Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FLUS45 KFGZ 291551
HWOFGZ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
851 AM MST SAT AUG 29 2015

AZZ004>018-037>040-300045-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
851 AM MST SAT AUG 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AFTER A QUIET START TODAY...MOISTURE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTH
WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A DRIER AND
MORE STABLE AIRMASS NORTHEAST OF THE MOGOLLON RIM WILL LIMIT
STORM COVERAGE IN THAT AREA. EXPECT YAVAPAI COUNTY...NORTHERN
GILA COUNTY AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG THE RIM AND WHITE
MOUNTAINS TO BE MOST ACTIVE BY AFTERNOON.

PRIMARY THREATS TODAY WILL BE LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN.
STORM MOTION WILL BE TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST. ONLY MARGINAL
INSTABILITY TODAY WILL PREVENT MOST STORMS FROM PRODUCING
FLOODING RAINFALL OR LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

HIGH MOISTURE VALUES AND A MORE UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL BRING AN
ACTIVE DAY TO THE REGION ON SUNDAY. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL
AND HAIL WILL BE ENHANCED...COMPARED TO SATURDAY. DRIER SOUTHWEST
FLOW WILL DEVELOP NEXT WEEK...WITH STORM COVERAGE SHIFTING
EAST TOWARD THE NEW MEXICO BORDER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

$$


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