Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 190941
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
540 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID APR 19/1200 UTC THRU APR 22/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

06Z UPDATE...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO PRELIM GUID BASED ON SATL/RADAR
TRENDS.

SOUTHEAST

THE UPR LOW WHICH HAS BROUGHT SOME VERY HEAVY RAINS TO MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEAST WILL SLOWLY PUSH EWD AND OFF THE GA COAST BY LATE SAT
AFTN.  TO THE NORTH OF THE UPR LOW...DEEP LAYERED ELY/NELY FLOW
WILL CONTINUE TO FUNNEL DECENT MSTR OFF THE ATLC...OVERRUNNING
WEAK COLD FRONT NEAR THE COAST..PROVIDING MDT TO SPOTTY HEAVY PCPN
MAINLY ACRS THE CAROLINAS. SOME SHWR DVLPMENT IS EXPECTED NEAR THE
UPR LOW ITSELF ESPECIALLY ESPECIALLY WHERE BREAKS IN LOW LVL CLOUD
COVER OCCUR SAT MRNG AND AFTN.  LEANED CLOSE TO EC GIVEN ITS GOOD
CONTINUITY BUT DID FEEL THERE COULD BE HEAVIER AMOUNTS FARTHER
BACK TOWARD THE EASTERN FOOTHILLS OF NC GIVEN FAVORABLE ELY 85H
UPSLOPE FLOW.

SOUTHWEST INTO THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS/CNTL
PLAINS

MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT IN PROGRESSING
FAIRLY BROAD UPR TROF EWD ACRS THE 4 CORNERS REGION TOWARD THE SRN
ROCKIES BY SUN MRNG.  MODEL QPF HOWEVER CONTINUES TO SHOW LARGE
SPREAD IN DETAILS..LEADING TO RATHER LOW CONFIDENCE IN MANUAL QPF.
 BETTER FORCING COMING OUT ACRS SRN NM TOWARD WRN TX SAT
NIGHT..SUGGESTS THAT AREA WILL SEE SOMEWHAT HIER THREAT OF
ORGANIZED CNVTN MOST LIKELY NEAR DRY LINE.   SWLY FLOW AHEAD OF
THE UPR TROF ALONG WITH DEEPENING MSTR FROM THE SRN PLAINS
DIRECTED INTO SRN PORTIONS OF COLD FRONT PUSHING ACRS THE UPR MS
VALLEY WILL SUPPORT AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS/TSTMS THERE THOUGH
AGAIN MODELS SHOW LARGE SPREAD IN WHERE THE BETTER ACTIVITY WILL
TEND TO FOCUS.  LEANED HEAVILY TOWARD IN HOUSE BIAS CORRECTED QPF
GIVEN LARGE MODEL SPREAD IN QPF DETAILS.

FAR NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE FAR UPPER MS VALLEY

MODELS SHOW DECENT AGREEMENT HERE WITH S/WV ENERGY THAT WILL PUSH
EWD ACRS SCNTL CANADA.  LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT IN SHOWING AN AXIS OF .25-.50"+ PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS IN
THE AREA OF STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE
LOW MAINLY ACRS THE ARROWHEAD OF MN INTO THE UP OF MI.  A GENL
MODEL BLEND WAS USED.

PACIFIC NORTHWEST

MODELS ALL SHOW SIMILAR TIMING/AMPLITUDE WITH UPSTREAM SYSTEM THAT
WILL PUSH FAIRLY QUICKLY ACROSS THE NW PAC COAST LATE SAT AND SAT
NIGHT.  A QUICK SHOT OF ONSHORE FLOW AND FRONTAL LIFT WILL LIGHT
TO MDT PCPN AMOUNTS ALONG COASTAL AREAS AND CASCADES OF WA/NRN
OREGON..WITH LESSER AMOUNTS SPREADING EWD INTO NRN ID/NW MT.
STAYED CLOSE TO CONTINUITY GIVEN DECENT RUN TO RUN MODEL AGREEMENT.


DAYS 2/3...


...MID ATLANTIC...

MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TRUNDLING EAST OF
THE NC/SC COAST WILL FUEL QPF ACROSS THE REGION ON DAY 2. WHILE
THERE WAS FAIRLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE POSITION
OF THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM...THE 00Z ECMWF HAS BEEN HANDLING THE
SYSTEM THE BEST DURING THE LAST FEW MODEL CYCLES. THE 00Z GFS WAS
NOT FAR BEHIND...SO THE QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z
ECMWF/GFS.

A 25 TO 35 KNOT EAST NORTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO
TRANSPORT PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 1.50 INCHES TO THE NC/SC
COAST...MAINLY DURING THE FIRST PART OF DAY 2. THE BEST
INSTABILITY MIRRORS THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT...THOUGH
MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT THE BOUNDARY LAYER ROOTED CONVECTION
STAYS OFFSHORE. THE BEST MID LEVEL LIFT/MOISTURE AFFECTS THE NC/SC
COAST DURING THE FIRST PART OF THE DAY...RESULTING IN A SWATH OF
0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS COASTAL NC...WITH AS MUCH AS
0.75 INCHES NEAR THE OUTER BANKS. BOTH THE 00Z GEFS AND LATEST
ECMWF ENSEMBLES SHOWED THAT CLUSTERS OF 2+ INCHES OF QPF REMAINED
JUST OFF THE NC/SC COAST...WITH ONLY A FEW INTERSECTING THE OUTER
BANKS.


...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES/OHIO
VALLEY...

SHORT WAVES EJECTED FROM A DEVELOPING LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSING
THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL PROVIDE LIFT ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
PLAINS INTO
THE MIDWEST ON DAY 2. A NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE DROPPING INTO
THE GREAT LAKES PROVIDES LIFT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO
VALLEY ON DAY 3. BOTH WAVES WILL HELP MOVE A SURFACE COLD FRONT
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON DAY 2 INTO THE OHIO VALLEY ON DAY
3...AND THE FRONT WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR QPF ON BOTH DAYS. THERE
WAS DECENT MODEL AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE TIMING AND
PLACEMENT OF THE SHORT WAVES (WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE 00Z
NAM...WHICH APPEARED TOO FAST WITH THE NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE
ON DAY 3). THE QPF WAS BASED ON A MULTI MODEL BLEND...WHICH WAS
WEIGHTED MORE HEAVILY TOWARD THE 00Z ECMWF.

ON DAY 2...A DEVELOPING LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES REACHES
THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE LONG WAVE TROUGH
PUSHES A SURFACE COLD FRONT FROM THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS
INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND MIDWEST BY 12Z MON. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...A 25 TO 30 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.25 AND 1.50 INCHES INTO THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. AN INSTABILITY AXIS STRETCHES FROM
CENTRAL TX THROUGH EASTERN NE INTO IA DURING THIS TIME...AND THE
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL SET THE STAGE FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED
CONVECTION AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.

A SHORT WAVE EJECTED FROM THE LONG WAVE TROUGH REACHES SOUTHEAST
KS DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE DAY...PRODUCING LIFT FOR THE
CONVECTION. THE COMBINATION OF THE LIFT...AND MARGINAL TO LOCALLY
MODERATE INSTABILITY...SHOULD PRODUCE A LARGE SWATH OF 0.25 TO
0.50 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE
GREAT LAKES. WITHIN THIS AREA...CLOSE TO THE LEADING EDGE OF THE
SURFACE COLD FRONT...AN AXIS OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF WAS
DRAPED FROM WEST CENTRAL OK INTO SOUTHEAST NE...NORTHWEST
IA...SOUTHWEST MN INTO WESTERN WI. THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE NUMBERS IN THE ABOVEMENTIONED AREA ARE GENERALLY BETWEEN
1.50 AND 2.00 INCHES...SO WHILE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS
EXPECTED...ORGANIZED FLASH FLOODING IS NOT.

THE NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE CROSSING THE GREAT LAKES WILL
PRODUCE LIFT ALONG A WARM FRONT EXTENDING OVER THE GREAT
LAKES...AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY ON DAY
3. SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT IS AUGMENTED BY DIVERGENCE IN THE RIGHT
REAR QUADRANT OF A 90 KNOT JET STREAK CROSSING CENTRAL QUEBEC.
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL INSTABILITY FROM THE OHIO VALLEY
SOUTHWEST...AND NO SURFACE BASED CONVECTION OVER THE GREAT LAKES.
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES JUMP UP TO AN INCH ON A 25 TO 30 KNOT
LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW...SUPPORTING A LARGE AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50
INCHES OF QPF ACROSS THE NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY INTO THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES.

FURTHER SOUTH...THE SURFACE COLD FRONT SLOWS AS THE INITIAL SHORT
WAVE MOVES BY INTO THE TN VALLEY. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...MARGINAL
INSTABILITY LYING IN A 1.25 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AXIS WILL FUEL
CONVECTION ACROSS THE MID AND LOWER MS VALLEY...STRETCHING INTO
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. THE FRONT SHOULD ACT AS A FOCUS FOR THE
CONVECTION...BUT THE BEST MID LEVEL SUPPORT REMAINS ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN THE HIGHEST QPF CLOSEST TO THE
FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN AR...MUCH OF MO AND A PORTION OF WESTERN
TN...WHERE AROUND 0.50 INCHES OF QPF IS EXPECTED. THIS AREA IS
SURROUNDED BY A MUCH LARGER AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF
ACROSS MOST OF THE LOWER AND MD MS VALLEY...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF
IA...IL AND SOUTHERN IN.


...SOUTHERN ROCKIES/SOUTHWEST...

SHORT WAVES CROSSING THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND THE SOUTHWEST STATES
ON DAYS 2 AND 3 WILL PROVIDE LIFT FOR SCATTERED CONVECTION. THERE
WAS GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC
SETUP...SO THE QPF WAS BASED LARGELY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z
ECMWF/GFS.

A LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTHWEST
STATES DURING DAY 2 AND THE EARLY PORTION OF DAY 3.  A SHORT WAVE
EJECTED FROM THE LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND
NM ON DAY 2. MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES RESPOND TO THE PASSING MID
LEVEL SYSTEMS BY STEEPENING TO BETWEEN 7.0 AND 8.0
C/KM...RESULTING IN A LARGE AREA OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY ACROSS
THE REGION. MOISTURE IS THE LIMITING FACTOR FOR CONVECTION...AS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES INITIALLY REMAIN BELOW 0.30 INCHES
ACROSS THE AREA...SO THE QPF WAS PLACED NEAR THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
LOCAL 0.10 TO 0.25 INCH QPF AMOUNTS WERE PLACED ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL NM...AS WELL AS THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN CENTRAL CO AND
NORTHERNMOST NM.

A WEAKER SHORT WAVE CROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTHWEST
STATES ON DAY 3. WHILE THE LIFT FROM THE SHORT WAVE IS NOT AS
IMPRESSIVE...MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN MORE...REACHING 8.5
C/KM DURING THE AFTERNOON. AGAIN...THE STEEPENING LAPSE RATES
RESULT IN MARGINAL INSTABILITY. THE DIFFERENCE ON DAY 3 IS
AVAILABLE MOISTURE...AS A DEVELOPING SOUTHERLY FLOW TRANSPORTS
0.50 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES INTO THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND
NM. LOCAL UPSLOPE OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES SHOULD FOCUS THE
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL CO AND NORTHERN
NM...WHERE 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN.


...WEST COAST...

A SHORT WAVE EJECTED FROM A LONG WAVE TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST
CROSSES THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES DURING THE
FIRST PART OF DAY 2. THE LONG WAVE ITSELF APPROACHES THE WEST
COAST ON DAY 3. BOTH OF THESE SYSTEM SHOULD PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT
FOR QPF...ESPECIALLY ON DAY 3. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH RESPECT TO THE SYSTEMS MENTIONED ABOVE...ESPECIALLY THE LONG
WAVE TROUGH. WITH THIS IN MIND...THE QPF WAS BASED MAINLY ON A
BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

THE SHORT WAVE CROSSES THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST LATE ON DAY
1...AND TRACKS OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES
DURING THE FIRST HALF OF DAY 2. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...THE LOW
LEVEL WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 0.75 INCH PRECIPTABLE WATER
TO THE COAST...WHICH IS FOCUSED ON THE TERRAIN. MUCH OF THE LIFT
PASSES THROUGH BRITISH COLUMBIA...WITH 0.10 TO 0.25 INCH QPF
AMOUNTS BEING LIMITED TO THE NORTHERN OLYMPICS ON DAY 2.

THE LONG WAVE TROUGH...EXTENDING FROM BRITISH COLUMBIA THROUGH THE
CENTRAL CA COAST...COMES ASHORE LATE ON DAY 3. AHEAD OF THE LONG
WAVE TROUGH (AND THE SURFACE FRONT JUST AHEAD OF IT)...THE LOW
LEVEL SOUTH SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 0.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER
AIR TO THE COAST...WHICH IS THEN FOCUSED ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN. IN
ADDITION...STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AHEAD OF THE LONG WAVE
TROUGH MAY RESULT IN MARGINAL INSTABILITY ACROSS SOUTHERN OR INTO
NORTHERNMOST CA. THE CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS IN THE PRECIPITATION
FIELD SHOULD RESULT IN A SWATH OF 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL OR INTO NORTHERNMOST CA. THIS HIGHER QPF RIBBON IS
SURROUNDED BY A LARGER AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS
MUCH OF WESTERN OR AND NORTHWEST CA.


SULLIVAN/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 568013 568998 567986 563966 560957 558946 556940 554930
      554922 555918 555906 553900 553892 551879 547868 544855
      535837 533832 531829 526823 515812 512809 509809 507807
      504807 492804 483805 474807 466813 460820 448833 443841
      442845 442851 437870 436882 437888 436892 434902 434907
      432909 430917 426923 418938 416942 412945 405951 399957
      392962 379972 351985 340991 329998 321002 316001 310000
      294996 267008 269014 273021 275025 275030 276040 278046
      282050 290061 295069 297079 297084 299086 304088 306091
      310113 313122 319125 322124 323120 326116 330116 335118
      337121 342127 343134 348139 353142 358137 360128 363123
      363117 361098 358093 355090 353088 355085 359082 366077
      369080 371084 371090 369095 368106 371113 371124 373131
      375134 384124 387120 391117 399118 403118 405116 407117
      412113 412107 410101 409097 406095 402106 400108 398108
      396107 395103 396098 396092 395087 395081 397078 404072
      413063 416057 417048 401046 388036 378034 377031 378027
      379022 380016 383013 387010 390008 398006 406003 409001
      411997 414990 417985 422980 426975 431969 435962 442957
      445954 447959 450959 454957 469949 473948 478947 487948
      493952 498959 500970 501975 501982 501993 503001 506007
      512012 524023 530029 535030 538033 546038 549039 553038
      556037 559035 564027 568013
 0.01 525256 518243 516238 514232 507216 505209 506203 507198
      510197 513198 520200 526201 530200 532199 534195 533186
      527173 520161 517156 514152 511150 508146 503146 499146
      496144 493137 489132 484129 480126 476125 473126 469130
      466133 464137 460142 455145 450148 446152 445167 449169
      451174 450185 453188 458185 461180 461173 458172 459169
      460168 464167 468169 473169 477172 484182 488184 489188
      490192 488197 485200 480203 469206 463207 460208 457211
      437217 433224 432229 430233 425235 420235 418237 414241
      413247 414250 417255 421259 437261 452265 458266 465268
      470270 475273 495296 499303 502307 505309
 0.01 491669 489666 487665 484666 483664 479664 473668 467674
      461678 458684 458690 458695 455699 451701 446705 440710
      439714 439717 440726 445729 448729 451727 462716 474707
      483696 486689 488681 491669
 0.01 408150 408146 405144 399140 390138 384140 381143 380146
      380156 382158 385161 388162 390164 390167 390169 393168
      398164 402158 406151 408150
 0.01 373186 374184 373183 372183 370182 368182 366182 365182
      363182 361183 359183 358185 359186 360186 362187 364187
      366187 367188 369188 371188 373186 373186
 0.01 374719 373710 371702 368689 366686 363684 358682 351683
      345686 340690 337694 331702 323714 316723 307731 303734
      297736 280739 273740 269742 267743 263744 262747 259751
      257756 258762 261768 261771 258774 255779 253783 247794
      245805 247810 249811 253810 256808 260808 264811 267810
      269809 274806 279804 285803 290807 293815 294821 291826
      287831 286835 287840 286846 285849 285853 285856 287858
      304858 309858 317858 322857 328855 335854 339851 345847
      350842 357833 362825 366809 370795 373783 375771 375761
      373750 372741 373733 374719
 0.25 522263 517255 513245 509235 506231 504226 502220 500217
      496211 493209 485208 480209 476211 473214 470215 464216
      459217 453221 455225 459229 458232 455235 451237 449241
      457245 466252 472257 482262 489269 497277 500281 504283
      509283 513282 516285
 0.25 544949 543939 540928 539923 538917 537910 536905 531899
      524900 519897 515895 511898 509902 508906 509912 510916
      514923 514931 512936 513949 515962 516973 517979 518984
      521987 525988 534988 538987 541984 543974 544949
 0.25 518185 519177 517173 512172 509172 505171 502170 498172
      501175 505178 508181 511184 515187 518185
 0.25 492237 491232 489226 486223 483221 478219 474219 472220
      471223 472226 475227 479228 481233 482238 486237 490239
      492237
 0.25 501914 500904 497895 494887 493875 493867 491856 487850
      481846 477846 474847 468851 464857 462866 462877 464888
      466897 467901 468907 468919 469923 471925 478924 486925
      491923 498919 501914
 0.25 471833 470831 467830 462834 458837 455842 453848 450855
      451858 455857 458857 463854 465849 468843 470836 471833
 0.25 423954 424950 422949 419952 412960 406968 400976 394984
      389995 392997 396994 403988 410980 412976 414968 420961
      423954
 0.25 366710 366704 364697 363695 360692 356691 351692 346694
      343698 335710 324725 313735 306740 297745 289749 280750
      272754 269758 270763 275767 278768 279772 279778 277782
      278787 281790 294796 300802 303806 304810 308820 311822
      315821 321819 327819 332820 335821 341827 345833 353827
      358821 361812 362803 365780 363759 362745 363735 366710
 0.25 346033 344027 342025 338024 330023 325020 321019 318020
      313024 301027 297032 295036 293038 293042 294044 298048
      308057 314060 318059 321057 325054 330054 334055 340052
      342043 346033
 0.25 338089 337084 337082 336080 334077 331076 327077 325078
      323080 322082 321087 322090 324092 328092 329092 333091
      336091 338089
 0.50 516270 517264 515259 511249 507238 502230 498221 495218
      493220 495232 496238 500243 503252 502255 499254 496251
      490242 486240 482241 478232 473232 469235 465235 465239
      468245 472249 480254 487260 493268 500276 503279 507278
      509273 513271 516270
 0.50 482862 481859 479857 477855 474855 473855 471858 469860
      469865 469868 469870 471873 474873 476872 479870 481868
      482864 482862
 0.50 362709 360700 355697 351697 347699 342704 335717 331723
      327729 305748 300753 296757 294761 296765 296773 295782
      297788 299792 302795 307800 312804 316804 319802 323795
      326792 330791 335794 339799 342810 345818 346821 349823
      352822 354819 357813 359803 359794 360785 359774 358763
      358752 359745 360727 362718 362709
 0.50 318035 315032 311032 312035 310037 308039 304042 304046
      307048 313048 312045 313041 316037 318035
 1.00 356717 356710 354706 348706 345710 341716 338725 334732
      327739 321743 316751 312771 316778 317781 319782 325781
      333781 343783 349787 351778 351767 351755 353745 354734
      355724 356717
 1.00 355806 356804 356801 356799 354797 352796 350798 349800
      349801 348802 348805 349807 349809 349810 351810 353810
      355808 355806
 1.50 347750 346746 344744 338747 332750 328753 325758 325765
      326772 330775 337774 340774 344772 346767 346759 346752
      347750
 2.00 342766 342764 342761 341759 341757 340757 339758 337759
      335760 334762 333763 332765 334767 336768 338768 340768
      342766 342766

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 538205 539199 538196 536189 530176 516153 512149 506146
      504144 501146 498146 495143 494137 490136 488134 484130
      481127 478126 471125 472131 476137 480140 484141 487144
      490148 494153 500155 505160 508165 506168 503165 500162
      495158 489157 487159 487162 488164 491166 495171 498177
      503182 506182 508185 509188 511191 517194 519200 523206
      527210 532211 536208 538205
 0.01 524258 522252 522247 520244 513232 508229 504224 497213
      492209 486207 474206 470211 465214 460218 458223 460225
      462224 465224 467222 473222 481224 486228 489229 487232
      483235 481237 478236 476234 474236 472236 473240 472246
      468252 461262 453273 451279 452282 455283 469289 480288
      485287 490284 509296 510296
 0.01 533066 531057 533044 533038 535033 536017 536001 536987
      536971 535967 535960 532949 528941 525936 523931 520926
      517923 504918 495918 490919 487921 476932 472941 472947
      473951 476960 470967 462979 459983 458990 457997 454999
      448005 444006 442004 447996 449991 449985 436981 441961
      446953 450946 455941 456937 457932 459921 459906 464885
      466872 466866 464861 463856 464851 467843 469838 471833
      471828 473823 478817 484811 495799 497790 497780 492774
      487775 484778 479779 476782 473785 471780 468776 463775
      458780 455792 454796 451799 445805 445814 444826 440834
      437843 436854 435867 434879 428895 424904 418911 411916
      406921 399926 392930 385933 376936 357938 353939 348938
      343941 335945 330952 328956 329958 332965 331969 327972
      320977 313981 305982 294983 290985 285985 268988 266990
      266996 269003 273009 280014 289016 291019 294021 297023
      301023 305023 309021 315016 319018 323021 325023 331024
      338022 343023 348024 350029 351036 353045 356054 359056
      364057 367056 372057 380059 383059 383062 381066 376066
      374068 373074 374078 375083 378087 380090 385091 400086
      403083 407082 409079 412076 415074 416067 418062 416057
      411051 406050 403047 400044 396042 392042 388040 385037
      384032 383027 384025 386027 389030 393029 399025 414021
      423019 427017 428022 430025 432027 435029 439029 444028
      449027 454028 458030 466028 470027 474029 480035 485043
      484049 481051 480054 481061 477071 477076 478081 480085
      483083 487076 489073 492071 496071 497077 499087 502096
      506096 510095 514092 516088 518076 519071 522071 523073
      526079 530077 533066
 0.01 435985 435983 433984 431985 433986 434986 435985
 0.01 375701 373692 372688 371683 370679 367676 362674 358676
      355678 351682 341692 337698 334704 330711 329718 327734
      325741 321747 313757 313766 309773 307779 306787 304794
      305797 308798 319805 326803 332800 339796 341794 343791
      347786 352780 356775 360770 366756 373726 375714 375710
      374705 375701
 0.01 346074 345068 343062 341060 337059 334060 334064 332071
      334076 335084 337091 342092 343085 343081 346074
 0.25 514274 516269 516263 516254 514247 510241 506234 501230
      498229 497230 494240 488241 483243 475254 471260 471265
      471269 476274 482275 488274 491275 495277 500282 502284
      505285 510282 514276 514274
 0.25 523007 522001 521993 518981 513970 510966 505963 499972
      497976 496980 497984 502995 503002 505008 506015 508022
      509026 512030 516029 519025 522010 523007
 0.25 459839 460829 458824 456823 451827 448833 444846 440863
      437878 434892 429909 423919 415927 412933 409938 405941
      401938 395940 389943 387945 388947 393952 386959 382964
      377965 373965 370960 361952 356949 350949 346952 344956
      344960 344976 333982 325989 322995 322999 324003 331012
      336014 342011 352005 356002 362001 376998 388995 401993
      413987 420978 424974 428968 433957 439946 443940 449935
      451930 453922 454915 454904 454893 454883 456867 458852
      459839
 0.25 377051 376049 374049 372049 370049 369050 370051 372051
      374052 376051 377051
 0.25 365733 362720 362714 362706 359701 356698 351697 347700
      341706 337716 334727 332739 329749 323758 320767 318780
      317786 317791 322793 326792 334787 341780 347772 353764
      361745 364738 365733
 0.50 512263 513259 512254 511249 509243 506238 500236 498238
      497242 494245 489244 485246 482250 479255 477259 477263
      480268 486269 490270 494272 501280 505280 507274 507268
      509264 510264 512263
 0.50 515001 515000 515999 514996 513993 512991 512989 511988
      510986 509985 508985 507988 508991 508993 509996 510997
      510998 511001 512001 513003 515002 515001
 0.50 452862 452854 451847 449847 448850 447856 441880 437890
      434901 430913 426923 421931 416940 410949 403956 390968
      388973 385977 381979 377978 371978 367980 363981 360985
      355988 350988 343988 339986 334987 331990 329995 330000
      333004 336006 341005 345002 361993 367993 372992 380987
      384984 390984 394983 398984 401985 405985 408984 412980
      416976 422969 426961 437940 443935 447931 449927 450914
      451896 450876 452862
 0.50 360736 355719 354714 353709 349708 347711 345718 341724
      336739 334747 331753 327759 325766 323775 322779 323783
      326784 330783 336780 342775 346770 350763 353757 356750
      359742 360736
 0.50 363974 362974 362972 361969 361968 360967 359967 357966
      355967 354968 352969 350971 351974 352974 353976 354976
      355977 357977 359976 361976 362975 363974
 1.00 509254 508247 507244 504244 501248 496252 490251 487257
      490262 494267 497272 502275 503273 503268 502262 505258
      509254
 1.00 443909 443906 443904 443901 443899 441899 439902 439904
      439906 439909 439911 438914 438916 440918 441916 441915
      442913 443911 443909 443909
 1.00 438921 440918 438916 437918 437921 438921 438921
 1.00 435926 435923 435921 434923 434926 435926 435926
 1.00 418956 416956 414957 412959 409961 407963 405965 404968
      407968 409966 410964 412962 414961 417959 418956
 1.00 351749 351744 349741 347739 344740 339744 337749 335755
      332761 331766 328772 331774 335773 340770 343766 347761
      349755 351749
 1.50 500266 500264 500261 499260 498259 497257 496257 495255
      493255 492255 491255 491258 492260 493261 494262 495264
      496265 497266 498267 500267 500266


24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 522262 522257 523252 525245 529223 531210 529202 524197
      519196 516198 512202 507205 503205 499202 500196 502193
      504189 504184 505174 503168 501163 499157 496148 492150
      481156 469161 455164 450168 447174 442179 437184 429196
      421196 413195 402199 395198 390194 382190 375190 374193
      375197 376201 380202 389211 401220 403223 403225 397227
      380221 373220 368222 365223 363226 360236 360242 361245
      362249 361251 361261 363264 367265 369269 368271 366278
      368281 372283 379282 385280 391277 396273 400270 403271
      401280 403285 416294 424297 428298 431298 437297 445295
      454290 466285 472283 478283 494284 513292
 0.01 534843 533832 531824 526812 524809 520810 514812 508817
      505823 499840 495847 494851 492855 487860 483861 479860
      476858 475855 474849 475845 478837 480829 482823 482815
      481794 481789 481785 483777 488760 489750 490746 489739
      489733 487727 484719 476707 472700 470698 467699 459707
      454705 450704 449707 447713 448723 449729 450736 452746
      452750 450755 444760 428783 424789 421794 418799 414804
      412804 410802 409796 408784 408780 405779 400779 386802
      377816 367827 349844 342858 339863 336868 329882 326888
      325895 324898 325902 326907 328909 328914 326917 323926
      321932 318939 312949 306960 299972 289983 286989 285993
      286997 294010 302011 306011 307007 312994 314989 319986
      327975 333971 336969 340970 345974 350975 352977 358979
      366982 373984 383984 392984 398980 406970 412961 429939
      437927 442921 444912 447906 451900 461898 465905 468915
      470917 469922 469929 470936 474942 481942 484940 487942
      492945 495952 495965 495972 497977 498981 497986 497992
      498995 503001 508004 512004 515002 522991 526978 533964
      533958 534955 535942 533933 533920 533907 531898 528890
      523882 522875 523869 527862 534843
 0.01 457118 456101 455097 452095 447092 440090 434087 427085
      424087 423093 426098 427102 424102 418104 414110 410112
      412118 416124 418133 415139 411143 407144 405142 402139
      399138 395142 388142 389146 391149 396150 399150 401149
      404152 400158 398161 400162 420152 422147 424146 426138
      430118 433113 439112 443111 447112 449121 455123 457118
 0.01 397055 398048 396043 392038 387038 381039 375038 370035
      364034 345022 341021 336023 332025 331034 333038 337041
      342043 349045 351049 352054 350056 343056 341054 338053
      329049 325048 323050 320050 320052 322055 327058 337063
      360069 370073 376071 380069 389064 392058 395058 397055
      397055
 0.01 356739 356732 351727 345723 339721 332723 327727 323731
      316735 311738 304740 297743 287744 280746 277747 274749
      270750 268752 265753 263755 260762 259768 259776 261785
      264790 267797 276806 286812 292814 294812 299811 302810
      304809 308805 313800 315794 318788 322783 331772 339763
      343757 347752 352746 356739
 0.01 347079 343076 342072 340071 335072 329072 327074 327079
      329083 333088 335093 338098 341098 342096 343087 345081
      347079
 0.01 296023 295017 291014 280017 275018 270018 267017 259010
      255008 247007 247013 250017 257025 264026 269029 273032
      279035 282032 285030 288029 292027 296023
 0.01 252982 250980 248978 246977 242976 239976 235976 233977
      231979 232981 234983 237985 240985 244985 248985 251984
      252982
 0.25 519272 516270 513266 510260 508256 506258 502262 497263
      486258 480255 473254 462255 458257 461263 464267 470269
      475270 480272 486275 492275 498277 504281 510281 516282
 0.25 517249 516246 513243 509240 503236 499232 497226 494223
      493227 493231 496238 498242 503247 506253 508254 509251
      514249 517249
 0.25 504919 504911 503906 501901 498896 497893 492894 491899
      492904 493911 495914 499916 502919 504919
 0.25 477765 477755 475746 472744 470743 466749 463753 457758
      455764 456772 455779 452787 450794 446802 445807 442814
      438820 437830 432843 424855 421860 421868 422871 424873
      432875 450857 456869 460866 462864 465858 468851 469843
      471836 472832 472825 474807 476799 476787 477777 477765
 0.25 459222 460218 460215 457210 456201 455199 451198 447199
      443201 434208 430210 424211 412213 408213 403215 405220
      407223 407226 404231 399233 394235 390239 386242 383248
      380266 384269 389267 393262 396256 400252 405250 410251
      412254 416255 421255 426253 436247 451230 459222
 0.25 452835 452833 452832 450831 449829 448828 448829 447831
      446831 446834 446836 447838 447839 449840 450838 451838
      452837 452835
 0.25 434897 433891 430889 419887 407886 398892 393894 391893
      391889 394877 394873 392871 389866 389851 387839 386835
      385833 382836 377846 369855 365858 363853 359849 357853
      357858 357862 359867 359874 355879 349886 347892 346898
      346906 345913 345917 348919 348925 344933 337941 330948
      323958 319965 318969 322969 325967 334962 348961 356958
      365961 376963 382963 384963 385968 390970 395968 399965
      403962 401959 399958 393957 396951 400946 404944 409944
      416943 418939 417922 420916 424912 431904 434900 434897
 0.25 373053 372051 370051 369051 367051 365051 364052 363053
      361053 361054 359056 361057 363056 365056 366055 368055
      369055 370054 372053 373053
 0.25 299783 299781 297780 296779 295779 294779 292779 290780
      288780 288781 286782 285783 285785 287787 289788 291788
      293788 294787 296786 298784 299783
 0.50 473775 473769 470768 467774 463780 461785 460793 459800
      460805 461807 462810 463807 465799 466793 467786 470781
      473775
 0.50 462829 460827 460826 460827 460828 461829 462830 462829
 0.50 440222 438220 432221 427221 422222 417219 410218 409223
      410226 413229 419230 424231 431233 435230 438224 440222
 0.50 401915 402910 397910 389912 383916 380918 376918 372902
      367897 363896 360893 356894 353897 353901 354905 356908
      359911 360916 359922 358926 359932 356943 357947 359950
      366947 370946 375946 379945 382943 387936 392929 401915
      401915
 0.50 374887 374884 374882 374880 374878 374877 372877 371878
      370880 369882 370885 370886 371887 372888 374887 374887
 0.50 350943 348942 345943 343944 341945 337947 337949 337954
      339954 341953 343952 345949 347947 349945 350943

$$




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