River Forecast
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FGUS51 KRHA 291419
RVFPA2
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER, STATE COLLEGE, PA
 918 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015
:
:    River Forecast for Lower Delaware Basin
:
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Lehighton - Lehigh River
:CS=9.0, FS=10.0, Moderate FS=12.0, Major FS=14.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 2.6 FT AT 0830 EST ON 0129
.E LHTP1 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      2.6/      2.7/      2.7
.E2 :0130:/      2.7/      2.7/      2.7/      2.7
.E3 :0131:/      2.7/      2.7/      2.8/      2.8
.E4 :0201:/      2.8
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Walnutport - Lehigh River
:CS=7.5, FS=8.0, Moderate FS=12.0, Major FS=16.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 2.6 FT AT 0830 EST ON 0129
.E WNTP1 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      2.5/      2.4/      2.5
.E2 :0130:/      2.5/      2.5/      2.5/      2.5
.E3 :0131:/      2.5/      2.5/      2.5/      2.5
.E4 :0201:/      2.5
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Allentown - Jordan Creek
:CS=6.0, FS=8.0, Moderate FS=10.0, Major FS=11.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.7 FT AT 0845 EST ON 0129
.E ALNP1 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      1.6/      1.7/      1.7
.E2 :0130:/      1.7/      1.7/      1.7/      1.7
.E3 :0131:/      1.7/      1.7/      1.7/      1.7
.E4 :0201:/      1.7
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Bethlehem - Lehigh River
:CS=12.0, FS=16.0, Moderate FS=20.0, Major FS=22.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.5 FT AT 0830 EST ON 0129
.E BETP1 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      1.5/      1.5/      1.5
.E2 :0130:/      1.5/      1.6/      1.5/      1.5
.E3 :0131:/      1.4/      1.5/      1.5/      1.5
.E4 :0201:/      1.5
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Berne - Schuylkill River
:CS=10.0, FS=12.0, Moderate FS=14.0, Major FS=16.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 5.3 FT AT 0800 EST ON 0129
.E BREP1 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      5.2/      5.1/      5.0
.E2 :0130:/      5.1/      5.1/      5.0/      5.1
.E3 :0131:/      5.1/      5.1/      5.1/      5.1
.E4 :0201:/      5.0
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Reading - Schuylkill River
:CS=14.5, FS=15.5, Moderate FS=18.0, Major FS=22.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 47.5 FT AT 0901 EST ON 0129
.E RDRP1 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      2.9/      2.9/      2.9
.E2 :0130:/      2.9/      2.9/      2.9/      2.9
.E3 :0131:/      2.9/      2.9/      2.8/      2.8
.E4 :0201:/      2.8
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Pottstown - Schuylkill River
:CS=11.0, FS=12.5, Moderate FS=18.0, Major FS=22.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.8 FT AT 0815 EST ON 0129
.E PTNP1 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      1.8/      1.8/      1.9
.E2 :0130:/      1.9/      1.9/      1.9/      1.9
.E3 :0131:/      1.9/      1.9/      1.9/      1.9
.E4 :0201:/      1.9
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Graterford - Perkiomen Creek
:CS=9.0, FS=11.0, Moderate FS=13.0, Major FS=16.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.5 FT AT 0815 EST ON 0129
.E GRAP1 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      1.5/      1.5/      1.5
.E2 :0130:/      1.5/      1.5/      1.5/      1.5
.E3 :0131:/      1.5/      1.5/      1.5/      1.5
.E4 :0201:/      1.5
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Norristown - Schuylkill River
: Crest normally occurs 2 hours before Philadelphia
:CS=12.0, FS=13.0, Moderate FS=17.0, Major FS=19.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 8.1 FT AT 0830 EST ON 0129
.E NRSP1 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      8.1/      8.1/      8.1
.E2 :0130:/      8.1/      8.1/      8.1/      8.1
.E3 :0131:/      8.1/      8.1/      8.1/      8.1
.E4 :0201:/      8.1
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Philadelphia - Schuylkill River
:CS=10.0, FS=11.0, Moderate FS=13.0, Major FS=15.5
:
:LATEST STAGE 6.1 FT AT 0800 EST ON 0129
.E PADP1 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      6.1/      6.1/      6.1
.E2 :0130:/      6.1/      6.1/      6.1/      6.1
.E3 :0131:/      6.1/      6.1/      6.1/      6.1
.E4 :0201:/      6.1
.E PADP1 0129 E DC1501290917/DH19/QRIFF/DID1
:Fcst at 7AM on 0130      0131      0201
.E1       /      1.4/      1.4/      1.3
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Chadds Ford - Brandywine Creek
:CS=8.0, FS=9.0, Moderate FS=11.0, Major FS=13.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 2.3 FT AT 0830 EST ON 0129
.E CDFP1 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      2.2/      2.2/      2.3
.E2 :0130:/      2.3/      2.3/      2.3/      2.3
.E3 :0131:/      2.3/      2.3/      2.3/      2.2
.E4 :0201:/      2.2
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Wilmington DE - Brandywine Creek
: Crest normally occurs 3 hours after Chadds Ford
:CS=14.5, FS=16.5, Moderate FS=18.0, Major FS=19.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 12.0 FT AT 0815 EST ON 0129
.E WMND1 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/     12.0/     12.0/     12.0
.E2 :0130:/     12.0/     12.0/     12.0/     12.0
.E3 :0131:/     12.0/     12.0/     12.0/     12.0
.E4 :0201:/     12.0
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Langhorne - Neshaminy Creek
:CS=8.0, FS=9.0, Moderate FS=10.0, Major FS=12.0
:
:LATEST ESTIMATED STAGE 1.4 FT AT 0700 EST ON 0129
.E LNGP1 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      1.3/      1.3/      1.3
.E2 :0130:/      1.3/      1.3/      1.3/      1.3
.E3 :0131:/      1.3/      1.3/      1.2/      1.2
.E4 :0201:/      1.2
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Shoemakers - Bush Kill
:CS=5.0, FS=6.0, Moderate FS=7.0, Major FS=8.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.9 FT AT 0845 EST ON 0129
.E SHOP1 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      1.9/      1.8/      1.7
.E2 :0130:/      1.6/      1.6/      1.6/      1.6
.E3 :0131:/      1.6/      1.6/      1.6/      1.6
.E4 :0201:/      1.6
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Tocks Island - Delaware River
:CS=20.0, FS=21.0, Moderate FS=23.0, Major FS=25.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 5.9 FT AT 0815 EST ON 0129
.E TKSN4 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      5.7/      5.8/      5.8
.E2 :0130:/      6.0/      5.7/      5.7/      5.9
.E3 :0131:/      5.7/      5.7/      5.8/      5.7
.E4 :0201:/      5.6
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Minisink Hills - Brodhead Creek
:CS=8.0, FS=10.0, Moderate FS=12.0, Major FS=15.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 2.3 FT AT 0815 EST ON 0129
.E MNSP1 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      2.1/      2.2/      2.2
.E2 :0130:/      2.2/      2.2/      2.1/      2.1
.E3 :0131:/      2.2/      2.1/      2.2/      2.1
.E4 :0201:/      2.1
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Belvidere - Delaware River
:CS=18.5, FS=22.0, Moderate FS=24.0, Major FS=25.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 4.0 FT AT 0830 EST ON 0129
.E BVDN4 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      3.9/      3.9/      3.8
.E2 :0130:/      3.8/      3.7/      3.7/      3.7
.E3 :0131:/      3.7/      3.7/      3.7/      3.7
.E4 :0201:/      3.7
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Easton - Delaware River
: Crest normally occurs 2 hrs before Riegelsville
:CS=20.0, FS=22.0, Moderate FS=26.0, Major FS=30.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.3 FT AT 0830 EST ON 0129
.E ESTN4 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      1.3/      1.3/      1.2
.E2 :0130:/      1.2/      1.1/      1.1/      1.1
.E3 :0131:/      1.1/      1.1/      1.1/      1.1
.E4 :0201:/      1.1
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Riegelsville - Delaware River
:CS=15.0, FS=22.0, Moderate FS=26.0, Major FS=30.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 3.1 FT AT 0830 EST ON 0129
.E RGLN4 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      3.1/      3.2/      3.3
.E2 :0130:/      3.3/      3.2/      3.2/      3.3
.E3 :0131:/      3.3/      3.2/      3.2/      3.2
.E4 :0201:/      3.2
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Frenchtown - Delaware River
: Crest normally occurs 1 to 2 hours after Riegelsville
:CS=14.0, FS=16.0, Moderate FS=18.0, Major FS=20.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.7 FT AT 0900 EST ON 0129
.E FREN4 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      1.6/      1.5/      1.5
.E2 :0130:/      1.5/      1.5/      1.4/      1.5
.E3 :0131:/      1.4/      1.3/      1.2/      1.2
.E4 :0201:/      1.2
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Stockton - Delaware River
: Crest normally occurs 4 hours after Riegelsville
:CS=17.0, FS=18.0, Moderate FS=20.0, Major FS=24.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 0.6 FT AT 0900 EST ON 0129
.E STKN4 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      0.6/      0.6/      0.6
.E2 :0130:/      0.6/      0.6/      0.6/      0.6
.E3 :0131:/      0.5/      0.5/      0.6/      0.5
.E4 :0201:/      0.5
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:New Hope - Delaware River
: Crest normally occurs 5 hours after Riegelsville
:CS=12.0, FS=13.0, Moderate FS=15.0, Major FS=16.0
:
:LATEST STAGE -0.1 FT AT 0845 EST ON 0129
.E NHPP1 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/     -0.1/     -0.2/     -0.2
.E2 :0130:/     -0.2/     -0.3/     -0.3/     -0.3
.E3 :0131:/     -0.3/     -0.3/     -0.3/     -0.3
.E4 :0201:/     -0.3
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Washington Crossing - Delaware River
: Crest normally occurs 1 hour before Trenton
:CS=12.0, FS=16.0, Moderate FS=19.0, Major FS=22.0
:
:LATEST STAGE -1.0 FT AT 0900 EST ON 0129
.E WASN4 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/     -1.0/     -1.0/     -1.3
.E2 :0130:/     -1.2/     -1.2/     -1.2/     -1.2
.E3 :0131:/     -1.3/     -1.3/     -1.2/     -1.3
.E4 :0201:/     -1.3
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Trenton - Delaware River
:CS=17.0, FS=20.0, Moderate FS=23.0, Major FS=25.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 8.6 FT AT 0815 EST ON 0129
.E TREN4 0129 E DC1501290917/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      8.7/      8.7/      8.5
.E2 :0130:/      8.5/      8.5/      8.6/      8.5
.E3 :0131:/      8.5/      8.5/      8.5/      8.5
.E4 :0201:/      8.5
.E TREN4 0129 E DC1501290917/DH19/QRIFF/DID1
:Fcst at 7AM on 0130      0131      0201
.E1       /      4.9/      4.6/      4.4
:********************************************************************
COMMENT

SOME ICE EFFECTS.

THE TERM "ICE EFFECTS" MEANS THAT RIVER ICE ACCUMULATION IN THE
VICINITY OF THE RIVER GAGE IS ALTERING THE CHANNEL CROSS-SECTION (IN
ADDITION TO INCREASING FRICTION) WHICH PRODUCES HIGHER STAGES THAN
WOULD BE EXPECTED WITHOUT THE RIVER ICE.  THE RELATIONSHIP (RATING)
BETWEEN RIVER FLOW AND GAGE HEIGHT IS NO LONGER VALID.  A STRETCH OF
RIVER DOES NOT HAVE TO BE ICE COVERED TO EXHIBIT ICE EFFECTS.  ICE CAN
FORM ALONG THE SURFACE IN SLOW MOVING SECTIONS, ALONG THE BANKS AND
SIDES OF THE CHANNEL, AND ALSO ON THE CHANNEL BOTTOM (ANCHOR ICE).
ABRUPT FLUCTUATIONS OF SEVERAL FEET ARE QUITE COMMON AND SHOULD BE
EXPECTED DURING EXTENDED COLD SPELLS.

$$
MARFC
:...END of MESSAGE...
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