Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory
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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 040846
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC FRI SEP 04 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 115.8W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  70SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 115.8W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 115.8W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.2N 115.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.2N 116.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.9N 116.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 23.4N 117.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 24.0N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED


REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 115.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




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