Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Northeast RFC

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000
AGUS71 KTAR 301544
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1144 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
LATE THIS TUESDAY MORNING...A NEARLY STATIONARY COLD FRONT WAS
LOCATED ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS AND EXTENDED
WEST ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK STATE AND INTO WESTERN
NEW YORK STATE. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS GENERALLY YIELDED BASIN AVERAGE TOTALS OF 0.10 INCH OR LESS.
HOWEVER SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS FROM 0.10 TO 0.50 INCH WERE NOTED
ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE.
:
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND
AND ANOTHER ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK STATE WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS
TODAY. MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS EASTERN AND SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
MOST NUMEROUS IN SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY AS THE
UPPER LOW FROM THE GREAT LAKES APPROACHES.
:
48 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 0.10 TO 0.50 INCH ACROSS
WESTERN AND SOUTHERN NEW YORK STATE AND SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND. 48 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE FORECAST AMOUNTS
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND RANGE
FROM NIL TO LESS THAN 0.10 INCH.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
RIVER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY STEADY TO SLOWLY FALLING ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST REGION.  WITH UP TO 0.5 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION EXPECTED
IN FAR WESTERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND, SOME
FORECAST LOCATIONS IN THESE AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO SEE MINOR RIVER
RISES OF LESS THAN 0.5 FEET.  OTHERWISE, RIVERS ACROSS THE REGION
WILL REMAIN AT STEADY LEVELS.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATER WATCH WEBPAGE, 7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTHEAST REGION ARE RUNNING AT
NORMAL TO MUCH BELOW NORMAL LEVELS FOR LATE SEPTEMBER.  HOWEVER,
ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK, SOME RIVER
FLOWS ARE REPORTING AT NEAR RECORD LOW LEVELS FOR THIS POINT IN
THE YEAR.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:       NEAL STRAUSS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                BILL SAUNDERS




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