Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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000
FNUS73 KUNR 192100
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHARPS CORNER RX...PINE RIDGE AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
300 PM MDT TUE AUG 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1515 MDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PUSH EAST TOWARD
THE REGION WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS ARE THE MAIN
THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 5 TO
10 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS
WILL SHIFT WESTERLY WEDNESDAY AS A TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........90 AT IGNITION...MAX 91.
RH..................36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 13
                    MPH.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100 TO 7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 65.
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 88.
RH..................MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 TO 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD LATE IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...JC
REQUESTED BY...TAMARA RANDALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140819.SHARP.01/UNR






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