Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS

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FOPA11 PHFO 302046
PWSCP1

HURRICANE KILO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  41
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015
2100 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KILO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 178.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110
KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

20N 175W       34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)

25N 175W       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   2(10)   X(10)

LISIANSKI      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

PEARL/HERMES   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)

MIDWAY         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)   3(13)   1(14)

KURE           34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   6(11)   5(16)   1(17)
KURE           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
KURE           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA






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