River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FGUS51 KTAR 311513
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1107 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2014
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.28 ft at Jul-31 10:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/     3.0/     2.7
.E2 :0801:/     2.7/     2.6/     2.5/     2.4
.E3 :0802:/     2.4/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3
.E4 :0803:/     2.3/     2.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.59 ft at Jul-31 10:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/     3.2/     3.0
.E2 :0801:/     2.9/     3.0/     3.0/     2.8
.E3 :0802:/     2.7/     2.5/     2.4/     2.3
.E4 :0803:/     2.2/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.89 ft at Jul-31 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/     1.9/     1.8
.E2 :0801:/     1.8/     1.7/     1.7/     1.7
.E3 :0802:/     1.6/     1.6/     1.6/     1.6
.E4 :0803:/     1.6/     1.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.63 ft at Jul-31 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/     2.0/     1.3
.E2 :0801:/     1.0/     0.9/     0.8/     0.8
.E3 :0802:/     0.7/     0.7/     0.7/     0.7
.E4 :0803:/     0.7/     0.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.81 ft at Jul-31 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/     5.2/     4.3
.E2 :0801:/     4.0/     3.8/     3.7/     3.6
.E3 :0802:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.4
.E4 :0803:/     3.4/     3.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.27 ft at Jul-31 11:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/     6.5/     4.1
.E2 :0801:/     3.0/     2.9/     2.8/     2.6
.E3 :0802:/     2.6/     2.5/     2.5/     2.4
.E4 :0803:/     2.4/     2.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.56 ft at Jul-31 10:00 am
:
.ER WILN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/     2.8/     3.0
.E2 :0801:/     3.2/     3.3/     3.2/     3.1
.E3 :0802:/     2.9/     2.8/     2.6/     2.5
.E4 :0803:/     2.4/     2.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.54 ft at Jul-31 10:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/     4.5/     4.5
.E2 :0801:/     4.5/     4.5/     4.5/     4.5
.E3 :0802:/     4.5/     4.7/     4.6/     4.5
.E4 :0803:/     4.5/     4.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.12/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 8.88 ft at Jul-31 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/     8.9/     8.9
.E2 :0801:/     8.8/     8.8/     8.7/     8.7
.E3 :0802:/     8.7/     8.7/     8.7/     8.7
.E4 :0803:/     8.7/     8.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 588.86 ft at Jul-31 10:00 am
:Crest 596.87 at Aug-05 8am
:
.ER MMDN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/   589.0/   589.0
.E2 :0801:/   589.0/   589.0/   589.0/   589.0
.E3 :0802:/   589.0/   589.0/   589.0/   589.0
.E4 :0803:/   589.0/   589.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 18.66 ft at Jul-31 10:00 am
:
.ER AVON6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/    18.7/    19.0
.E2 :0801:/    18.8/    18.1/    17.5/    17.1
.E3 :0802:/    16.8/    16.6/    16.4/    16.3
.E4 :0803:/    16.3/    16.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.45 ft at Jul-31 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/     3.6/     3.4
.E2 :0801:/     3.2/     3.1/     3.1/     3.1
.E3 :0802:/     3.1/     3.1/     3.1/     3.0
.E4 :0803:/     3.0/     2.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.34 ft at Jul-31 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/     3.3/     3.1
.E2 :0801:/     2.9/     2.8/     2.7/     2.6
.E3 :0802:/     2.5/     2.5/     2.4/     2.4
.E4 :0803:/     2.4/     2.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 9.59 ft at Jul-31 08:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/     6.7/     6.6
.E2 :0801:/     6.5/     6.4/     6.1/     5.9
.E3 :0802:/     5.6/     5.4/     5.3/     5.1
.E4 :0803:/     5.0/     4.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.69 ft at Jul-31 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/     2.6/     2.4
.E2 :0801:/     2.3/     2.3/     2.2/     2.2
.E3 :0802:/     2.1/     2.0/     2.0/     1.9
.E4 :0803:/     1.9/     1.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 689.2 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/   687.7/   687.7
.E2 :0801:/   687.7/   687.7/   687.6/   687.6
.E3 :0802:/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6/   687.5
.E4 :0803:/   687.5/   687.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Crest 4.98 at Jul-31 2pm
:
.ER CPNN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/     5.0/     5.0
.E2 :0801:/     5.0/     5.0/     5.0/     5.0
.E3 :0802:/     5.0/     5.0/     5.0/     5.0
.E4 :0803:/     5.0/     5.0
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.93 ft at Jul-31 10:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/     4.9/     5.0
.E2 :0801:/     5.1/     5.2/     5.2/     5.2
.E3 :0802:/     5.1/     5.0/     4.9/     4.9
.E4 :0803:/     4.8/     4.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.43/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.43 ft at Jul-31 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/     3.3/     3.3
.E2 :0801:/     3.2/     3.1/     3.0/     2.9
.E3 :0802:/     2.8/     2.4/     2.3/     2.3
.E4 :0803:/     2.2/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.37/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.14 ft at Jul-31 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20140731 E DC201407311107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0731:       ::       ::/     5.1/     4.9
.E2 :0801:/     4.8/     4.7/     4.7/     4.6
.E3 :0802:/     4.5/     4.4/     4.4/     4.3
.E4 :0803:/     4.2/     4.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.30/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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