Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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569
FNUS73 KSGF 071411
FWSSGF

Spot Forecast for Hunkah Prairie...MO Dept Natural Resources
National Weather Service Springfield MO
811 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on December 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-762-4363, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

A colder and dry air mass has spread over the region this afternoon.
Surface high pressure will remain to the west of the area allowing
northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Highs this afternoon will be around 32.
Lows tonight will drop into the teens.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........25 at ignition...Max 32.
RH..................62 percent at ignition...Min 39 percent.
DEWPOINT............13 decreasing to 10 late in the afternoon.
APPARENT TEMP.......11.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Winds northwest at 9 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph
                    becoming light.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2300-4100
                    ft AGL increasing to 3700-5600 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon, then decreasing to 1800 ft AGL late
                    in the afternoon.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....Northwest 12 to 21 mph decreasing to around 8
                    mph late in the afternoon.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Good /54200 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /79300 knot-ft/ decreasing to
                    fair (13700 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........6   3   0   0   0   0   0   0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............25  27  29  31  32  32  30  28
DEWPOINT........14  14  13  12  11  10  10  10
RH..............62  57  51  45  41  39  42  46
APARNT TMP (F)..14  17  20  23  24  25  23  23
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   6   6   6   5   5   3
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  10  10  10  5
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 4.1 4.8 5.4 5.6 5.2 3.7 1.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.18  18  17  17  16  15  12  8
HAINES INDEX....3   4   4   4   5   5   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/100054  65  72  79  79  68  39  14

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........Min 18.
RH..................Max 70 percent.
DEWPOINT............10.
APPARENT TEMP.......10.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    early in the morning.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 ft AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....Southwest 5 to 8 mph.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to poor (0-1400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........0   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   2   3   5   7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............26  24  22  21  20  20  19  18  18  18  18  19
DEWPOINT........10  11  11  11  11  11  10  10  10  9   9   9
RH..............50  57  62  65  67  67  67  70  70  67  67  64
APARNT TMP (F)..22  20  17  16  15  15  14  13  11  10  10  11
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   5   5   5   5   5   6   7   7   8   8   8
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/10001   0   0   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........Max 43.
RH..................Min 36 percent.
DEWPOINT............10 increasing to 20.
APPARENT TEMP.......11.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........West winds 6 to 10 mph.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 ft AGL increasing to 1000-2800 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....Southwest 9 to 18 mph increasing to 12 to 21
                    mph in the afternoon.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to good (1700-49500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........9   20  31  41  46  51  55  53  51  49  50  51
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............20  21  23  26  29  33  38  41  43  43  41  38
DEWPOINT........8   9   9   10  12  13  15  17  18  20  21  22
RH..............59  59  54  50  48  43  38  37  36  39  44  52
APARNT TMP (F)..11  11  14  17  20  24  30  34  37  37  35  33
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   6   6   7   8   7   7   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  20  15  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.8 2.8 2.1 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   12  14  16  17  18  20  21  21  20  16  12
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
VRATE KT-FT/10002   3   6   10  15  23  30  41  50  48  29  10

$$
Forecaster...WISE
Requested by...Katy Holmer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719701.0/SGF
.EMAIL katy.holmer@dnr.mo.gov



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