10  9   8
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SATURDAY...

Temperature.........Max 49.
RH..................Min 23 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 8 mph.
Stability class.....C.
20 Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
LVORI...............1 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Dispersion..........19 decreasing to 11 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 5300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 6372 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............31  30  31  34  38  41  44  47  48  49  49  48
RH..............63  66  63  56  44  37  30  26  25  23  25  27
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   8   8   8   6   6   6   5   3
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...55
Requested by...Shannon G
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702827.0/LZK
.EMAIL aoiccdispatch@gmail.com


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