Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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692
FNUS73 KSGF 210917 AAA
FWSSGF

Spot Forecast for Kaintuck North...UPDATED
National Weather Service Springfield MO
317 AM CST Tue Feb 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on February 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-762-4363, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Scattered light showers will continue this morning.
Patchy fog will also be possible this morning.
Clouds will begin to clear by afternoon and evening. Winds will be
light and mainly out of the north today. Dry weather will return Wednesday
and Thursday with a continuation of unseasonably warm temperatures.
RH values will drop below 30 percent Wednesday and Friday.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog until
                    late morning. Slight chance of rain early in
                    the morning. Slight chance of rain during early
                    and mid afternoon.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 percent.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........58 at ignition...Max 68.
RH..................93 percent at ignition...Min 54 percent.
DEWPOINT............55 decreasing to 51 late in the afternoon.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Winds northeast at 4 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming north
                    around 5 mph in the late morning and afternoon,
                    then becoming light late in the afternoon.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 900-2800 ft
                    AGL increasing to 2900-3700 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 900-2800 ft
                    AGL increasing to 2900-3700 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....North 6 to 13 mph.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor /6700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /38700 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........81  79  78  77  80  79  85  85  82  77  70  69
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH PTY         SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RNF RNF RNF FOG         RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  10  0
CHC OF THDR (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............58  58  59  60  62  65  67  67  67  68  67  66
DEWPOINT........56  57  56  57  57  56  54  53  53  51  52  52
RH..............93  96  90  90  84  73  64  61  61  54  58  60
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.4 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   9   9   9   10  10  12  13  13  12  9   6
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/10007   8   9   11  16  22  29  35  39  37  27  15

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Patchy fog in
                    the late evening and early morning. Areas of
                    fog early in the morning, then widespread fog
                    early in the morning.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........Min 49.
RH..................Max 95 percent.
DEWPOINT............49 decreasing to 45 in the late evening and
                    early morning, then increasing to 49 early in
                    the morning.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Light winds.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 ft AGL decreasing to 200-300 ft AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....Southwest 1 to 3 mph.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to poor (300-7000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........65  61  33  23  20  18  19  24  29  34  33  33
WEATHER COV.....                    PTY PTY PTY PTY ARS WID WID
WEATHER TYPE....                    FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
CHC OF THDR (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............64  62  59  58  56  55  54  54  52  51  51  50
DEWPOINT........51  50  50  47  46  45  44  44  50  49  49  48
RH..............63  65  72  66  69  69  69  70  93  93  91  93
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   NW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  W   SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   2   3   3
HAINES INDEX....3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   5
VRATE KT-FT/10007   4   3   2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Widespread fog early in
                    the morning, then areas of fog early in the
                    morning.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........Max 77.
RH..................Min 33 percent.
DEWPOINT............47.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 ft AGL increasing to 2700-3800 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....Southwest 5 to 13 mph.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to good (700-42300 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........32  33  35  36  32  26  23  21  15  12  17  26
WEATHER COV.....WID ARS
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
CHC OF THDR (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............50  49  52  57  62  67  72  75  77  77  75  73
DEWPOINT........47  48  48  49  49  48  47  46  46  46  47  48
RH..............91  95  86  75  61  50  40  36  33  33  37  41
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   4
20 FT WIND GUST.        5   5   5   5   5                   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.7 3.4 3.8 3.8 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5   6   7   8   8   8   8   10  12  13  10  8
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3
VRATE KT-FT/10001   1   2   4   6   9   13  23  35  42  36  24

$$
Forecaster...BURCHFIELD
Requested by...jess register
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702518.0/SGF
.EMAIL jregister@fs.fed.us



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