River Forecast
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233
FGUS56 KRSA 210506
RVFSCA

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
903 PM PLT FRI JAN 20 2017

NEXT ISSUANCE:     SATURDAY, JANUARY 21, 2017 AT  9AM PLT

FORECASTS THROUGH: WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 25, 2017 AT  4AM PLT

ATTENTION... THE FOLLOWING STAGES OF PARTICULAR SIGNIFICANCE
             HAVE OCCURRED OR ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR:
FLOOD STAGE
        SAN DIEGO RIVER - FASHION VALLEY (FSNC1) *

MONITOR STAGE
        SISQUOC RIVER - GAREY (GARC1) IN 2 HRS *
        SANTA MARGARITA RIVR - YSIDORA (YDRC1) *

***********************************************************************
SPECIAL NOTES-Fashion Valley has crested within the last hour. A small renewed rise
is possible over the next hour or so as more light to moderate preicp moves through the basin. Any additional rises should not exceede a couple tenths of a foot.
***********************************************************************

RIVER
   LOCATION               STAGE    FLOW      TIME    DATE         LEAD
   (NWSLI)                (FT)     (CFS)     (PT)  (MM/DD/YY)     TIME
--------------------      -----  --------    ----  ----------    ------
SISQUOC RIVER        OBS   10.5      725 AT   9PM   01/20/17      (24)
   GAREY             >MS   11.0          BY  11PM   01/20/17 IN   2 HRS*
   (GARC1)           >FS   16.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   12.0    2,210 AT   6AM   01/23/17 IN  57 HRS

SANTA YNEZ RIVER     OBS    3.2       88 AT   9PM   01/20/17      (24)
   NARROWS           >MS   11.0          NOT EXPECTED
   (NRWC1)           >FS   15.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX    8.2    3,290 AT   4AM   01/23/17 IN  55 HRS

VENTURA RIVER        OBS    8.0      177 AT   9PM   01/20/17      (24)
   FOSTER PARK       >MS   15.9          NOT EXPECTED
   (VRVC1)           >FS   17.6          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   10.9    1,770 AT   4AM   01/23/17 IN  55 HRS

CALLEGUAS CREEK      OBS    3.5    1,680 AT   9PM   01/20/17      (24)
   CSUCI             >MS    7.1          NOT EXPECTED
   (CLLC1)           >FS    7.9          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX    4.1    2,770 AT   4PM   01/22/17 IN  43 HRS

SANTA CLARA RIVER    OBS   11.1    4,350 AT   9PM   01/20/17      (24)
   PIRU              >MS   12.8          NOT EXPECTED
   (SCPC1)           >FS   13.1          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   11.1    4,350 AT  CURRENT TIME

SESPE CREEK          OBS    9.7    1,400 AT   9PM   01/20/17      (24)
   FILLMORE          >MS   17.8          NOT EXPECTED
   (SESC1)           >FS   19.2          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   17.0   21,900 AT   4PM   01/22/17 IN  43 HRS

SANTA CLARA RIVER    OBS   39.3    1,100 AT   9PM   01/20/17      (24)
   VICTORIA AVENUE   >MS   42.3          NOT EXPECTED
   (VCAC1)           >FS   45.7          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   41.1   22,900 AT   7PM   01/22/17 IN  46 HRS

SANTA MARGARITA RIVR OBS    9.0    4,280 AT   9PM   01/20/17      (24)
   YSIDORA           >MS    8.3          AT  CURRENT TIME              *
   (YDRC1)           >FS   10.8          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX    9.8    6,200 AT   8AM   01/23/17 IN  59 HRS

SAN LOUIS REY RIVER  OBS    7.6      178 AT   9PM   01/20/17      (24)
   OCEANSIDE         >FS   21.0          NOT EXPECTED
   (SLOC1)           MAX   10.7    1,320 AT  12PM   01/23/17 IN  63 HRS

SAN DIEGO RIVER      OBS   11.9    3,800 AT   9PM   01/20/17      (18)
   FASHION VALLEY    >MS    7.5          AT  CURRENT TIME              *
   (FSNC1)           >FS   11.3          AT  CURRENT TIME              *
                     MAX   11.9    3,800 AT  CURRENT TIME              *

MOJAVE RIVER         OBS    8.5       22 AT   9PM   01/20/17      (24)
   VICTORVILLE       >FS   16.0          NOT EXPECTED
   (MVVC1)           MAX    9.8      363 AT  10AM   01/23/17 IN  61 HRS

MOJAVE RIVER         OBS    2.3        0 AT   9PM   01/20/17      (24)
   BARSTOW           >FS    5.0          NOT EXPECTED
   (MBRC1)           MAX    2.4       54 AT   4PM   01/24/17 IN  91 HRS

DEFINITIONS:
OBS   MOST RECENT OBSERVATION (MAY BE ESTIMATED)
MS    MONITOR STAGE
FS    FLOOD STAGE
MAX   MAXIMUM FORECAST WITHIN PERIOD
LEAD TIME  FORECASTS WITHIN THIS PERIOD (HOURS) ARE CONSIDERED
           RELIABLE ENOUGH TO INITIATE PHYSICAL MITIGATION EFFORTS.
*     EVENT EXCEEDS MS/FS/DS WITHIN LEAD TIME PERIOD

SIM   01/20/2017 @ 2102P (C)

NOTE:  ALL TIMES IN SHEF ENCODED MESSAGES BELOW ARE UTC

.A  GARC1 20170121 Z DH05/HG   10.5
.ER GARC1 20170121 Z DH06/DC201701210502/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    10.8/  11.0/  11.2/  11.2/  11.3/  11.3/  11.4/  11.4/  11.4/  11.3/
.ER2    11.2/  11.1/  10.9/  10.8/  10.6/  10.4/  10.2/  10.0/   9.7/   9.5/
.ER3     9.2/   9.1/   9.0/   8.9/   8.9/   8.8/   8.7/   8.6/   8.6/   8.5/
.ER4     8.4/   8.4/   8.4/   8.4/   8.4/   8.4/   8.4/   8.6/   8.7/   8.9/
.ER5     9.1/   9.4/   9.5/   9.8/  10.0/  10.4/  10.8/  11.0/  11.2/  11.3/
.ER6    11.5/  11.6/  11.7/  11.8/  11.9/  12.0/  12.0/  12.0/  12.0/  12.0/
.ER7    12.0/  11.9/  11.9/  11.9/  11.8/  11.7/  11.7/  11.6/  11.5/  11.4/
.ER8    11.3/  11.2/  11.2/  11.1/  11.0/  10.9/  10.8/  10.7/  10.6/  10.4/
.ER9    10.3/  10.2/  10.1/  10.0/   9.9/   9.8/   9.7/   9.6/   9.5/   9.5/
.ER10    9.4/   9.3/   9.2/   9.2/   9.1/   9.0/   9.0/   8.9/   8.9/   8.9/
.ER11    8.8/   8.8/   8.7/

.A  NRWC1 20170121 Z DH05/HG    3.2
.ER NRWC1 20170121 Z DH06/DC201701210502/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     3.2/   3.1/   3.1/   3.1/   3.0/   3.0/   2.9/   2.9/   2.8/   2.7/
.ER2     2.6/   2.5/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/
.ER3     1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/
.ER4     1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   2.5/
.ER5     4.3/   5.1/   5.7/   6.3/   6.6/   6.9/   7.2/   7.5/   7.7/   7.8/
.ER6     7.9/   8.0/   8.0/   8.1/   8.2/   8.1/   8.0/   7.9/   7.9/   7.8/
.ER7     7.7/   7.6/   7.4/   7.2/   7.0/   6.8/   6.6/   6.4/   6.2/   6.0/
.ER8     5.7/   5.4/   5.1/   4.9/   4.6/   4.3/   3.9/   3.4/   2.5/   1.9/
.ER9     1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/
.ER10    1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/
.ER11    1.9/   1.9/   1.9/

.A  VRVC1 20170121 Z DH05/HG    8.0
.ER VRVC1 20170121 Z DH06/DC201701210502/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     7.9/   7.7/   7.7/   7.7/   7.6/   7.6/   7.5/   7.5/   7.5/   7.4/
.ER2     7.4/   7.3/   7.2/   7.2/   7.1/   7.1/   7.1/   7.1/   7.1/   7.0/
.ER3     7.0/   7.0/   7.0/   7.0/   7.0/   6.9/   6.9/   6.9/   6.9/   6.9/
.ER4     6.8/   6.8/   6.8/   6.8/   6.7/   6.7/   7.7/   8.0/   8.3/   8.5/
.ER5     8.7/   8.9/   9.1/   9.4/   9.7/   9.9/  10.1/  10.3/  10.5/  10.5/
.ER6    10.6/  10.7/  10.8/  10.8/  10.9/  10.9/  10.8/  10.8/  10.8/  10.8/
.ER7    10.7/  10.7/  10.6/  10.6/  10.5/  10.4/  10.4/  10.3/  10.2/  10.2/
.ER8    10.1/  10.0/   9.9/   9.8/   9.8/   9.7/   9.6/   9.5/   9.5/   9.4/
.ER9     9.3/   9.2/   9.2/   9.1/   9.0/   9.0/   8.9/   8.8/   8.8/   8.7/
.ER10    8.6/   8.6/   8.5/   8.5/   8.4/   8.4/   8.3/   8.2/   8.2/   8.1/
.ER11    8.1/   8.0/   8.0/

.A  CLLC1 20170121 Z DH05/HG    3.5
.ER CLLC1 20170121 Z DH06/DC201701210502/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     3.4/   3.3/   3.1/   3.0/   2.9/   2.8/   2.6/   2.5/   2.4/   2.3/
.ER2     2.2/   2.1/   2.0/   2.0/   1.9/   1.9/   1.8/   1.7/   1.7/   1.6/
.ER3     1.6/   1.6/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.6/   1.6/
.ER4     1.6/   1.9/   2.1/   2.2/   2.4/   2.5/   2.6/   2.9/   3.2/   3.5/
.ER5     3.7/   3.9/   4.1/   4.1/   4.1/   4.0/   4.0/   4.0/   3.9/   3.8/
.ER6     3.8/   3.7/   3.6/   3.5/   3.4/   3.3/   3.3/   3.2/   3.1/   3.0/
.ER7     2.9/   2.9/   2.8/   2.7/   2.6/   2.5/   2.4/   2.3/   2.3/   2.2/
.ER8     2.1/   2.0/   1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.8/   1.8/   1.7/   1.7/   1.7/
.ER9     1.6/   1.6/   1.6/   1.6/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/
.ER10    1.5/   1.4/   1.4/   1.4/   1.4/   1.4/   1.4/   1.4/   1.4/   1.4/
.ER11    1.4/   1.4/   1.4/

.A  SCPC1 20170121 Z DH05/HG   11.1
.ER SCPC1 20170121 Z DH06/DC201701210502/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    11.1/  10.5/  10.3/  10.1/   9.9/   9.7/   9.4/   9.3/   9.1/   9.0/
.ER2     8.8/   8.6/   8.4/   8.3/   8.2/   8.0/   7.9/   7.8/   7.6/   7.5/
.ER3     7.4/   7.3/   7.2/   7.1/   7.0/   6.9/   6.8/   6.8/   6.7/   6.6/
.ER4     6.6/   6.5/   6.5/   6.4/   6.4/   6.4/   6.3/   6.5/   6.7/   6.8/
.ER5     7.0/   7.1/   7.2/   7.6/   8.0/   8.4/   8.7/   9.0/   9.2/   9.3/
.ER6     9.3/   9.3/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/   9.3/   9.3/   9.2/   9.1/   9.0/
.ER7     8.9/   8.8/   8.7/   8.6/   8.5/   8.4/   8.3/   8.2/   8.1/   8.0/
.ER8     7.9/   7.8/   7.6/   7.6/   7.5/   7.4/   7.3/   7.2/   7.1/   7.0/
.ER9     7.0/   6.9/   6.8/   6.8/   6.7/   6.6/   6.6/   6.5/   6.5/   6.4/
.ER10    6.3/   6.3/   6.3/   6.2/   6.2/   6.2/   6.1/   6.1/   6.1/   6.1/
.ER11    6.1/   6.0/   6.0/

.A  SESC1 20170121 Z DH05/HG    9.7
.ER SESC1 20170121 Z DH06/DC201701210502/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     9.7/   9.6/   9.5/   9.3/   9.2/   9.1/   8.9/   8.9/   8.8/   8.8/
.ER2     8.6/   8.4/   8.3/   8.2/   8.0/   7.9/   7.8/   7.7/   7.5/   7.5/
.ER3     7.4/   7.3/   7.3/   7.2/   7.1/   7.1/   7.1/   7.1/   7.1/   7.0/
.ER4     7.0/   7.5/   7.9/   8.3/   8.6/   9.0/   9.4/  13.8/  15.0/  15.7/
.ER5    16.2/  16.6/  17.0/  16.8/  16.5/  16.2/  15.8/  15.4/  14.8/  14.6/
.ER6    14.4/  14.2/  13.9/  13.6/  13.2/  13.1/  13.0/  12.8/  12.7/  12.5/
.ER7    12.4/  12.2/  12.0/  11.8/  11.6/  11.4/  11.2/  11.0/  10.9/  10.7/
.ER8    10.6/  10.4/  10.3/  10.1/  10.0/   9.9/   9.8/   9.6/   9.5/   9.4/
.ER9     9.3/   9.2/   9.1/   9.0/   8.9/   8.8/   8.7/   8.6/   8.6/   8.5/
.ER10    8.4/   8.4/   8.3/   8.3/   8.2/   8.2/   8.1/   8.1/   8.0/   8.0/
.ER11    7.9/   7.9/   7.9/

.A  VCAC1 20170121 Z DH05/HG   39.3
.ER VCAC1 20170121 Z DH06/DC201701210502/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    39.3/  39.4/  39.6/  39.7/  39.8/  39.8/  39.8/  39.7/  39.7/  39.6/
.ER2    39.6/  39.6/  39.4/  39.4/  39.3/  39.3/  39.3/  39.2/  39.1/  39.1/
.ER3    39.0/  38.9/  38.8/  38.5/  38.0/  38.0/  38.0/  38.0/  38.0/  38.0/
.ER4    38.0/  38.0/  38.0/  38.0/  38.0/  38.0/  38.0/  38.0/  38.9/  39.1/
.ER5    39.2/  39.7/  40.3/  40.6/  40.8/  41.1/  40.9/  40.8/  40.6/  40.4/
.ER6    40.3/  40.1/  40.1/  40.1/  40.1/  40.1/  40.0/  40.0/  40.0/  39.9/
.ER7    39.9/  39.9/  39.9/  39.9/  39.9/  39.8/  39.8/  39.8/  39.8/  39.8/
.ER8    39.8/  39.8/  39.7/  39.7/  39.7/  39.7/  39.7/  39.8/  39.7/  39.7/
.ER9    39.7/  39.7/  39.6/  39.6/  39.6/  39.6/  39.6/  39.6/  39.6/  39.5/
.ER10   39.5/  39.5/  39.5/  39.4/  39.4/  39.4/  39.4/  39.4/  39.4/  39.3/
.ER11   39.3/  39.3/  39.3/

.A  YDRC1 20170121 Z DH05/HG    9.0
.ER YDRC1 20170121 Z DH06/DC201701210502/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     9.2/   9.3/   9.2/   9.1/   9.0/   8.9/   8.9/   8.7/   8.6/   8.5/
.ER2     8.4/   8.2/   8.1/   8.0/   7.8/   7.6/   7.4/   7.2/   7.0/   6.8/
.ER3     6.6/   6.5/   6.3/   6.1/   6.0/   5.9/   5.8/   5.7/   5.6/   5.5/
.ER4     5.4/   5.4/   5.3/   5.2/   5.2/   5.2/   5.1/   5.1/   5.1/   5.1/
.ER5     5.0/   5.0/   5.1/   5.2/   5.3/   5.6/   5.8/   6.1/   6.8/   7.4/
.ER6     8.1/   8.6/   9.0/   9.3/   9.5/   9.6/   9.7/   9.7/   9.8/   9.7/
.ER7     9.7/   9.6/   9.5/   9.4/   9.3/   9.2/   9.1/   9.0/   9.0/   8.9/
.ER8     8.9/   8.9/   8.8/   8.7/   8.6/   8.5/   8.4/   8.3/   8.1/   8.0/
.ER9     7.8/   7.7/   7.5/   7.3/   7.2/   7.0/   6.9/   6.8/   6.7/   6.6/
.ER10    6.5/   6.4/   6.4/   6.3/   6.2/   6.2/   6.1/   6.0/   6.0/   6.0/
.ER11    5.9/   5.9/   5.9/

.A  SLOC1 20170121 Z DH05/HG    7.6
.ER SLOC1 20170121 Z DH06/DC201701210502/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     8.2/   8.6/   9.1/   9.5/   9.7/   9.8/   9.8/   9.7/   9.6/   9.5/
.ER2     9.3/   9.1/   8.8/   8.6/   8.3/   8.0/   7.7/   7.5/   7.3/   7.0/
.ER3     6.6/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/
.ER4     5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/
.ER5     5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/
.ER6     5.8/   7.0/   7.6/   8.1/   8.5/   9.0/   9.4/   9.9/  10.2/  10.5/
.ER7    10.6/  10.7/  10.7/  10.6/  10.6/  10.5/  10.4/  10.3/  10.3/  10.2/
.ER8    10.1/   9.9/   9.8/   9.7/   9.6/   9.4/   9.3/   9.2/   9.0/   8.9/
.ER9     8.7/   8.5/   8.4/   8.3/   8.2/   8.0/   7.9/   7.8/   7.7/   7.6/
.ER10    7.5/   7.4/   7.3/   7.3/   7.2/   7.1/   7.0/   6.9/   6.8/   6.7/
.ER11    6.6/   6.5/   6.4/

.A  FSNC1 20170121 Z DH05/HG   11.9
.ER FSNC1 20170121 Z DH06/DC201701210502/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    11.8/  11.7/  11.6/  11.5/  11.4/  11.3/  11.1/  11.0/  10.8/  10.6/
.ER2    10.5/  10.3/  10.1/   9.9/   9.7/   9.5/   9.2/   9.1/   8.9/   8.7/
.ER3     8.5/   8.3/   8.1/   7.9/   7.7/   7.5/   7.3/   7.1/   6.9/   6.7/
.ER4     6.6/   6.5/   6.3/   6.2/   6.1/   6.0/   6.0/   5.9/   5.8/   5.8/
.ER5     5.9/   6.0/   6.2/   6.4/   6.9/   7.5/   8.9/   9.9/  10.4/  11.0/
.ER6    11.2/  11.5/  11.6/  11.7/  11.8/  11.8/  11.7/  11.6/  11.5/  11.4/
.ER7    11.3/  11.2/  11.2/  11.1/  11.1/  11.0/  11.0/  10.9/  10.9/  10.8/
.ER8    10.7/  10.7/  10.6/  10.6/  10.5/  10.4/  10.4/  10.3/  10.2/  10.1/
.ER9    10.0/   9.9/   9.8/   9.7/   9.6/   9.5/   9.3/   9.2/   9.1/   9.1/
.ER10    9.0/   8.9/   8.7/   8.6/   8.4/   8.3/   8.2/   8.1/   7.9/   7.8/
.ER11    7.7/   7.5/   7.4/

.A  MVVC1 20170121 Z DH05/HG    8.5
.ER MVVC1 20170121 Z DH06/DC201701210502/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     8.6/   8.9/   9.2/   9.3/   9.5/   9.6/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/
.ER2     9.7/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/
.ER3     9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/
.ER4     9.4/   9.4/   9.4/   9.3/   9.3/   9.3/   9.3/   9.3/   9.3/   9.3/
.ER5     9.3/   9.3/   9.3/   9.3/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/   9.5/   9.5/
.ER6     9.5/   9.6/   9.6/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.8/
.ER7     9.8/   9.8/   9.8/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/
.ER8     9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/
.ER9     9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/
.ER10    9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/
.ER11    9.3/   9.3/   9.2/

.A  MBRC1 20170121 Z DH05/HG    2.3
.ER MBRC1 20170121 Z DH06/DC201701210502/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/
.ER2     2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/
.ER3     2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.3/
.ER4     2.3/   2.3/   2.3/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/
.ER5     2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/
.ER6     2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/
.ER7     2.3/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/
.ER8     2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/
.ER9     2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/
.ER10    2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/   2.4/
.ER11    2.4/   2.4/   2.4/

END





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