Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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FNUS71 KRLX 101648
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SPOT FORECAST FOR SHOCK RUN SAVANNAH...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1248 PM EDT THU APR 10 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO OUR EAST TODAY. AN INCREASING SOUTHWEST
WIND...RESULTS IN MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING. WINDS SHOULD PICK UP IN INTENSITY BY MIDDAY AND THEN
REMAIN RELATIVELY STRONG AND GUSTY THROUGH THIS EVENING. RH LEVELS WILL
FALL INTO THE MID TO LOWER 20S WHICH IS ABOUT 10 PERCENT LESS THAN
WHAT IS CURRENTLY BEING MODELED. GIVEN THE ASPECT OF THIS FIRE...
COMFORTABLE WITH GOING A LITTLE WARMER AND DRIER THAN SURROUNDING
LOCATIONS.

A COLD FRONT WILL DROP DOWN INTO SOUTHEAST OHIO TOWARD DAWN ON
FRIDAY. THAT FRONT WILL LIKELY STALL ACROSS WEST VIRGINIA ON
FRIDAY.  AS A RESULT...THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS INCREASE...FROM NORTH
TO SOUTH...LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY ENTER THE MIX DURING FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
FRIDAY EVENING.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3   2   3   6   7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONE
TEMP............59  61  63  65  65
RH..............29  28  26  23  23
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD.. 5  15  16  16  16
20 FT WIND GUST.15  30  30  30  30
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15  20  21  21  20
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........8   10  11  15  22  26  30  39  43  46  53  60
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
TEMP............62  61  59  55  53  52  50  50  49  48  48  47
RH..............30  34  39  45  50  55  60  64  66  67  66  68
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..15  14  12  12  10  10  9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.30  25  25  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 2.3 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.18  16  15  14  13  13  13  12  12  12  12  12
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5

.FRIDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........64  73  77  74  69  67  72  81  86  86  86  86
WEATHER COV.....            SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH
TEMP............46  46  48  50  53  55  57  59  60  61  62  62
RH..............73  77  72  62  64  61  58  52  47  48  49  48
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..8   8   8   9   10  12  12  10  10  8   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  15  15  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  10  10  12  13  14  14  14  13  10  9   7
CWR.............0   0   0   10  10  10  20  30  30  40  50  50
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...JW
REQUESTED BY...PATRICIA FELTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140410.SHOCK.02/RLX










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