Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 111314
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR P CS E HORSESHOE 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
714 AM CST THU FEB 11 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
NORTHEAST AND EASTERLY WINDS WILL BE PREVALENT TODAY...THOUGH
SUSTAINED SPEEDS SHOULD MOSTLY BE UNDER 10 MPH. HUMIDITY WILL
BOTTOM OUT IN THE MID 30 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON.

IF THE FORECAST IS NOT VERIFYING OR DIFFERS SIGNIFICANTLY FROM
OBSERVATIONS...PLEASE CONTACT US IMMEDIATELY FOR AN UPDATE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 62.
RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
                    IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4000 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5045 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (CST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............56  58  59  61  59  58
RH..............45  40  39  35  37  39
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.                5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   3   3   3   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   7   7   7   7   7
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34.
RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............54  51  49  47  45  44  43  41  40  39  39  38
RH..............44  50  54  58  61  64  66  69  72  75  76  78
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5                   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5   5   5                   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   7   6   6   5   5   5   6   6   7   9   10
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60.
RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3100 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4138 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............37  37  39  43  47  50  53  56  57  59  57  55
RH..............78  81  78  71  61  53  47  43  40  38  39  40
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   2   3   5   6   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5       10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   2   2   2   3   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  13  14  15  16  16  17  18  18  18  18  18
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...S CLARKE
REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160211.PCSEH.01/LZK


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