High Seas Forecast
Issued by NWS

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142
FZPN03 KNHC 252212
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU AUG 25 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 25.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 26.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 27.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LESTER NEAR 16.9N 113.4W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
25 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
45 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 17.7N 115.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
60 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 75 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.0N 118.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
120 NM W SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 29 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
11 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 300 NM SW SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM NE
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.0N 123.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.0N 128.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.0N 133.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N132W 1008 MB MOVING W 15 KT. FROM 09N TO 11N
BETWEEN 132W AND 135W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 124W AND 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND
NEAR SCATTERED TSTMS FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 131W AND 136W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
12N137W 1009 MB. WITHIN 270 NM E QUADRANT AND 180 NM S
SEMICIRCLE WINDS S TO SW 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. WITHIN 210
NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND
SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
13N138W 1005 MB. WITHIN 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLE S TO SW WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO 14.5N95W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS  TO 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 95W AND 104W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2145 UTC THU AUG 25...

.TROPICAL STORM LESTER...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 45 NM SW
QUADRANT. SCATTERED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
AND 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLE.

.LOW PRESSURE NEAR 11.5N132W...SCATTERED STRONG FROM 12N TO 15N
BETWEEN 131W AND 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N130W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG S OF THE ITCZ AXIS FROM
08N TO 10N BETWEEN 127W AND 130W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 10N90W TO 09N96W TO
10N108W. IT RESUMES AT 14N120W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N132W 1008
MB AND TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 98W...WITHIN 120 NM
S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 109W AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE
AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 138W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



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