Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 181133
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR POSEY HOLLOW 2...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
633 AM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AT THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING...AND SHOULD ONLY
PICK UP TO AROUND 5 MPH BY LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WIND
DIRECTIONS WILL BE EAST-NORTHEASTERLY BY LATE MORNING THEN GRADUALLY
VEER AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. GRADIENTS WILL BE WEAK TODAY SO DO NOT EXPECT TO SEE
ANY WIND GUSTS AT THE BURN SITE. HUMIDITY LEVELS SHOULD DROP TO
AROUND 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPS CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID
70S.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS EARLY...BECOMING EAST-NORTHEAST AT
                    AROUND 5 MPH BY LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 7400 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 5616 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST
                    5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............57  61  62  63  64  65  65  65
RH..............70  66  60  57  57  56  58  61
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   7   7   7   7   7   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   4   4   5   5   5   4   3
EYE LVL WND GST.3   4   4   5   5   5   4   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   8   9   9   9   9   9   8
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 7 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4100 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2320 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............64  62  60  58  56  55  54  53  52  52  51  51
RH..............61  66  72  76  80  82  84  86  89  90  92  92
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
EYE LVL WND GST.3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 7000 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 5178 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............50  50  53  55  58  60  62  64  65  66  67  66
RH..............93  93  86  79  72  68  64  61  60  59  59  60
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
EYE LVL WND GST.2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   6   6   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10

$$
FORECASTER...C DALTON
REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140418.POSEY.01/LZK






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