Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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975
FNUS74 KMOB 071257
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BLOCK 1565...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
657 AM CST SUN FEB 7 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PASSING WEST OF THE AREA WILL SHIFT
MIXING LAYER WINDS FROM NORTHERLY TO WESTERLY BY LATE AFTERNOON. LIGHT
WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...TONIGHT...BUT AS A FRONT MOVES OVER THE
AREA MONDAY...STRONG WINDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE BURN SITE BEGINNING AROUND
NOONTIME.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG NOT EXPECTED THE NEXT THREE DAYS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    NORTH-NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE WEST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2900 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 43 IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1 EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 2 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....B.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........0      1      0      0
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............48     55     58     57
RH................43     33     31     34
20 FT WIND DIR....N      NNW    W      W
20 FT WIND SPD....4      5      5      4
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......2500   4000   4500   3900
MIX HGT (M).......760    1220   1370   1190
TRANSP WIND DIR...N      N      N      NW
TRANSP WIND SPD...7      8      8      7
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      4      4      3
DISPERSION........22     40     43     33
LVORI.............2      1      1      2
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B
CWR...............0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 5.
STABILITY CLASS.....F.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........1      1      2      3      2      4
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............50     45     43     42     40     39
RH................48     59     70     77     85     82
20 FT WIND DIR....NW     WSW    SSW    SW     WSW    WSW
20 FT WIND SPD....2      3      3      2      3      4
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......1300   1000   700    200    200    300
MIX HGT (M).......400    300    210    60     60     90
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      W      W      W      W      W
TRANSP WIND SPD...5      5      5      7      7      10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...2      2      2      3      3      4
DISPERSION........2      2      2      3      3      5
LVORI.............2      2      3      5      5      5
STABILITY CLASS...F      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
                    12 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 3800 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 16 MPH BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON DECREASING TO AROUND 24 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....0 INCREASING TO 99 IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 65 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING D EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING C LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........9      6      2      0      13     27
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............38     43     49     53     54     51
RH................79     70     50     39     35     38
20 FT WIND DIR....W      WNW    NW     NW     NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD....5      10     14     12     14     12
20 FT WIND GUST...       18     22     21     23     21
MIX HGT (FT)......400    800    3200   5700   6100   3800
MIX HGT (M).......120    240    980    1740   1860   1160
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      W      WNW    WNW    WNW    WNW
TRANSP WIND SPD...16     16     25     30     30     24
TRANS SPD (M/S)...7      7      11     13     13     11
DISPERSION........0      0      61     89     99     65
LVORI.............4      4      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...C      C      C      D      D      C
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...16
REQUESTED BY...BOBBY ISER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160207.DESOT.01/MOB



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