Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FNUS72 KMFL 201409
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for NC-4...Seminole Tribe
National Weather Service Miami FL
909 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on November 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A stalled boundary, just to the south, will act as a trigger for
showers just to the east of the burn area. There is a small chance
a shower may able to progress far enough west to affect the burn
area. The general wind wind will be northeasterly through the day.
It may become gusty this afternoon, with gusts of 15 to 20 mph
possible. Cloud cover and the surface wind will keep the
dispersion on the lower side today. However, the transport wind
may help to bring it up to around 40 at times.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 10 mph.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......1200-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....28...increasing to 41 early,...then decreasing
                    to 28 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........42  65  65  65  63  63  63  66  66
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............67  70  72  74  75  76  77  76  75
RH..............77  74  71  71  69  66  64  66  69
20 ft wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E
20 ft wind dir..040 050 050 060 060 070 070 070 070
20 ft wind spd..9   9   9   10  9   10  10  9   8
20 ft wind gust.12  12  12  13  12  13  13  12  11
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.6 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.6 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.16  17  18  17  17  17  18  18  15
Dispersion idx..25  31  44  38  42  41  43  41  28
LVORI...........3   3   2   3   1   1   1   1   3
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A chance of
                    showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph in the
                    evening...becoming light,...then becoming east
                    5 to 6 mph after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......300-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....12...decreasing to 5 until just after midnight.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........66  67  67  67  73  73  73  87  87  87  81  81
Weather cov.....                CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............72  71  70  70  69  69  69  68  68  68  67  67
RH..............76  79  81  81  84  84  84  87  87  87  90  93
20 ft wind dir..E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
20 ft wind dir..070 060 040 040 050 050 040 060 060 070 070 070
20 ft wind spd..6   7   5   5   5   5   3   5   6   5   5   5
20 ft wind gust.7   8   6   6   6   6   5   6   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  9   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..16  8   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4
LVORI...........4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  30  30  30  40  40  40  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A chance of
                    showers until late afternoon. A slight chance
                    of thunderstorms. Showers likely late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph through early
                    afternoon...becoming light. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1000,...then 1-8 strikes until
                    1300,...then No Tstms.
Mixing height.......300-2000 ft AGL...increasing to 1300-3000 ft
                    AGL early in the afternoon,...then decreasing
                    to 400 ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 14 mph...becoming southwest around 3
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....6...increasing to 19 late in the
                    morning,...then increasing to 31
                    early...decreasing to 17 early in the
                    afternoon...decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........81     69     65     65     74     68
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              S CHC  S CHC
Temp............67     69     75     78     79     78
RH..............93     93     79     69     67     69
20 ft wind dir..E      E      E      SE     S      SW
20 ft wind dir..070    080    110    130    160    210
20 ft wind spd..5      6      7      6      3      2
20 ft wind gust.6      7      8      7      5
MIX HGT (FT)....300    700    1400   2500   2200   400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 5    E 8    E 14   SE 13  SE 9   SW 5
Dispersion idx..3      9      23     32     21     6
LVORI...........7      6      3      3      3      3
Chc of pcpn (%).30     50     50     50     50     60
LAL.............1      1      2      2      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Ippoliti
Requested by...Tony Curella
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719019.0/MFL



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