Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA

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000
FNUS76 KSTO 310553
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOORE BELLFOUR UNIT M12...STANISLAUS N.F. CALAVERAS R.D.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
1053 PM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 PDT ON OCTOBER 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A MODERATELY STRONG PACIFIC FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER THE
BURN SITE TODAY (FRIDAY) BRINGING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA
THROUGH SATURDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FIRE
SITE FRIDAY EVENING. OVER AN INCH OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED OVER
THE BURN SITE THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH RAIN TURNING TO SNOW LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE HEAVIEST PRECIP IS EXPECTED FRIDAY
NIGHT. A DRYING AND WARMING TREND IS FORECAST BEGINNING SUNDAY AND
LASTING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE REBUILDS
OVER THE REGION.


.TODAY (FRIDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....NORTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...
                    BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH AFTER
                    0900.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 10 EARLY IN THE MORNING...
                    INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH AFTER NOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AND
                    SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH IN THE EVENING...
                    DECREASING TO UP TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST UP TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. TOTAL SNOWFALL
                    ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 5 INCHES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-40.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    DECREASING TO UP TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST UP TO 5 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    DECREASING TO UP TO 5 MPH LATE AFTERNOON AND
                    EVENING.


FORECASTER...JHM
REQUESTED BY...BRYAN BOATMAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141031.MOORE.01/STO

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