Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT

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000
FNUS75 KTFX 272138
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER-SOUP 1 AND 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
338 PM MDT TUE SEP 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE BURN LOCATION TONIGHT...PRODUCING
NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS ON WEDNESDAY. THIS SURFACE LAYER WILL BE
CAPPED BY A TEMPERATURE INVERSION AROUND 2500 FT AGL...MARKED BY
SCATTERED CLOUDS AND A SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT. WINDS BECOME
LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH GOOD OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY
RECOVERY. FAIR AND DRY WEATHER PREVAILS FOR THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS
SHIFT BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST WITH A DEEPER MIXING LAYER.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...AFTERNOON MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.
RH..................MAX 70-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS CALM TO 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......VARIABLE WINDS CALM TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...NUTTER
REQUESTED BY...DEANNA THOMPSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160928.BEAVE.02/TFX



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