Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 241001
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
501 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
501 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016

...DANGEROUS HEAT CONTINUES TODAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
 AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS...FAR NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA.
 ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS...LATE TONIGHT FOR FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...EARLY AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED...HOWEVER THE STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY
WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE THAT STORMS
THAT FORM EARLIER IN THE DAY ALONG A FRONT OUT ON THE HIGH PLAINS
WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS KANSAS TONIGHT...AND SOME OF THOSE STORMS
COULD MAKE IT SOUTH OF THE STATE LINE TONIGHT.

DANGEROUS AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES IN THE 105 TO 110 DEGREE RANGE ARE
FORECAST AGAIN TODAY ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND SHIFT
WEST THIS WEEK. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO OUR NORTH WILL FOCUS
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THAT WILL GRADUALLY WORK ITS WAY INTO THE
REGION MONDAY...WITH STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS WITH A WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE. A RELATIVE BREAK
IS EXPECTED MIDWEEK AS THE SURFACE FEATURES WASH OUT. AN UPPER
DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED BOUNDARY WILL BRING ANOTHER DECENT
CHANCE FOR STORMS TO CLOSE OUT THE WORK WEEK...WITH SOME OF THE
ACTIVITY LINGERING INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

DANGEROUS AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES TO AROUND 105 DEGREES ARE
FORECAST MONDAY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...BEFORE BACKING OFF
SLIGHTLY AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES. NEVERTHELESS...AFTERNOON HEAT
INDICES SHOULD REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES THRU THE WEEK.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

LACY



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