Suppression Forecast
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000
FNUS72 KTAE 241152
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for Buckhorn Village...USFWS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
752 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0800 EDT on March 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Red Flag conditions are not expected at the burn location today.
Moderately high transport winds will result in marginally high
dispersion indices today, especially in the early to mid afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......800-2700 ft AGL increasing to 3100-3900 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 21 mph.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 23 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 42 late in the morning increasing
                    to 57 late in the morning increasing to 70
                    decreasing to 62 early in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........39  40  42  43  40  35  32  34  37  39
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............58  61  64  67  69  70  72  72  73  73
RH..............86  81  73  68  62  58  55  54  54  53
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..9   10  12  13  13  12  10  9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  20  20  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.1 3.5 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.20  20  20  21  21  21  16  16  16  16
Dispersion......23  38  46  57  67  73  61  60  61  64
LVORI...........3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast 5 to 10
                    mph late in the evening.
Mixing height.......1500-3300 ft AGL decreasing to 700-1200 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....59 decreasing to 48 early in the evening, then
                    decreasing to 9 early in the evening increasing
                    to 17 after midnight.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........38  35  33  33  33  33  36  41  44  48  55  58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............72  70  69  68  66  64  64  64  64  63  63  62
RH..............56  58  63  68  73  78  78  78  78  81  81  84
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   5   3   3   3   5   7   9   10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.15  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 2.6 1.9 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.16  16  14  14  14  12  12  12  17  17  17  16
Dispersion......59  48  6   6   6   6   7   11  18  17  16  16
LVORI...........1   1   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1100-2900 ft AGL increasing to 2800-3100 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 21 mph.
Dispersion index....20 increasing to 31 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 46 late in the morning increasing
                    to 57 early in the afternoon decreasing to 48.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........59  61  62  61  61  61  59  55  53  53  54  54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............62  62  62  64  66  68  69  70  71  71  72  72
RH..............87  87  87  84  78  76  73  68  66  66  66  66
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT wind spd..10  9   9   10  10  12  12  12  12  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.1 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.16  16  16  16  16  21  21  21  18  18  18  16
Dispersion......16  15  24  29  33  44  46  48  58  56  55  48
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   1   1   1   2

$$
Forecaster...Harrigan
Requested by...Bart Rye
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1705120.0/TAE
.EMAIL barton_rye@fws.gov



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