River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FGUS51 KTAR 261503
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1100 AM EDT Thu Mar 26 2015
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.35 ft at Mar-26 10:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.8
.E2 :0327:/     4.2/     4.5/     4.5/     4.4
.E3 :0328:/     4.1/     3.8/     3.6/     3.4
.E4 :0329:/     3.3/     3.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.21/ 0.18/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.96 ft at Mar-26 10:00 am
:Crest 7.90 at Mar-28 2pm
:
.ER RAPN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/     4.3/     4.8
.E2 :0327:/     5.3/     5.9/     6.5/     7.0
.E3 :0328:/     7.4/     7.7/     7.9/     7.9
.E4 :0329:/     7.6/     7.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.16/ 0.13/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.27 ft at Mar-26 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/     3.8/     4.3
.E2 :0327:/     4.3/     4.0/     3.8/     3.6
.E3 :0328:/     3.4/     3.2/     3.0/     2.9
.E4 :0329:/     2.8/     2.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.33/ 0.17/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.67 ft at Mar-26 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/     3.2/     3.5
.E2 :0327:/     3.4/     3.1/     2.8/     2.6
.E3 :0328:/     2.5/     2.3/     2.1/     2.0
.E4 :0329:/     1.9/     1.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.23/ 0.15/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.34 ft at Mar-26 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/     5.9/     5.9
.E2 :0327:/     5.5/     5.2/     5.1/     4.9
.E3 :0328:/     4.8/     4.7/     4.6/     4.6
.E4 :0329:/     4.5/     4.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.20/ 0.15/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.39 ft at Mar-26 10:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/     4.8/     5.2
.E2 :0327:/     5.5/     5.3/     5.0/     4.7
.E3 :0328:/     4.3/     4.1/     3.9/     3.7
.E4 :0329:/     3.5/     3.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.24/ 0.15/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.24 ft at Mar-26 10:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/     3.4/     3.7
.E2 :0327:/     3.9/     4.1/     4.3/     4.3
.E3 :0328:/     4.2/     4.0/     3.8/     3.6
.E4 :0329:/     3.4/     3.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.17/ 0.13/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.24 ft at Mar-26 09:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/     5.7/     6.7
.E2 :0327:/     7.2/     7.1/     6.9/     6.6
.E3 :0328:/     6.4/     6.3/     6.1/     6.0
.E4 :0329:/     5.9/     5.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.36/ 0.40/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 10.39 ft at Mar-26 10:00 am
:Crest 12.48 at Mar-27 2pm
:
.ER PRTN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/    10.6/    11.0
.E2 :0327:/    11.6/    12.4/    12.5/    12.3
.E3 :0328:/    12.0/    11.8/    11.5/    11.4
.E4 :0329:/    11.2/    11.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.35/ 0.28/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 600.68 ft at Mar-26 10:00 am
:Crest 624.42 at Mar-29 2am
:
.ER MMDN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/   600.4/   602.4
.E2 :0327:/   605.8/   609.9/   614.8/   618.9
.E3 :0328:/   621.5/   623.1/   624.0/   624.4
.E4 :0329:/   624.4/   624.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.30/ 0.23/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 22.24 ft at Mar-26 10:00 am
:Crest 25.85 at Mar-29 8pm
:
.ER AVON6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/    21.4/    21.4
.E2 :0327:/    21.9/    22.6/    23.5/    24.1
.E3 :0328:/    24.1/    24.2/    24.5/    25.0
.E4 :0329:/    25.4/    25.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.24/ 0.24/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.60 ft at Mar-26 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/     3.8/     4.1
.E2 :0327:/     4.3/     4.6/     4.7/     4.7
.E3 :0328:/     4.6/     4.5/     4.3/     4.2
.E4 :0329:/     4.1/     3.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.21/ 0.19/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.79 ft at Mar-26 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/     2.9/     3.0
.E2 :0327:/     3.1/     3.3/     3.4/     3.5
.E3 :0328:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.4/     3.2
.E4 :0329:/     3.1/     3.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.16/ 0.17/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 8.36 ft at Mar-26 08:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/     7.4/     7.3
.E2 :0327:/     7.4/     7.7/     8.1/     8.5
.E3 :0328:/     8.7/     8.7/     8.6/     8.6
.E4 :0329:/     8.6/     8.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.19/ 0.22/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.77 ft at Mar-26 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/     1.8/     1.9
.E2 :0327:/     2.2/     2.5/     2.5/     2.4
.E3 :0328:/     2.2/     2.1/     2.0/     1.9
.E4 :0329:/     1.9/     1.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.27/ 0.30/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 689.2 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/   687.5/   687.6
.E2 :0327:/   687.6/   687.6/   687.7/   687.7
.E3 :0328:/   687.7/   687.7/   687.7/   687.7
.E4 :0329:/   687.7/   687.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.27/ 0.34/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.70 ft at Mar-26 10:30 am
:
.ER CPNN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/     4.8/     4.8
.E2 :0327:/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8
.E3 :0328:/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8
.E4 :0329:/     4.8/     4.8
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.98 ft at Mar-26 10:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/     4.7/     4.9
.E2 :0327:/     5.5/     6.1/     6.3/     6.4
.E3 :0328:/     6.3/     6.1/     5.8/     5.6
.E4 :0329:/     5.5/     5.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.15/ 0.53/ 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.36 ft at Mar-26 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/     2.4/     2.7
.E2 :0327:/     3.3/     4.0/     4.4/     4.5
.E3 :0328:/     4.6/     4.5/     4.4/     4.3
.E4 :0329:/     4.2/     4.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.10/ 0.48/ 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.36 ft at Mar-26 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20150326 E DC201503261100/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0326:       ::       ::/     3.4/     3.5
.E2 :0327:/     3.6/     3.7/     3.8/     4.0
.E3 :0328:/     4.2/     4.4/     4.6/     4.7
.E4 :0329:/     4.8/     4.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.10/ 0.36/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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