Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 300703
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MSZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/30/14 0702Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 0615Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...MISSISSIPPI...LOUISIANA...TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...UPDATE TO PREVIOUS SPE MESSAGE FOR POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAIN
EVENT FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0700-1300Z...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN
SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...WITH MID LEVEL CIRC WELL DEFINED IN STLT ANIMATION
ALG THE COASTAL LA/TX BORDER AND THE LN OF EARLIER CNVTN E OF THE CENTER
HAVING FALLEN APART SYSTEM IS SHOWING CLASSIC SIGNS OF TROPICAL DIURNALLY
DRIVEN PTN WITH CNVTN CONSOLIDATING NR CENTER OVERNIGHT AND EXPANDING ARND
PERIPHERY DRG AFTN/EVE. CNVTN IS CURRENTLY FAIRLY LIMITED NR CENTER BUT
STILL EXPECTING SOME EXPANSION IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY FOR REMAINDER OF
OVERNIGHT HRS AS 30-40KT OF 8H INFLOW CONTS AND UPR LEVEL ANTICYCLONE
PROVIDES MODEST UPR DIFFLUENCE. GIVEN THE TROPICALLY MOIST AMS WITH
PW`S AOA 2.25" 2-3"/HR RAINFALL AMNTS PSBL WITH LOCALIZED 6 HR TOTALS OF
5". LOW EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS ALSO ALLOWING FOR HIGHLY EFFICIENT WARM RAIN
PROCESSES. MAIN THREAT FOR THIS OUTLOOK PD WILL BE OVER THE BLOCK OF 6
COUNTIES IN SE TX (JEFFERSON/TYLER/HARDIN EWRD) AND 6 PARISHES IN LA
(CAMERON/CALCASIEU/BEAUREGARD AND ADJOINING).  FEEL THAT THREAT WILL
SHIFT NWRD LATER THIS MRNG INTO THE AFTN INTO CENTRAL AND W CENTRAL LA
AS CIRC SLOWLY LIFTS N AND ALSO EXPAND EWRD NR PERIPHERY OF CIRC...ESP
IF CLOUD COVER BREAKS TO ALLOW FOR SOLAR HEATING.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION THREAT AREA
SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY
10-15 MINUTES.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3125 9456 3112 9094 2856 9061 2924 9459
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