Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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000
FNUS72 KMHX 241119
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-37...CAMP LEJEUNE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
719 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TODAY
WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS WILL
RESULT IN RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 20 TO 25 PERCENT FOR INLAND
AREAS. THE SEA BREEZE IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER THE BURN AREA
AROUND 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TODAY THEN MOVE OFF THE
COAST TONIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FROM THE WEST
FRIDAY NIGHT. A SECONDARY STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT STALLING SOUTH OF THE REGION SUNDAY. DEVELOPING LOW
PRESSURE IN THE PLAINS WILL PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO THE AREA
LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT APPROACHING WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15
                    MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH
                    5 TO 10 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............2      8      13     14     14
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................54     61     64     66     65
RH..................52     38     34     34     40
20 FT WIND..........NE 5   NE 5   E 3    SE 5   S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....13            5      10     10
LVORI...............2      2      2      2      2
ADI.................6      22     20     13     9
HAINES INDEX........4      4      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............14     14     17     22     25     38
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64     60     57     56     56     55
RH..................43     55     67     74     74     83
20 FT WIND..........S 5    S 4    SE 3   SE 3   SE 4   SE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      5      5      5      5
LVORI...............2      3      3      3      3      5
ADI.................13     6      8      3      2      2
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      4      3      4

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
                    TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............55     68     68     72     75     72
WEATHER COV.........       S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                     CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................55     57     65     71     74     74
RH..................90     90     73     66     64     66
20 FT WIND..........SE 5   SE 5   S 8    S 11   S 14   S 14
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     15     20     25     25
LVORI...............6      6      3      1      1      1
ADI.................4      5      15     49     74     77
HAINES INDEX........4      4      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...ELARDO
REQUESTED BY...KYLE AVESING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140424.C37__.01/MHX






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