Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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403
FNUS74 KTSA 121533
FWSTSA

Spot Forecast for Holcomb (NWSG 25 acres)...U.S. FWS
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
933 AM CST Tue Dec 12 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on December 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A northwest wind around 10 mph will gradually back toward the west
this afternoon, and should subside to light and variable around
sunset. Sunny skies and continued very dry conditions with minimum
relative humidity near 25 percent this afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Dewpoint............25 decreasing to 17.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......900-2800 ft AGL increasing to 1400-3200 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000 knot-ft).
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).40 increasing to 50 in the afternoon.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............41  45  48  50  51  52  51  49
Dewpoint........23  22  19  19  18  17  17  17
RH..............48  40  31  29  27  25  26  28
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   7   7   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.15  10  10  15  15  15  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.2 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.0 2.3 1.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.16  15  14  15  15  16  16  16
VRate kt-ft/1K..4   4   6   6   6   6   6   6
1700FT Mix T(F).40  44  48  50  52  52  50  48

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 31.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Dewpoint............20 increasing to 24 late in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......100-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 15 mph shifting to the south 1 to 2
                    mph in the late evening and early morning, then
                    shifting to the southeast 3 to 5 mph after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).
Stability class.....6.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).49.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   4   5   6   7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............44  42  39  38  37  36  35  35  34  33  32  32
Dewpoint........18  19  20  21  22  23  23  24  24  24  25  25
RH..............35  39  46  50  54  59  61  64  66  69  75  75
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  S   SE  E   E   SE
20 FT wind spd..6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4
20 FT wind gust.10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  S   SE  E   E   SE
Transp wind spd.15  12  6   2   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   5
VRate kt-ft/1K..1   1   1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0
1700FT Mix T(F).46  45  45  45  46  46  47  48  49  51  52  54

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Dewpoint............28.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 6 mph early
                    in the morning, then shifting to the northwest
                    around 7 mph late in the morning shifting to
                    the west 8 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......0-1000 ft AGL increasing to 2100-4000 ft AGL
                    late in the morning, then increasing to
                    3700-4600 ft AGL early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 2500 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 6 mph shifting to the north around 14
                    mph late in the morning, then increasing to
                    west 22 to 31 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (5800-17200 knot-ft).
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).60.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8   7   6   5   3   2   1   1   1   2   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............31  31  31  37  44  51  56  60  63  64  63  59
Dewpoint........26  27  28  30  30  30  30  30  29  29  29  30
RH..............81  85  88  75  57  44  37  32  27  27  27  33
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   E   NE  NE  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..4   4   5   5   6   7   9   10  10  11  10  8
20 FT wind gust.5   5   10  10  10  15  15  15  15  20  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0 2.1 3.2 4.0 4.6 4.6 3.7 2.5
Transp wind dir.SE  E   E   NE  N   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   3   3   6   14  23  30  31  30  28  25  22
VRate kt-ft/1K..6   6   6   6   6   6   17  17  17  17  17  17
1700FT Mix T(F).56  58  60  61  59  57  56  58  61  64  64  64

$$
Forecaster...LACY
Requested by...Michelle Furr
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719878.0/TSA
.EMAIL michelle_furr@fws.gov



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